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98 Mimosa Cir 🌊 Lakefront
B+ Composite 79.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$80,000

98 Mimosa Cir · Perryville, AR 72126
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,174 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1970 0.29 ac lot $68/sqft · 39% below area Est $131k · 39% under ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom, 1 bathroom house sold as-is. Property has a dock on the back of the property for Harris Brake Lake. There is an inlet from the lake that fills up behind the home per the seller. The property has a large storage building, central HVAC and propane wall heaters. Seller installed new walk-in shower unit recently. Property is fully fenced. There is a known small roof leak from seller. Property will be cash or in-house bank financing. SELLER IS REQUIRING AGENTS VERIFY PROOF OF FUNDS OR FINANCING PRIOR TO SCHEDULING SHOWINGS. SEE ALL AGENT REMARKS.

Key facts

  • Central hvac
  • Fully fenced
  • Inlet from the lake

Tags

DOCK ON THE BACKINLET FROM THE LAKESTORAGE BUILDINGCENTRAL HVACNEW WALK-IN SHOWER UNITFULLY FENCED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#211 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Perryville School District (rural): math 36% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #112 of 238 in AR (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
  • Perry County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.91%
Cash-on-cash
12.93%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,628
List price
$80,000
Delta
-38.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9 Rush Dr 0.56mi 2/1.0 1,160 (-1%) 2mo $76,000 $66 70
250 Pine Valley Loop 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (-7%) 1mo $125,000 $114 47
138 Ridge Rd 0.58mi 2/1.0 999 (-15%) 11mo $171,500 $172 39
98 Camp Acres Rd 0.55mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,331 (+13%) 11mo $135,000 $101 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$44,270
Equity at exit
$56,443
10-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
6.23×
Total profit
$117,119
Equity at exit
$108,139

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72126

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,005 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    price $80,000 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bathroom house sold as-is. Property has a dock on the back of the property for Harris Brake Lake. There is an inlet from the lake that fills up behind the home per the seller. The property has a large storage building, central HVAC and propane wall heaters. Seller installed new walk-in shower unit recently. Property is fully fenced. There is a known small roof leak from seller. Property will be cash or in-house bank financing. SELLER IS REQUIRING AGENTS VERIFY PROOF OF FUNDS OR FINANCING PRIOR TO SCHEDULING SHOWINGS. SEE ALL AGENT REMARKS.

  2. 2026-03-11
    price $90,000 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bathroom house sold as-is. Property has a dock on the back of the property for Harris Brake Lake. There is an inlet from the lake that fills up behind the home per the seller. The property has a large storage building, central HVAC and propane wall heaters. Seller installed new walk-in shower unit recently. Property is fully fenced. There is a known small roof leak from seller. Property will be cash or in-house bank financing. SELLER IS REQUIRING AGENTS VERIFY PROOF OF FUNDS OR FINANCING PRIOR TO SCHEDULING SHOWINGS. SEE ALL AGENT REMARKS.

  3. 2026-02-27
    listed $98,000 New Listing 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bathroom house sold as-is. Property has a dock on the back of the property for Harris Brake Lake. There is an inlet from the lake that fills up behind the home per the seller. The property has a large storage building, central HVAC and propane wall heaters. Seller installed new walk-in shower unit recently. Property is fully fenced. There is a known small roof leak from seller. Property will be cash or in-house bank financing. SELLER IS REQUIRING AGENTS VERIFY PROOF OF FUNDS OR FINANCING PRIOR TO SCHEDULING SHOWINGS. SEE ALL AGENT REMARKS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,065
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$965
− Management
−$965
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$1,726
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$414
After-tax cash flow
$2,482/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Perryville School District
NCES district ID
0511340
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,650
Composite
30.29/100
National rank
#6280
State rank
#112 of 238 in AR

Livability — Perryville

Score
62/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#16477

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,310

Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,798 people
By 2030
9,483 · -3.2%
By 2040
8,775 · -10.4%
By 2050
8,058 · -17.8%
By 2075
6,546 · -33.2%
By 2100
5,068 · -48.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Perry

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.5) · D 20.1% · R 77.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-25.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -57.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.5 2020: R+53.3 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+35.4 2008: R+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.19%
Current HPI
206.952
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $80,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $90,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $98,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $23 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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