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87 Vineyard Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 77.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

87 Vineyard Ave · Highland, NY 12528
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 185 Days on market
Built 1930 Fair condition 1,307 sqft lot $206/sqft · 41% below area Est $508k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Village of Highland two family w/two bedroom units. Hardwood floors throughout. Separate utilities with natural gas for heat & hot water. Centrally located with easy access to village amenities, commuter routes & Mid-Hudson Bridge. Attractively low taxes. Ideal for investor or owner occupant.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Easy access
  • Centrally located

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSSEPARATE UTILITIESNATURAL GASCENTRALLY LOCATEDEASY ACCESSLOW TAXES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $535/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.1% in Highland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#251 in NY, #3,941 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Highland Central School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #227 of 590 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Highland Elementary School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C+, #899 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 638 students, 38% FRL); Highland Middle School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade D-, #379 of 729 statewide, top 54%, 376 students, 42% FRL); Highland High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 512 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $300k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $264,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.30%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$508,382
List price
$300,000
Delta
-40.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
29 White St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,439 (-1%) 1mo $290,000 $202 78
22 Washington Ave 0.44mi 4/1.5 1,458 (+0%) 6mo $370,000 $254 72
3 Commercial Ave 0.11mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,176 (-19%) 4mo $415,000 $353 60
25 Mile Hill Rd 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,516 (+4%) 6mo $450,000 $297 60
41 New Paltz Rd 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,547 (+6%) 9mo $451,000 $292 50
153 Upper Grand St 0.82mi 4/1.5 1,524 (+5%) 10mo $350,000 $230 47
7 River Road Rd Unit Town Road 0.44mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,661 (+14%) 0mo $320,000 $193 46
6 Smith Ter 0.43mi 4/3.0 1,728 (+19%) 9mo $422,300 $244 43
39 Sunny Brook Cir 0.42mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,220 (-16%) 10mo $315,000 $258 40
38 Sunny Brook Cir 0.41mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,220 (-16%) 10mo $319,000 $261 40
2 Cambridge Ct 0.42mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,808 (+24%) 11mo $386,000 $213 39
37 Maple Ave 0.70mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,121 (-23%) 12mo $329,000 $293 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$19,600
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$104,959
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12528

Home prices YoY
-20.5%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$312 /mo · $3,745/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$819
Net cashflow
$1,071

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,900

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,545
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,241 -5% $1,156 +0% $1,071 +5% $986 +10% $901
Rent -10% $763 -5% $917 +0% $1,071 +5% $1,225 +10% $1,379
Rate -1.0pp $1,222 -0.5pp $1,147 base $1,071 +0.5pp $993 +1.0pp $914

