42751 E Florida Ave #163 · Valle Vista, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
55+Scenic, Peaceful, Golf Community of Arroyo Fairways. This upgraded and well maintained 2003 home features a covered front entrance, vaulted ceilings, tinted privacy windows on the neighbors side, dual pane windows with custom blinds throughout, central heating. Walk in shower with built in seating. Laminate flooring throughout this home. This home is 15' wide. T-111 siding and newer paint on the outside and inside of this very clean home. Rockscape all around with an mature producing avocado and orange tree. Move in ready with Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer, TV's and Security Cameras. The Park offers free Golf, newly remodeled clubhouse with complete kitchen, billiards, bingo, TV room, card room, swimming pool, jacuzzi and covered shuffleboard courts. Come enjoy a quiet, tranquil park with sweeping views of the mountains and retire your way with resort style living. This home is being offered at a below market price for a quick sale.
Key facts
- Vaulted ceilings
- Dual pane windows
- Custom blinds
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $994 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 4.3% in Valle Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#739 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 86.93%
- DSCR
- 4.87
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $34,285
- List price
- $49,000
- Delta
- 42.92%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42751 E Florida Ave #103 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+3%) | 6mo | $33,900 | $42 | 87 |
| 42751 E Florida #32 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+3%) | 12mo | $37,000 | $46 | 82 |
| 42751 Florida Ave #18 | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (+6%) | 23mo | $61,900 | $75 | 65 |
| 42751 Florida Ave #148 | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 | 880 (+13%) | 9mo | $67,000 | $76 | 63 |
| 43601 State Highway 74 #66 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 728 (-7%) | 10mo | $23,500 | $32 | 43 |
| 43601 HWY. 74 #12 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (+8%) | 14mo | $98,000 | $117 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 89.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.28×
- Total profit
- $58,674
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 93.0%
- Equity multiple
- 11.69×
- Total profit
- $146,725
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92544
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,687 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$61 /mo · $735/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $994
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,028 | -5% $1,011 | +0% $994 | +5% $977 | +10% $960 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $861 | -5% $927 | +0% $994 | +5% $1,061 | +10% $1,127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,019 | -0.5pp $1,006 | base $994 | +0.5pp $981 | +1.0pp $968 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5475 Tangerine Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.5 | 600 | $1,500 | $2.50 | 6d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 25564 Sharp Dr Unit F Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,475 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 26123 Anawood Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,680 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 43601 E Florida Ave Unit 43 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,450 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 43601 E Florida Ave #98 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,400 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 43601 E Florida Ave Unit 43 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 43601 E Florida Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 43601 E Florida Ave #98 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 26097 Doverwood Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1019 | $1,849 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 43601 California 74 Unit 17 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,400 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 43611 Florida Ave Unit 10 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 41900 Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,800 | $2.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 43816 C St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,250 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 41818 Acacia East Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,850 | $1.85 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 41611 Marine Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 41541 Marine Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 44085 Palm Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,850 | $2.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 44075 B St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,595 | $2.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 44099 D St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,195 | $2.11 | 19d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-15price $49,000 954-char remark
Show marketing remark (954 chars)
55+Scenic, Peaceful, Golf Community of Arroyo Fairways. This upgraded and well maintained 2003 home features a covered front entrance, vaulted ceilings, tinted privacy windows on the neighbors side, dual pane windows with custom blinds throughout, central heating. Walk in shower with built in seating. Laminate flooring throughout this home. This home is 15' wide. T-111 siding and newer paint on the outside and inside of this very clean home. Rockscape all around with an mature producing avocado and orange tree. Move in ready with Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer, TV's and Security Cameras. The Park offers free Golf, newly remodeled clubhouse with complete kitchen, billiards, bingo, TV room, card room, swimming pool, jacuzzi and covered shuffleboard courts. Come enjoy a quiet, tranquil park with sweeping views of the mountains and retire your way with resort style living. This home is being offered at a below market price for a quick sale.
