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420 Sing Sing Rd
C Composite 58.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$147,000

420 Sing Sing Rd · Big Flats, NY 14845
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1957 0.70 ac lot Est $185k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice size ranch on a corner lot with detached 2 car garage . Exterior needs some TLC but inside you will find a good size livingroom , bonus room off the kitchen which is being used as a den but could be a 4th bedroom . Garage has heat installed and the backyard has an additional driveway for extra parking.

Key facts

  • 0.7 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing (resale/fixer)
  • Construction: Fiber cement exterior; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 163 x 187

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating
  • Interior features: Den; Main-level primary bedroom; Bedroom on main level; Basement (full)
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.9% in Big Flats — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#464 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Horseheads Central School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #347 of 590 in NY (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $125k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,800
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22 Ponderosa Dr 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+2%) 7mo $189,000 $150 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-14,820
Equity at exit
$21,918
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-915
Equity at exit
$12,710

Cash invested: $41,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14845

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,705 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$771
Tax from tax record
$376 /mo · $4,512/yr
Insurance
$61
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,529
Max offer price $147,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,750
Closing costs
$4,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    remarks 84-char remark
  2. 2026-06-09
    listed $147,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,512 · $376/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,512 · $376/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,464
− Mortgage interest
−$8,234
− Property taxes
−$4,512
− Insurance
−$735
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,637
− Management
−$1,637
− Depreciation
−$4,276
Taxable loss
−$568
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$136
After-tax cash flow
$1,805/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Horseheads Central School District
NCES district ID
3614850
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$60,594
Composite
44.58/100
National rank
#2781
State rank
#347 of 590 in NY

Livability — Big Flats

Score
70/100
State rank
#464
US rank
#8086

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime C Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Big Flats, NY
Population (ZIP)
20,552

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.23%
Current HPI
247.777
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $147,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-17 Sold (MLS) $125,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-06-02 Listed $140,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,512 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…