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3000 Tuttle Creek Blvd #560
D+ Composite 46.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,800

3000 Tuttle Creek Blvd #560 · Manhattan, KS 66502
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 4 Days on market
Built 2026

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Picnic area
  • Playground
  • Built 2026

Tags

PICNIC AREAPLAYGROUND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 3000 Tuttle Creek Blvd #560, Manhattan, KS 66502; Listing status: Active
  • Financial info: List price $24,800

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas; Electricity (service for central air)
  • Home design: Condo/Apartment (spec new construction plan 92823); Single-level unit

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $833 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in KS, #979 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
  • Manhattan-Ogden (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #26 of 169 in KS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Riley County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $171 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $744 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riley County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $24,800

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.12%
Cap rate
46.58%
Cash-on-cash
143.88%
DSCR
7.40
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.63×
Total profit
$53,005
Equity at exit
$3,698
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.99×
Total profit
$131,884
Equity at exit
$2,144

Cash invested: $6,944 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66502

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
336
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,271 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$130
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $372/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$833

Break-even live

Break-even rent $217
Max offer price $24,800
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $850 -5% $841 +0% $833 +5% $824 +10% $815
Rent -10% $732 -5% $782 +0% $833 +5% $883 +10% $933
Rate -1.0pp $845 -0.5pp $839 base $833 +0.5pp $826 +1.0pp $820

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,200
Closing costs
$744
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $24,800 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,800 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,800 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $24,800 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,250
− Mortgage interest
−$1,389
− Property taxes
−$372
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,220
− Management
−$1,220
− Depreciation
−$721
Taxable income
$10,203
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,449
After-tax cash flow
$7,542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manhattan-Ogden
NCES district ID
2009180
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,001
Composite
35.97/100
National rank
#4795
State rank
#26 of 169 in KS

Livability — Manhattan

Score
83/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#979

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Manhattan, KS
County
Riley County · 62,662 people
City population
60,966
Metro
Manhattan, KS
Population (ZIP)
43,693
Household income
$54,833
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
3089.0

Population outlook (Riley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
83,656 people
By 2030
89,075 · +6.5%
By 2040
99,100 · +18.5%
By 2050
109,146 · +30.5%
By 2075
134,178 · +60.4%
By 2100
153,653 · +83.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riley

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.6% · R 47.8% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+8.8pp toward D · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: 1.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.8 2020: D+3.2 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -283.54%
Current HPI
172.7795
Rent YoY
▲ 6.02%
Metro
Manhattan, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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