🌊 Lakefront
7597 E Pen Ct · Inverness, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HANDYMAN SPECIAL- 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH Doublewide Mobil Home on WATERFRONT 1/2 ACRE LOT. (Lake Tsala Apopka). Absolutely gorgeous property with Oak, Pine, Magnolia, Cedar, Cypress, Loquat, Maple, Sweet Gum, Bamboo, Orange and Camphor Trees. Shed and lots of privacy, Great Fish Camp or Weekend Getaway. $89,900 cash
Key facts
- Shed
- 1/2 acre lot
- 0.56 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide)
- Construction: Metal and shingle roof
- Exterior features: Wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating listed
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $786 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 4.9% in Inverness — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#564 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hernando Elementary School (math 47% / reading 51%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 813 students, 71% FRL); Inverness Middle School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade C, #254 of 571 statewide, top 45%, 1,017 students, 60% FRL); Citrus High School (math 34% / reading 51%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,503 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 421 active listings in the ZIP; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.47%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $184,128
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 N Retreat Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $137 | 56 |
| 7840 E Wisp Trl | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $97 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $35,510
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.79×
- Total profit
- $95,453
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34453
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Active inventory
- 421
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,762 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $786
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $837 | -5% $811 | +0% $786 | +5% $761 | +10% $735 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $647 | -5% $716 | +0% $786 | +5% $856 | +10% $925 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $831 | -0.5pp $809 | base $786 | +0.5pp $763 | +1.0pp $739 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 311-char remark
-
2026-05-30$89,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,167 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,167 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,146
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,167
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,692
- − Management
- −$1,692
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $8,496
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,039
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Inverness
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #564
- US rank
- #10791
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- City population
- 10,621
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,621
- Household income
- $57,568
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 240.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.32%
- Current HPI
- 291.8965
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $89,900 RACC
Property tax history
+21.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,167 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…