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23 1/2 Church St Highland, NY 1.0 1.0 $1,500 139d 1 0.03mi
86 Vineyard Ave Unit 2 Highland, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $1,700 $2.12 139d 1 0.03mi
3 White St Highland, NY 2.0 1.0 2802 $2,150 $0.77 2d 1 0.20mi
28 Toc Dr Unit 1 Highland, NY 1.0 1.0 920 $1,900 $2.07 2d 1 0.25mi
157 Vineyard Ave Highland, NY 3.0 1.5 2000 $2,900 $1.45 2d 1 0.54mi
4749 Mile Hill Rd Highland, NY 2.0 1.0 760 $2,100 $2.76 2d 1 0.65mi
70 New Paltz Rd Unit 2D Highland, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $1,950 $2.60 2d 1 0.83mi
70 New Paltz Rd Apt 1 Highland, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $2,300 $2.56 139d 1 0.84mi
561 Gregory Ct Highland, NY 2.0 1.0 946 $2,600 $2.75 2d 1 0.87mi
56 Sterling Pl Highland, NY 2.0 1.5 1047 $2,600 $2.48 2d 1 0.89mi
104 North Rd Highland, NY 3.0 2.5 1550 $3,100 $2.00 139d 1 0.99mi
24 Dutchess Landing Rd Unit I205 Poughkeepsie, NY 1.0 2.0 1184 $3,025 $2.55 0d 1 1.40mi
24 Dutchess Landing Rd Unit A201 Poughkeepsie, NY 2.0 2.0 1298 $2,975 $2.29 1d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $300,000 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $300,000 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $300,000 Active 182 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $300,000 Active 181 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $300,000 Active 179 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 178 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 177 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 176 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $300,000 Active 175 DOM
  10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $300,000 Active 173 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $300,000 Active 172 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $300,000 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $300,000 Active 165 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 164 DOM
  16. 2026-09-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 163 DOM
  17. 2026-08-29
    days on market $300,000 Active 159 DOM
  18. 2026-08-28
    days on market $300,000 Active 158 DOM
  19. 2026-08-27
    days on market $300,000 Active 157 DOM
  20. 2026-08-26
    days on market $300,000 Active 156 DOM
  21. 2026-08-25
    days on market $300,000 Active 155 DOM
  22. 2026-08-24
    days on market $300,000 Active 154 DOM
  23. 2026-08-23
    days on market $300,000 Active 153 DOM
  24. 2026-08-22
    days on market $300,000 Active 152 DOM
  25. 2026-08-21
    days on market $300,000 Active 151 DOM
  26. 2026-08-20
    days on market $300,000 Active 150 DOM
  27. 2026-08-19
    days on market $300,000 Active 149 DOM
  28. 2026-08-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 148 DOM
  29. 2026-08-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 147 DOM
  30. 2026-08-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 146 DOM
  31. 2026-08-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 145 DOM
  32. 2026-08-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 143 DOM
  33. 2026-08-12
    days on market $300,000 Active 142 DOM
  34. 2026-08-11
    days on market $300,000 Active 141 DOM
  35. 2026-08-10
    days on market $300,000 Active 140 DOM
  36. 2026-08-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 139 DOM
  37. 2026-08-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 138 DOM
  38. 2026-08-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 137 DOM
  39. 2026-08-06
    days on market $300,000 Active 136 DOM
  40. 2026-08-05
    days on market $300,000 Active 135 DOM
  41. 2026-08-04
    days on market $300,000 Active 134 DOM
  42. 2026-08-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 133 DOM
  43. 2026-07-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 130 DOM
  44. 2026-07-29
    days on market $300,000 Active 128 DOM
  45. 2026-07-27
    days on market $300,000 Active 126 DOM
  46. 2026-07-25
    days on market $300,000 Active 124 DOM
  47. 2026-07-24
    days on market $300,000 Active 123 DOM
  48. 2026-07-23
    days on market $300,000 Active 122 DOM
  49. 2026-07-22
    days on market $300,000 Active 121 DOM
  50. 2026-07-21
    days on market $300,000 Active 120 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,745 · $312/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,407 · $367/mo
Expected delta
+$663/yr (+$55/mo · 17.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,800
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$3,745
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,744
− Management
−$3,744
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$8,535
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,048
After-tax cash flow
$10,800/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $36,400–$65,520 screening

The home is in fair condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. Painting the interior walls and exterior, and landscaping can significantly increase its value.

Deferred maintenance Est. $10,000–$30,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — No roof visible, but based on the age of the house and the need for repairs, it is likely to be in poor condition.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Paint — There are some visible signs of wear and tear on the interior walls.
  • Minor Landscaping — The landscaping appears to be minimal, with some grass and a few trees.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the interior walls and exterior — Painting the interior walls and exterior can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential renters.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 63/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Highland Elementary School C+ NY #899/2,108 Nat'l #9,263/41,679 Middle Highland Middle School D- NY #379/729 Nat'l #5,398/14,009 High Highland High School A+ NY #265/1,100 Nat'l #453/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highland Central School District
NCES district ID
3614400
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$63,600
Composite
51.89/100
National rank
#1652
State rank
#227 of 590 in NY
B Composite livability gradescore 75/100

Livability — Highland

Score
75/100
State rank
#251
US rank
#3941

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland, NY
County
Ulster · 175,887 people
Metro
Kingston, NY
Population (ZIP)
13,818
Household income
$89,096
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Ulster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,887 people
By 2030
171,876 · -2.3%
By 2040
161,771 · -8.0%
By 2050
151,470 · -13.9%
By 2075
133,023 · -24.4%
By 2100
113,504 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 6% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ulster

2024 margin
D (+18.7) · D 59.3% · R 40.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: 18.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.7 2020: D+20.9 2016: D+9.1 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+23.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2000-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,745 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…