-
2026-05-05status Active 954-char remark
Show marketing remark (954 chars)
55+Scenic, Peaceful, Golf Community of Arroyo Fairways. This upgraded and well maintained 2003 home features a covered front entrance, vaulted ceilings, tinted privacy windows on the neighbors side, dual pane windows with custom blinds throughout, central heating. Walk in shower with built in seating. Laminate flooring throughout this home. This home is 15' wide. T-111 siding and newer paint on the outside and inside of this very clean home. Rockscape all around with an mature producing avocado and orange tree. Move in ready with Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer, TV's and Security Cameras. The Park offers free Golf, newly remodeled clubhouse with complete kitchen, billiards, bingo, TV room, card room, swimming pool, jacuzzi and covered shuffleboard courts. Come enjoy a quiet, tranquil park with sweeping views of the mountains and retire your way with resort style living. This home is being offered at a below market price for a quick sale.
-
2026-05-03status Pending Sale 954-char remark
Show marketing remark (954 chars)
55+Scenic, Peaceful, Golf Community of Arroyo Fairways. This upgraded and well maintained 2003 home features a covered front entrance, vaulted ceilings, tinted privacy windows on the neighbors side, dual pane windows with custom blinds throughout, central heating. Walk in shower with built in seating. Laminate flooring throughout this home. This home is 15' wide. T-111 siding and newer paint on the outside and inside of this very clean home. Rockscape all around with an mature producing avocado and orange tree. Move in ready with Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer, TV's and Security Cameras. The Park offers free Golf, newly remodeled clubhouse with complete kitchen, billiards, bingo, TV room, card room, swimming pool, jacuzzi and covered shuffleboard courts. Come enjoy a quiet, tranquil park with sweeping views of the mountains and retire your way with resort style living. This home is being offered at a below market price for a quick sale.
-
2026-04-07$54,000 Active 954-char remark
Show marketing remark (954 chars)
55+Scenic, Peaceful, Golf Community of Arroyo Fairways. This upgraded and well maintained 2003 home features a covered front entrance, vaulted ceilings, tinted privacy windows on the neighbors side, dual pane windows with custom blinds throughout, central heating. Walk in shower with built in seating. Laminate flooring throughout this home. This home is 15' wide. T-111 siding and newer paint on the outside and inside of this very clean home. Rockscape all around with an mature producing avocado and orange tree. Move in ready with Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer, TV's and Security Cameras. The Park offers free Golf, newly remodeled clubhouse with complete kitchen, billiards, bingo, TV room, card room, swimming pool, jacuzzi and covered shuffleboard courts. Come enjoy a quiet, tranquil park with sweeping views of the mountains and retire your way with resort style living. This home is being offered at a below market price for a quick sale.
-
2026-03-16historical
-
2025-12-23price $54,000
-
2025-11-19price $59,000
-
2025-11-05price $62,900
-
2025-09-25price $67,000
-
2025-08-30price $69,900
-
2025-08-20$75,000 Active
-
2022-08-25soldstatus $64,900 Closed Sale
-
2022-07-24status Pending Sale
-
2022-07-04status Active
-
2022-07-02historical
-
2022-05-07price $64,900
-
2022-04-05$67,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,241
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$735
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,619
- − Management
- −$1,619
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $11,852
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,845
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2003 manufactured home is in good condition with cosmetic updates, move-in ready, and potential for further value enhancement through landscaping and security improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Security system upgrade — Improves safety and adds value
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Security system upgrade — Improves safety and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Valle Vista
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #739
- US rank
- #21678
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Valle Vista, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,751
- Household income
- $73,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1518.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% White 40% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -219.06%
- Current HPI
- 391.972
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-27.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $49,000 CRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-05-03 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $54,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $54,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $59,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $62,900 CRMLS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $67,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-30 Price Changed $69,900 CRMLS
- 2025-08-20 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2022-08-25 Sold (MLS) $64,900 CRMLS
- 2022-07-24 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-07-04 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2022-07-02 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2022-05-07 Price Changed $64,900 CRMLS
- 2022-04-05 Listed $67,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…