17918 Wheat Stack Ct · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34219

$347,000

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,739 sqft · SingleFamily · 120 Days on market

Built 2026 5,935 sqft lot $132/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• 1% rule +3.3/10.0
• DSCR +2.6/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

Key facts

• Quartz countertops
• One story home
• Walk in closet

Tags

• ONE STORY HOME
• OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT
• SHAKER STYLE CABINETRY
• QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• WALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Total monthly HOA fees $132 (total annual fees $1,584)
• HOA & community: HOA: Access Management (monthly fee $132; required; association approval required); HOA includes pool and grounds maintenance; Community amenities: Clubhouse, Fitness Center, Pool, Playground, Tennis courts, Basketball court, Pickleball courts, Recreation facilities, Community mailbox; Pets allowed; CDD applicable

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 1-car garage (21 x 13) with garage door opener; Driveway
• Security: Gated community
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Under construction (projected completion: June 5, 2026); Faces southwest
• Construction: Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction by D R Horton (Alford model); Builder license CBC039052; Permit CO BLD2510-0436; Built/expected completion 2026
• Exterior features: Hurricane shutters; Pond view

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Thermostat; Smoke detector(s)
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Irrigation equipment

🏗️ New construction. The $347,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $370,407.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $347k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-271 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $331k (4.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $306k (11.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $306k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Gene Witt Elementary School (math 84% / reading 82%, grade A+, #65 of 2,144 statewide, top 3%, 689 students, 24% FRL); Parrish Community High School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #160 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 2,017 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 51% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 2170 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($316k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $47k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $306,428 (11.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.83% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.41%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.14%
• DSCR: 0.86
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $370,407
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
17933 Wheat Stack Ct	0.00mi	5/2.0	1,708 (-2%)	1mo	$365,000	$214	96
17909 Wheat Stack Ct	0.00mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,498 (-14%)	1mo	$329,000	$220	71
17921 Wheat Stack Ct	0.00mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,498 (-14%)	1mo	$339,000	$226	71
17435 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.49mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-4%)	2mo	$334,000	$201	63
17431 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.50mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-4%)	3mo	$362,610	$218	62
17416 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.51mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-4%)	8mo	$340,000	$204	58
17390 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.55mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-4%)	8mo	$346,990	$208	56
17213 Wheatberry Blvd	0.61mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,828 (+5%)	3mo	$390,000	$213	56
17393 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.56mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-4%)	7mo	$341,000	$205	56
17389 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.57mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-4%)	7mo	$341,000	$205	55
17259 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.52mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,665 (-4%)	11mo	$339,000	$204	54
17222 Whiskey Creek Trl	0.60mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,828 (+5%)	12mo	$396,375	$217	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -25.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.17×
• Total profit: $-86,136
• Equity at exit: $55,229

10-year hold

• IRR: -34.9%
• Equity multiple: -0.27×
• Total profit: $-131,420
• Equity at exit: $32,026

Cash invested: $103,714 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34219

• Home prices YoY: -23.7%
• Rents YoY: -0.9%
• Active inventory: 2170
• Price-to-rent: 9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,064 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,942
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$463 /mo · $5,556/yr
• Insurance: −$154
• HOA: −$132
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$643
• Net cashflow: $-271

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,407

Max offer price $331,190

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $92,602
• Closing costs: $11,112
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $132 · $1,584/yr

Listing history 33 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $347,000 Active 120 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   price $347,000 Active 119 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $349,000 Active 119 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $349,000 Active 118 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $349,000 Active 117 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $349,000 Active 115 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $349,000 Active 114 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $352,000 Active 112 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $352,000 Active 111 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $352,000 Active 110 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $352,000 Active 109 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $354,000 Active 105 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $354,000 Active 104 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $354,000 Active 103 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $354,000 Active 102 DOM
16. 2026-05-21
    price $357,000 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

17. 2026-05-20
    price $357,000
18. 2026-05-14
    price $359,000 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

19. 2026-05-13
    price $359,000
20. 2026-05-06
    price $362,000 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

21. 2026-05-05
    price $357,000 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

22. 2026-05-01
    price $362,000 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

23. 2026-04-30
    price $362,000
24. 2026-04-23
    price $364,000 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

25. 2026-04-21
    price $364,000
26. 2026-04-15
    price $367,000 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

27. 2026-04-15
    price $367,000

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

28. 2026-04-10
    price $369,990 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

29. 2026-04-09
    price $365,000 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

30. 2026-04-03
    price $389,000 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

31. 2026-04-02
    price $389,000
32. 2026-02-19
    listed $393,990 Active 932-char remark

    Show marketing remark (932 chars)

    The Alford is a one-story home that balances style, space, and comfort. Offering 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,739 square feet, this floor plan provides plenty of room for families of all sizes. Its open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a welcoming space that's ideal for gatherings or everyday living. The kitchen is a standout with shaker-style cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, all overlooking the dining area for easy entertaining. With its thoughtful layout and modern finishes, the Alford makes it easy to create the home that fits your lifestyle. The primary suite is tucked at the back of the home for added privacy, featuring a walk-in closet and a private bathroom with dual vanities and a separate space for the shower and toilet. Four additional bedrooms at the front of the home offer flexibility for family, guests, or even a home office.

33. 2026-02-18
    listed $393,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,771
• − Mortgage interest: −$20,749
• − Property taxes: −$5,556
• − Insurance: −$1,852
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,942
• − Management: −$2,942
• − HOA: −$1,584
• − Depreciation: −$10,775
• Taxable loss: −$9,628
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,311
• After-tax cash flow: $-941/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manatee
• NCES district ID: 1201230
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,607
• Composite: 44.43/100
• National rank: #2806
• State rank: #26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Ranch

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Manatee County · 416,364 people
• City population: 52,177
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,296
• Household income: $113,773
• Rent vs Own: 8.1% rent · 91.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 219.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 447,342 people
• By 2030: 488,911 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 567,934 · +27.0%
• By 2050: 637,995 · +42.6%
• By 2075: 781,970 · +74.8%
• By 2100: 848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Hispanic 2% Russian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.45%
• Current HPI: 271.7131
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-9.4% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Price Changed $357,000 Zillow
• 2026-05-20 Price Changed $357,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-14 Price Changed $359,000 Zillow
• 2026-05-13 Price Changed $359,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $362,000 Zillow
• 2026-05-05 Price Changed $357,000 Zillow
• 2026-05-01 Price Changed $362,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-30 Price Changed $362,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-23 Price Changed $364,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-21 Price Changed $364,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $367,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $367,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-10 Price Changed $369,990 Zillow
• 2026-04-09 Price Changed $365,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-03 Price Changed $389,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-02 Price Changed $389,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-19 Listed $393,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-18 Listed $393,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid