12160 W Virgo Dr · Eloy, AZ 85131

$159,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 60 Days on market

Built 2008 1.25 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.5/30.0
• DSCR +8.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.5/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

HORSE PROPERTY; investment opportunity: This 1.25 acre fully fenced property offers incredible potential with existing leased solar in place to help reduce utility costs. The home is a fixer upper and ready for renovation, perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. With stunning mountain views and plenty of space. Bring your tools and creativity, this is your chance to transform a diamond in the rough into something special. .. .. ..

Key facts

• 1.25 acre lot
• 3 parking spots
• Built 2008

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

• Parking: 3 covered parking spaces; Common parking / carport with 3 spaces
• Utilities: City water; Private sewer
• Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Fee simple ownership; Desert, panoramic and mountain views; Dirt road access
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Shed(s); Storage; Chain-link fencing; Natural desert landscaping front and back; Dirt and gravel/stone front; dirt back

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Laminate counters; Refrigerator included
• Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Ceiling heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Vaulted ceilings; Kitchen island; Full bathroom in primary bedroom; Dual-pane windows; Storage
• Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
• Recommended offer: $154k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 1.3% in Eloy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#78 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
• Santa Cruz Valley Union High School District (4454) (town): math 11% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #382 of 501 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Santa Cruz Valley Union High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #230 of 381 statewide, top 61%, 340 students, 78% FRL).
• Market conditions: 440 active listings in the ZIP; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $154,230 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.05% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.98%
• DSCR: 1.44
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.95×
• Total profit: $-2,243
• Equity at exit: $23,707

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.63×
• Total profit: $28,138
• Equity at exit: $13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85131

• Home prices YoY: -25.9%
• Active inventory: 440
• Price-to-rent: 8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,662 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$834
• Tax from tax record: −$43 /mo · $513/yr
• Insurance: −$66
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$349
• Net cashflow: $370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,193

Max offer price $159,000

Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,750
• Closing costs: $4,770
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $159,000 Active 60 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $159,000 Active 59 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $159,000 Active 58 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $159,000 Active 57 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,000 Active 55 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,000 Active 54 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $159,000 Active 51 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $159,000 Active 50 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   remarks 460-char remark
10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $159,000 Active 49 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,000 Active 46 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 45 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 44 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 43 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 42 DOM
16. 2026-04-19
    listed $169,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $513 · $43/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,049 · $87/mo
• Expected delta: +$537/yr (+$45/mo · 104.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,947
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,906
• − Property taxes: −$513
• − Insurance: −$795
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,596
• − Management: −$1,596
• − Depreciation: −$4,625
• Taxable income: $1,916
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$460
• After-tax cash flow: $3,985/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Santa Cruz Valley Union High School District (4454)
• NCES district ID: 0407530
• Math proficiency: 11% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▲ 15.00%
• Median HH income: $24,927
• Composite: 19.12/100
• National rank: #13971
• State rank: #382 of 501 in AZ

Livability — Eloy

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #78
• US rank: #12496

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 18,794
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 18,794
• Household income: $56,576
• Rent vs Own: 24.6% rent · 75.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 301.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 47% White 36% Two or more races 16% Black 8% Native American 5% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 43%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada
• Languages at home: 65% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -60.00%
• Current HPI: 171.3217
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-19 Listed $169,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $513 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.