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87 Vineyard Ave Duplex
B Composite 74.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

87 Vineyard Ave · Highland, NY 12528
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1930 1,307 sqft lot $206/sqft · 50% below area Est $597k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Village of Highland two family w/two bedroom units. Hardwood floors throughout. Separate utilities with natural gas for heat & hot water. Centrally located with easy access to village amenities, commuter routes & Mid-Hudson Bridge. Attractively low taxes. Ideal for investor or owner occupant.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Easy access
  • Centrally located

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSSEPARATE UTILITIESNATURAL GASCENTRALLY LOCATEDEASY ACCESSLOW TAXES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $928 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $464/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $282k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.6% in Highland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#251 in NY, #3,941 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Highland Central School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #227 of 590 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Highland Elementary School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C+, #899 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 638 students, 38% FRL); Highland Middle School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade D-, #379 of 729 statewide, top 54%, 376 students, 42% FRL); Highland High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 512 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $300k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $282,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.01%
Cash-on-cash
13.26%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$596,720
List price
$300,000
Delta
-49.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$10,541
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$85,397
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12528

Home prices YoY
-20.5%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,720 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$312 /mo · $3,745/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$781
Net cashflow
$928

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,545
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,098 -5% $1,013 +0% $928 +5% $844 +10% $759
Rent -10% $635 -5% $782 +0% $928 +5% $1,075 +10% $1,222
Rate -1.0pp $1,080 -0.5pp $1,005 base $928 +0.5pp $851 +1.0pp $772

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,720

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
104 North Rd Highland, NY 3.0 2.5 1550 $3,100 $2.00 45d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $300,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $300,000 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $300,000 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $300,000 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $300,000 Active 72 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 71 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $300,000 Active 70 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 69 DOM
  17. 2026-03-23
    listed $300,000 Active 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Village of Highland two family w/two bedroom units. Hardwood floors throughout. Separate utilities with natural gas for heat & hot water. Centrally located with easy access to village amenities, commuter routes & Mid-Hudson Bridge. Attractively low taxes. Ideal for investor or owner occupant.

  18. 2013-05-17
    soldstatus $100,000
  19. 2000-07-11
    soldstatus $240,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,745 · $312/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,407 · $367/mo
Expected delta
+$663/yr (+$55/mo · 17.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,640
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$3,745
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,571
− Management
−$3,571
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$6,721
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,613
After-tax cash flow
$9,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highland Central School District
NCES district ID
3614400
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$63,600
Composite
51.89/100
National rank
#1652
State rank
#227 of 590 in NY

Livability — Highland

Score
75/100
State rank
#251
US rank
#3941

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland, NY
Population (ZIP)
13,818

Population outlook (Ulster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,887 people
By 2030
171,876 · -2.3%
By 2040
161,771 · -8.0%
By 2050
151,470 · -13.9%
By 2075
133,023 · -24.4%
By 2100
113,504 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 6% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ulster

2024 margin
D (+18.7) · D 59.3% · R 40.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: 18.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.7 2020: D+20.9 2016: D+9.1 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+23.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.26%
Current HPI
327.3196
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2000-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,745 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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