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7597 E Pen Ct 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 69.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

7597 E Pen Ct · Inverness, FL 34453
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1976 0.56 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

HANDYMAN SPECIAL- 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH Doublewide Mobil Home on WATERFRONT 1/2 ACRE LOT. (Lake Tsala Apopka). Absolutely gorgeous property with Oak, Pine, Magnolia, Cedar, Cypress, Loquat, Maple, Sweet Gum, Bamboo, Orange and Camphor Trees. Shed and lots of privacy, Great Fish Camp or Weekend Getaway. $89,900 cash

Key facts

  • Shed
  • 1/2 acre lot
  • 0.56 acre lot

Tags

1/2 ACRE LOTSHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide)
  • Construction: Metal and shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating listed
  • Interior features: Wood flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $786 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 4.9% in Inverness — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#564 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hernando Elementary School (math 47% / reading 51%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 813 students, 71% FRL); Inverness Middle School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade C, #254 of 571 statewide, top 45%, 1,017 students, 60% FRL); Citrus High School (math 34% / reading 51%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,503 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 421 active listings in the ZIP; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  5. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  6. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
16.78%
Cash-on-cash
37.47%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,128
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2008 N Retreat Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+8%) 4mo $200,000 $137 56
7840 E Wisp Trl 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (0%) 13mo $130,000 $97 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$35,510
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
4.79×
Total profit
$95,453
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34453

Home prices YoY
-26.1%
Active inventory
421
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,762 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,167/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$786

Break-even live

Break-even rent $767
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $837 -5% $811 +0% $786 +5% $761 +10% $735
Rent -10% $647 -5% $716 +0% $786 +5% $856 +10% $925
Rate -1.0pp $831 -0.5pp $809 base $786 +0.5pp $763 +1.0pp $739

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    remarks 311-char remark
  16. 2026-05-30
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,167 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,167 · $97/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,146
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,167
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,692
− Management
−$1,692
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$8,496
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,039
After-tax cash flow
$7,393/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Inverness

Score
67/100
State rank
#564
US rank
#10791

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Citrus County · 111,314 people
City population
10,621
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
Population (ZIP)
10,621
Household income
$57,568
Rent vs Own
19.3% rent · 80.7% own
Severe rent burden
240.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.32%
Current HPI
291.8965
Rent YoY
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $89,900 RACC

Property tax history

+21.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,167 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…