CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3 Trelign Dr
D Composite 40.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

3 Trelign Dr · North Syracuse, NY 13212
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1953 0.52 ac lot Est $232k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This lovely ranch is just waiting for you! Everything you are looking for. .. 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 baths, large living room with picture window for loads of natural light. Three good size bedrooms with nice closet space. Updated kitchen with cheery window over the sink looking out over your pretty backyard. Looking out your window at your picturesque yard while doing dishes even makes dishes enjoyable! 1/2 bath off of kitchen makes for a great location when outside doing yardwork or enjoying the outdoors. No tracking in grass or dirt. Home boasts hardwoods, as well as some laminate flooring. Separate dining room with sliding glass doors overlooking your beautiful fenced in backyard, large comp

Key facts

  • Fenced in backyard
  • Inground pool
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENFENCED IN BACKYARDCOMPOSITE DECKINGROUND POOLEXTRA-LARGE FULL BASEMENTDOUBLE WIDE BLACKTOP DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Driveway; Garage with electricity
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: main level; Existing construction; Faces city street
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Copper plumbing; Poured foundation; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Fully fenced yard; Above-ground pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Built-in oven; Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 2 bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Sliding glass doors; Natural woodwork; Main-level primary bedroom; Thermal windows; Sliding doors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-68/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (0.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (6.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 5.1% in North Syracuse — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#379 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $225,000 (6.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.10%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$231,896
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7 Trelign Dr 0.03mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,134 (-1%) 1mo $272,000 $240 86
114 Bel Air Dr Dr 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,130 (-2%) 4mo $240,000 $212 86
16 Bellewood Cir 0.13mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+4%) 5mo $230,000 $192 75
7388 Palmcrest Rd 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,092 (-5%) 1mo $305,000 $279 75
109 Leroy Rd 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+0%) 6mo $180,000 $156 74
206 Church Pkwy 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,188 (+4%) 3mo $240,000 $202 74
5955 Smith Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,137 (-1%) 6mo $251,000 $221 70
100 Marywood Dr 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,302 (+13%) 6mo $272,500 $209 66
111 Randall Ter 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,199 (+4%) 2mo $185,000 $154 65
107 Colonial Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,307 (+14%) 4mo $260,000 $199 57
5943 Smith Rd 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,288 (+12%) 6mo $198,000 $154 53
5911 Smith Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+12%) 8mo $228,642 $178 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-39,122
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-34,077
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13212

Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$425 /mo · $5,101/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$-6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,257
Max offer price $238,906
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $130 -5% $62 +0% $-6 +5% $-74 +10% $-141
Rent -10% $-183 -5% $-95 +0% $-6 +5% $83 +10% $172
Rate -1.0pp $115 -0.5pp $55 base $-6 +0.5pp $-68 +1.0pp $-131

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 Stephen Pl Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1199 $2,250 $1.88 44d 1 0.40mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $239,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,900 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-05-30
    listed $239,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,101 · $425/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,101 · $425/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,000
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$5,101
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,160
− Management
−$2,160
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$4,038
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$969
After-tax cash flow
$902/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Syracuse Central School District
NCES district ID
3621210
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
41.93/100
National rank
#3356
State rank
#402 of 590 in NY

Livability — North Syracuse

Score
72/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#6513

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
20,185
Population (ZIP)
20,185

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.93%
Current HPI
317.7322
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $239,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,101 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…