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3211 Spruce Pine Rd
D Composite 42.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

3211 Spruce Pine Rd · Virginia Beach, VA 23456
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,488 sqft · Townhouse public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1995 Est $296k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully maintained by the current Tenant- Highly desirable Virginia Beach School districts, spacious kitchen, lots of cabinet for storage, built -in entertainment shelves for books and decorations in the living room. Very well maintained home.

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1995

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENBUILT IN ENTERTAINMENT SHELVES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Neighborhood: AMBERWOOD
  • HOA & community: No association fees listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned/reserved parking (2 spaces); Driveway parking
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Gas water heater; Electric service compatible with heat pump
  • Home design: Attached townhouse; Two stories with 2 living levels; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl and EIFS siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Patio; Back yard fenced

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Breakfast area
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (ensuite); Additional bedroom on 2nd floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating and cooling); Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceiling; Gas fireplace; Ceiling fan; Pull-down attic stairs; Walk-in closet; Attic; Foyer; Pantry; Porch; Utility closet
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-725/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (3.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (22.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
  • Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Holland Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 460 students, 95% FRL); Corporate Landing Middle (math 66% / reading 77%, grade A, #72 of 342 statewide, top 22%, 1,054 students, 46% FRL); Landstown High (math 67% / reading 86%, grade A-, #99 of 319 statewide, top 31%, 2,226 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 28% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $88k; list at $299k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $231,726 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.87%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$296,112
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
891 Old Clubhouse Rd 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+1%) 1mo $300,000 $200 93
867 Old Clubhouse Rd 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,511 (+2%) 3mo $287,000 $190 90
3244 Yorkborough Way 0.25mi 3/2.5 1,386 (-7%) 0mo $300,000 $216 77
2932 Old Glory Rd 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,514 (+2%) 4mo $285,000 $188 67
1324 Ruddy Oak Ct 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,546 (+4%) 3mo $268,000 $173 67
2913 Old Glory Rd 0.55mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,511 (+2%) 2mo $300,000 $199 65
3320 Waterman Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,386 (-7%) 3mo $329,500 $238 62
3300 Waterman Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,368 (-8%) 2mo $340,000 $249 62
3070 Breslaw Ct 0.57mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,408 (-5%) 2mo $243,000 $173 58
3152 Ashaway Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,356 (-9%) 2mo $342,000 $252 53
965 Clubhouse Rd S 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,320 (-11%) 2mo $250,000 $189 51
959 S Club House Rd 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,276 (-14%) 2mo $244,000 $191 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-50,537
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-41,614
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23456

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
367
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,317 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,381/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$487
Net cashflow
$-60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,394
Max offer price $288,333
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $109 -5% $24 +0% $-60 +5% $-145 +10% $-230
Rent -10% $-243 -5% $-152 +0% $-60 +5% $31 +10% $123
Rate -1.0pp $90 -0.5pp $16 base $-60 +0.5pp $-138 +1.0pp $-217

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1232 White Birch Ln Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.0 1254 $2,095 $1.67 25d 1 0.35mi
1240 White Birch Ln Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1254 $1,950 $1.56 19d 1 0.36mi
3304 Weeping Willow Ln Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1254 $1,750 $1.40 25d 1 0.41mi
1257 Green Cedar Ln Virginia Beach, VA 2.0 1.5 950 $1,725 $1.82 9d 1 0.47mi
932 Gossman Dr Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1430 $2,300 $1.61 23d 1 0.53mi
1301 Pine Cone Cir Virginia Beach, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 827 $2,170 $2.62 3d 13 0.66mi
3500 Green Garden Cir Virginia Beach, VA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,685 $1.72 25d 1 0.73mi
2925 Theodorus Ct Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1120 $2,000 $1.79 6d 1 0.75mi
2908 Peppercorn Ct Virginia Beach, VA 4.0 1.5 1381 $2,295 $1.66 25d 1 0.79mi
3517 Plum Cres Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,200 $1.52 14d 1 0.83mi
1434 Peony Arch Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.0 1407 $2,600 $1.85 25d 1 0.99mi
3745 Edenberry Ct Virginia Beach, VA 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,899 $1.82 6d 1 1.03mi
3504 Shawn Ct Virginia Beach, VA 4.0 2.5 1669 $2,650 $1.59 25d 1 1.03mi
3521 Sierra Arch Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1420 $1,650 $1.16 25d 1 1.09mi
3416 Hollygreen Dr Virginia Beach, VA 2.0 1.0 960 $1,754 $1.83 25d 5 1.19mi
713 Willow Lake Cir Virginia Beach, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1041 $2,475 $2.38 25d 1 1.22mi
1404 Wendfield Dr Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1344 $2,000 $1.49 6d 1 1.22mi
1404 Wendfield Dr #102 Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1344 $2,000 $1.49 25d 1 1.23mi
1404 Wendfield Dr #102 Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1344 $2,000 $1.49 6d 1 1.23mi
1401 Wendfield Dr #103 Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1344 $1,850 $1.38 22d 1 1.28mi
3638 Windmill Dr Virginia Beach, VA 2.0 1.0 934 $1,695 $1.81 12d 1 1.43mi
3560 Windmill Dr Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1080 $2,100 $1.94 25d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $299,000 Under Contract 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    remarks 247-char remark
  4. 2026-06-02
    listed $299,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,381 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,452 · $204/mo
Expected delta
+$70/yr (+$6/mo · 3.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,807
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$2,381
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,225
− Management
−$2,225
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$5,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,432
After-tax cash flow
$707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Va Beach City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103840
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$66,452
Composite
63.81/100
National rank
#594
State rank
#10 of 131 in VA

Livability — Virginia Beach

Score
83/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#880

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Virginia Beach, VA
County
Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
City population
448,227
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
61,911
Household income
$130,533
Rent vs Own
11.2% rent · 88.8% own
Severe rent burden
390.0

Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
480,401 people
By 2030
491,221 · +2.3%
By 2040
504,882 · +5.1%
By 2050
508,847 · +5.9%
By 2075
504,831 · +5.1%
By 2100
465,867 · -3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 13% Asian 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 4% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -328.17%
Current HPI
318.3094
Rent YoY
▲ 3.78%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+239.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $299,000 REINMLS
  • 2022-12-10 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2001-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,381 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…