🌊 Lakefront
98 Mimosa Cir · Perryville, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- Appreciation +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom house sold as-is. Property has a dock on the back of the property for Harris Brake Lake. There is an inlet from the lake that fills up behind the home per the seller. The property has a large storage building, central HVAC and propane wall heaters. Seller installed new walk-in shower unit recently. Property is fully fenced. There is a known small roof leak from seller. Property will be cash or in-house bank financing. SELLER IS REQUIRING AGENTS VERIFY PROOF OF FUNDS OR FINANCING PRIOR TO SCHEDULING SHOWINGS. SEE ALL AGENT REMARKS.
Key facts
- Central hvac
- Fully fenced
- Inlet from the lake
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#211 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Perryville School District (rural): math 36% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #112 of 238 in AR (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
- Perry County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.93%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,628
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -38.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Rush Dr | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,160 (-1%) | 2mo | $76,000 | $66 | 70 |
| 250 Pine Valley Loop | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-7%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $114 | 47 |
| 138 Ridge Rd | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 999 (-15%) | 11mo | $171,500 | $172 | 39 |
| 98 Camp Acres Rd | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,331 (+13%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $101 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $44,270
- Equity at exit
- $56,443
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.23×
- Total profit
- $117,119
- Equity at exit
- $108,139
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72126
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,005 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $241
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-29price $80,000 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom house sold as-is. Property has a dock on the back of the property for Harris Brake Lake. There is an inlet from the lake that fills up behind the home per the seller. The property has a large storage building, central HVAC and propane wall heaters. Seller installed new walk-in shower unit recently. Property is fully fenced. There is a known small roof leak from seller. Property will be cash or in-house bank financing. SELLER IS REQUIRING AGENTS VERIFY PROOF OF FUNDS OR FINANCING PRIOR TO SCHEDULING SHOWINGS. SEE ALL AGENT REMARKS.
-
2026-03-11price $90,000 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom house sold as-is. Property has a dock on the back of the property for Harris Brake Lake. There is an inlet from the lake that fills up behind the home per the seller. The property has a large storage building, central HVAC and propane wall heaters. Seller installed new walk-in shower unit recently. Property is fully fenced. There is a known small roof leak from seller. Property will be cash or in-house bank financing. SELLER IS REQUIRING AGENTS VERIFY PROOF OF FUNDS OR FINANCING PRIOR TO SCHEDULING SHOWINGS. SEE ALL AGENT REMARKS.
-
2026-02-27$98,000 New Listing 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom house sold as-is. Property has a dock on the back of the property for Harris Brake Lake. There is an inlet from the lake that fills up behind the home per the seller. The property has a large storage building, central HVAC and propane wall heaters. Seller installed new walk-in shower unit recently. Property is fully fenced. There is a known small roof leak from seller. Property will be cash or in-house bank financing. SELLER IS REQUIRING AGENTS VERIFY PROOF OF FUNDS OR FINANCING PRIOR TO SCHEDULING SHOWINGS. SEE ALL AGENT REMARKS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$965
- − Management
- −$965
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,726
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$414
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Perryville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511340
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,650
- Composite
- 30.29/100
- National rank
- #6280
- State rank
- #112 of 238 in AR
Livability — Perryville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #16477
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,310
Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,798 people
- By 2030
- 9,483 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 8,775 · -10.4%
- By 2050
- 8,058 · -17.8%
- By 2075
- 6,546 · -33.2%
- By 2100
- 5,068 · -48.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Perry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.5) · D 20.1% · R 77.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -57.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.5 2020: R+53.3 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+35.4 2008: R+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.19%
- Current HPI
- 206.952
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-18.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $80,000 CARMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $90,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $98,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
-3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $23 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…