12 Garden St · Amsterdam, NY 12010

$1,000

5 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1880 3,049 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Property is in poor condition, not habitable, no access, drive by only.

Key facts

• 3,049 sq ft lot
• Built 1880
• Listed 3 days

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $1,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$182,104) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $1k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1k).
• Cap rate 1713.0% vs local median 6.3% in Amsterdam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#247 in NY, #3,884 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
• Amsterdam City School District (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #546 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Amsterdam High School (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A-, #563 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 1,179 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 40% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 78% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+40 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Amsterdam City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $107 of equity ($7 loan paydown + $100 appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $280 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $1,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 180.90% ✓
• Cap rate: 1712.95%
• Cash-on-cash: 6095.21%
• DSCR: 272.20
• GRM: 0.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $182,104
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
10 Thomas St	0.24mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,772 (+0%)	8mo	$110,000	$62	74
47 Mcclellan Ave	0.51mi	4/1.5 (-1)	1,813 (+2%)	1mo	$235,000	$130	66
16 Jackson St	0.33mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,982 (+12%)	2mo	$91,000	$46	56
12 Harrison Ave	0.71mi	4/1.5 (-1)	1,664 (-6%)	2mo	$200,000	$120	51
8 Mcelwain Ave	0.26mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,996 (+13%)	13mo	$125,000	$63	48
38 Chestnut St	0.30mi	4/1.5 (-1)	1,600 (-10%)	21mo	$164,300	$103	48
39 Mcclellan Ave	0.50mi	4/1.5 (-1)	1,898 (+7%)	18mo	$199,000	$105	44
77 Grove St	0.64mi	4/1.5 (-1)	1,560 (-12%)	3mo	$80,000	$51	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 326.55×
• Total profit: $91,154
• Equity at exit: $901

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 705.48×
• Total profit: $197,254
• Equity at exit: $1,943

Cash invested: $280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12010

• Home prices YoY: 4.0%
• Active inventory: 164

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,809 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$5
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$1 /mo · $15/yr
• Insurance: −$0
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$380
• Net cashflow: $1,422

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9

Max offer price $1,000

Occupancy floor 16%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,423	-5% $1,423	+0% $1,422	+5% $1,422	+10% $1,422
Rent	-10% $1,279	-5% $1,351	+0% $1,422	+5% $1,494	+10% $1,565
Rate	-1.0pp $1,423	-0.5pp $1,422	base $1,422	+0.5pp $1,422	+1.0pp $1,422

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $250
• Closing costs: $30
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2023-03-29
   status Pending
2. 2022-06-13
   status Pending
3. 2022-06-10
   listed $1,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,708
• − Mortgage interest: −$56
• − Property taxes: −$15
• − Insurance: −$5
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,737
• − Management: −$1,737
• − Depreciation: −$29
• Taxable income: $18,130
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,351
• After-tax cash flow: $12,715/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Amsterdam City School District
• NCES district ID: 3602970
• Math proficiency: 35% ▲ 5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▲ 10.00%
• Median HH income: $41,735
• Composite: 32.03/100
• National rank: #5824
• State rank: #546 of 590 in NY

Livability — Amsterdam

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #247
• US rank: #3884

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Amsterdam, NY
• City population: 27,339
• Population (ZIP): 27,339

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 48,683 people
• By 2030: 47,785 · -1.8%
• By 2040: 45,492 · -6.6%
• By 2050: 43,161 · -11.3%
• By 2075: 38,134 · -21.7%
• By 2100: 32,337 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 18%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.7) · D 35.6% · R 64.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -28.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.7 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.4 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 12.12%
• Current HPI: 312.4966
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2023-03-29 Pending — Global MLS
• 2022-06-13 Pending — Global MLS
• 2022-06-10 Listed $1,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

-18.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $175 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.