Triplex
141 Draher Ave · Waterbury, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$489,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Outstanding Town Plot 3-Family w/ 3 car-garage! Perfect for Owner-Occupants or Investors! This spacious multi-family property offers a turn-key investment opportunity with three oversized units, each featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, an eat-in kitchen, and a generous living room. Tenants enjoy separate, tenant-paid utilities, including electric heat and hot water, with individual electric panels already in place. Exterior highlights include vinyl siding and both driveway and rear off-street parking for added convenience. Existing tenants provide a stable income stream for immediate cash flow. Located in highly desirable Town Plot, this property is close to public transportation, highway access,
Key facts
- Near schools
- Highway access
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved off-street parking; 3 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Hot water by natural gas and electric
- Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
- Construction: Frame construction; Masonry and stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; White exterior color
- Exterior features: Sloping lot; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Bedrooms: 12 bedrooms total
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heat; Heat fueled by electric and natural gas; Window units for cooling
- Interior features: 18 total rooms; Full unfinished basement; Has attic with crawl space and hatch access; Window air conditioning units
- Laundry & utility: Some units have washer/dryer; Some laundry hookups available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $490k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $849 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $283/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $490k).
- Recommended offer: $475k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.6% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
- Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.8%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,022/mo this rent would consume 107% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1276% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $137k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($475k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $490k implies a 601% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.42%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $453,033
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Draher St | 0.08mi | 9/3.0 | 3,699 (-3%) | 12mo | $425,000 | $115 | 82 |
| 83 Vernon St | 0.49mi | 9/3.0 | 3,753 (-1%) | 8mo | $520,000 | $139 | 68 |
| 13 Summit St | 0.32mi | 9/4.0 | 3,814 (+0%) | 22mo | $395,000 | $104 | 63 |
| 929 Bank St | 0.45mi | 9/3.0 | 3,834 (+1%) | 22mo | $420,000 | $110 | 60 |
| 131 Sunnyside Ave | 0.13mi | 9/3.0 | 3,420 (-10%) | 23mo | $425,000 | $124 | 58 |
| 684 Wilson St | 0.69mi | 9/3.0 | 3,924 (+3%) | 15mo | $500,000 | $127 | 50 |
| 400 Congress Ave | 0.66mi | 9/3.0 | 4,140 (+9%) | 14mo | $440,000 | $106 | 43 |
| 63 W Liberty St | 0.61mi | 9/4.0 | 3,250 (-15%) | 1mo | $590,000 | $182 | 42 |
| 675 Highland Ave | 0.64mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 4,269 (+12%) | 0mo | $625,000 | $146 | 40 |
| 23 W Clay St | 0.65mi | 10/6.0 (+1) | 4,023 (+6%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $50 | 34 |
| 23 Highland Ave | 0.58mi | 9/3.0 | 3,339 (-12%) | 23mo | $350,000 | $105 | 33 |
| 6 Grove Ct | 0.73mi | 9/5.0 | 3,454 (-9%) | 12mo | $410,000 | $119 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $6,904
- Equity at exit
- $73,046
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $222,136
- Equity at exit
- $42,358
Cash invested: $137,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06708
- Rents YoY
- 9.8%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 20.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,022 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,569
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,136 /mo · $13,626/yr
- Insurance
- −$204
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,265
- Net cashflow
- $849
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,126 | -5% $987 | +0% $849 | +5% $710 | +10% $571 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $373 | -5% $611 | +0% $849 | +5% $1,087 | +10% $1,324 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,095 | -0.5pp $973 | base $849 | +0.5pp $722 | +1.0pp $593 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 1 | $6,021 |
| #1 | 4 | 1 | $2,007 |
| #2 | 4 | 1 | $2,007 |
| #3 | 4 | 1 | $2,007 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,022 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $122,475
- Closing costs
- $14,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Coe St Waterbury, CT | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3240 | $1,800 | $0.56 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-20status Under Contract
-
2026-05-01historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2026-04-14status Active
-
2026-04-14historical
-
2026-04-01$489,900 Active
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2026-03-22price $489,900
-
2026-02-18$499,900 Active
-
2026-01-19historical
-
2025-12-05$499,900 Active
-
2011-07-05soldstatus $69,900
-
2011-05-09$69,900
-
2005-10-04soldstatus $255,000
-
2005-10-04soldstatus $255,000
-
2005-09-30soldstatus $255,000
-
2005-08-11$264,900
-
2004-02-20soldstatus $157,000
-
2003-09-09$159,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $13,626 · $1,136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,626 · $1,136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,442
- − Property taxes
- −$13,626
- − Insurance
- −$2,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,781
- − Management
- −$5,781
- − Depreciation
- −$14,252
- Taxable income
- $2,933
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$704
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,480/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterbury School District
- NCES district ID
- 0904830
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,040
- Composite
- 14.85/100
- National rank
- #9380
- State rank
- #148 of 153 in CT
Livability — Waterbury
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #2205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterbury, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 115,012
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,594
- Household income
- $67,364
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1276.0
Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 496,846
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 17% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Russian 2% Estonian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -297.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.1446
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.75%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
+206.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-14 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $489,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $489,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $499,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-01-19 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $499,900 Smart MLS
- 2011-07-05 Sold (MLS) $69,900 Smart MLS
- 2011-05-09 Listed $69,900 Smart MLS
- 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-30 Sold (MLS) $255,000 Smart MLS
- 2005-08-11 Listed $264,900 Smart MLS
- 2004-02-20 Sold (MLS) $157,000 Smart MLS
- 2003-09-09 Listed $159,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2023): $13,626 · +77.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…