8 Oak Trail Pl · Silver Springs Shores, FL 34472

$267,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Land · 53 Days on market

Built 2026 9,989 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +7.3/30.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.1/10.0
• DSCR +1.5/10.0

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. This gorgeous brand-new home located in SE Ocala is the ideal escape from the hustle and bustle of city life! Located on a cul-de-sac!! With an open floor plan, pleasing neutral colors and vinyl plank flooring throughout, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has all the charm and comfort any family could desire. Showcasing shaker style cabinets with quartz counter tops in the kitchen, a washer/dryer hook up in the inside laundry for added convenience, plus a stainless-steel appliance package, this home is sure to impress. Enjoy your time in the neighborhood while nearby shopping, dining, medical centers and natural springs keep life exciting.

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Granite counter tops
• Cul-de-sac

Tags

• CUL-DE-SAC
• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• SHAKER STYLE CABINETS
• GRANITE COUNTER TOPS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot size approximately 0.23 acres (one lot); Living area: 1,400 (builder source); Total building area: 1,839; Lot acreage: 0 to less than 1/4 acre; Number of rooms: 5; Furnished: Unfurnished; Direction faces: Southeast; Number of wells: 1
• HOA & community: No HOA/association indicated

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
• Home design: Single family residence; New construction — completed; One story; Southeast facing; Entry on main level
• Construction: Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by ALDANA (model: JOSIE)
• Exterior features: Patio; Sliding doors; Cleared lot; Located on a cul-de-sac; Paved, publicly maintained road

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closets
• Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $267k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-357 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (19.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (29.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $188k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
• Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Emerald Shores Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 666 students, 74% FRL); Lake Weir Middle School (math 37% / reading 33%, grade F, #416 of 571 statewide, top 74%, 1,207 students, 76% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 683 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $18k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
• Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $20k; list at $267k implies a 1228% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $188,377 (29.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.71% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.69%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.73%
• DSCR: 0.75
• GRM: 11.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 9.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.64×
• Total profit: $48,095
• Equity at exit: $166,710

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.01×
• Total profit: $150,182
• Equity at exit: $301,345

Cash invested: $74,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34472

• Home prices YoY: 2.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.2%
• Active inventory: 683
• Price-to-rent: 11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,884 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,400
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$334 /mo · $4,005/yr
• Insurance: −$111
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$396
• Net cashflow: $-357

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,336

Max offer price $215,342

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-172	-5% $-265	+0% $-357	+5% $-449	+10% $-542
Rent	-10% $-506	-5% $-431	+0% $-357	+5% $-283	+10% $-208
Rate	-1.0pp $-223	-0.5pp $-289	base $-357	+0.5pp $-426	+1.0pp $-497

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $66,750
• Closing costs: $8,010
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
106 Oak Cir Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1453	$1,795	$1.24	15d	1	0.10mi
5 Olive Dr Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1450	$1,800	$1.24	23d	1	0.27mi
21 Olive Cir Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1459	$1,800	$1.23	15d	1	0.30mi
226 Oak Cir Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1406	$1,675	$1.19	15d	1	0.71mi
2 Ash Dr Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1083	$1,750	$1.62	15d	1	0.96mi
8 Ash Pass Run Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1128	$1,650	$1.46	23d	1	1.06mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-05-04
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-17
   price $267,000
3. 2026-03-25
   price $268,900
4. 2026-03-12
   listed $269,900 Active
5. 1996-11-26
   soldstatus $20,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,605
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,956
• − Property taxes: −$4,005
• − Insurance: −$1,335
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,808
• − Management: −$1,808
• − Depreciation: −$7,767
• Taxable loss: −$9,075
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,178
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,106/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marion
• NCES district ID: 1201260
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $40,015
• Composite: 35.61/100
• National rank: #4890
• State rank: #61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #527
• US rank: #9854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Silver Springs Shores, FL
• County: Marion County · 315,796 people
• City population: 34,665
• Metro: Ocala, FL
• Population (ZIP): 35,851
• Household income: $64,208
• Rent vs Own: 19.9% rent · 80.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 655.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 365,905 people
• By 2030: 376,768 · +3.0%
• By 2040: 396,555 · +8.4%
• By 2050: 412,723 · +12.8%
• By 2075: 446,090 · +21.9%
• By 2100: 436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.93%
• Current HPI: 255.0714
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.17%
• Metro: Ocala, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1228.4% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-04 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-17 Price Changed $267,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-25 Price Changed $268,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-12 Listed $269,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1996-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $20,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $287 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.