204 S Hull St · Sylvania, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
House is located in Sylvania Ga a short walk from Downtown. The house is a 2 bed 1 bath built in 1926.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
- Listed 37 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.11 acre; Public records used for living area and lot size
- HOA & community: No HOA; No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-family residence; House; One level
- Construction: Built in 1926; 1546 building area
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Resale condition; Public electric on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Den; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.3% in Sylvania — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#259 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Screven County (town): math 39% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #66 of 174 in GA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Screven County Elementary School (math 40% / reading 29%, grade F, #531 of 1,228 statewide, top 45%, 1,004 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 65% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Screven County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Screven County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $125k implies a 594% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.72%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,370
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -1.86%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Georgia Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (-2%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $136 | 76 |
| 109 Argus Pl | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,399 (-10%) | 13mo | $89,365 | $64 | 54 |
| 307 Peachtree Cir | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,542 (-0%) | 21mo | $195,000 | $126 | 53 |
| 120 Dixie Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 | 1,404 (-9%) | 17mo | $71,250 | $51 | 47 |
| 301 Robbins St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,368 (-12%) | 13mo | $149,000 | $109 | 46 |
| 107 Saxon Pl | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,370 (-11%) | 23mo | $120,000 | $88 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-365
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $25,209
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30467
- Home prices YoY
- -14.3%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,384 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $873/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $313
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $384 | -5% $348 | +0% $313 | +5% $277 | +10% $242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $203 | -5% $258 | +0% $313 | +5% $367 | +10% $422 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $376 | -0.5pp $345 | base $313 | +0.5pp $280 | +1.0pp $247 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-04-03$125,000 New 102-char remark
-
2013-03-13historical
-
2012-09-20$45,000
-
2009-10-21historical
-
2009-04-21$52,000
-
1979-08-31soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $873 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,150 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$277/yr (+$23/mo · 31.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,605
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$873
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,328
- − Management
- −$1,328
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,811
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$435
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Screven County
- NCES district ID
- 1304500
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,477
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6447
- State rank
- #66 of 174 in GA
Livability — Sylvania
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #259
- US rank
- #14225
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sylvania, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,606
Population outlook (Screven County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,462 people
- By 2030
- 12,957 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 11,853 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 10,686 · -20.6%
- By 2075
- 8,272 · -38.6%
- By 2100
- 6,545 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (53%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Danish 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Screven
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 37.3% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.0pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+18.9 2016: R+17.6 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.03%
- Current HPI
- 227.565
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+594.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2013-03-13 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2012-09-20 Listed $45,000 Hive MLS
- 2009-10-21 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2009-04-21 Listed $52,000 Hive MLS
- 1979-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $873 · +67.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…