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3018 Cactus St
A- Composite 84.08
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$64,900

3018 Cactus St · Houston, TX 77026
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 835 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 251 Days on market
Built 1958 3,489 sqft lot $78/sqft · 47% below area Est $122k · 47% under ↓ 41% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Prime Location Near Downtown Houston!Discover the potential at 3018 Cactus Rd, Houston, TX — the perfect spot to build new or remodel just minutes from Downtown. Surrounded by new development and revitalized homes, this property offers a great opportunity to create your ideal home or investment project. Enjoy quick access to major highways, Midtown, East Downtown, and the University of Houston. Excellent opportunity for builders, investors, or buyers looking for a central location with growing value and convenience to city amenities.Schedule your private showing and see the potential for yourself!

Key facts

  • 3,489 sq ft lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 251 days

Tags

PRIME LOCATION NEAR DOWNTOWNQUICK ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-169/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $62k (3.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 445 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
13.92%
Cash-on-cash
27.24%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,145
List price
$64,900
Delta
-46.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3011 Retta St 0.38mi 3/1.0 792 (-5%) 6mo $85,000 $107 69
3114 Kentucky St St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+8%) 17mo $177,900 $198 47
4010 Falls St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 890 (+7%) 12mo $216,500 $243 46
2705 Brewster St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-14%) 6mo $85,000 $118 46
4313 Engleford St 0.74mi 3/1.0 900 (+8%) 11mo $139,900 $155 44
2902 Gregg St 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 720 (-14%) 16mo $153,000 $213 40
3804 Lila St 0.51mi 2/2.0 (-1) 732 (-12%) 11mo $120,000 $164 38
2306 Staples St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (+9%) 13mo $135,000 $148 36
3825 Ranch St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 774 (-7%) 23mo $185,000 $239 34
2315 Bringhurst St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 930 (+11%) 12mo $59,000 $63 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.89% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$10,421
Equity at exit
$32,499
10-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$35,175
Equity at exit
$52,834

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77026

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
445
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,113 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,189/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$-14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,130
Max offer price $62,416
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3019 Florida St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 576 $950 $1.65 43d 1 0.35mi
1710 Shelby St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 688 $1,250 $1.82 43d 1 0.73mi
4203 Hirsch Rd Unit 5 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 758 $950 $1.25 43d 1 0.74mi
3502 Campbell St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 725 $800 $1.10 43d 1 0.76mi
4111 Cavalcade St Unit 5 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 757 $825 $1.09 43d 1 0.76mi
3031 Sumpter St Unit 50 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 732 $1,200 $1.64 24d 1 0.91mi
3805 Wipprecht St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 768 $1,100 $1.43 18d 1 1.00mi
3813 Wipprecht St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 24d 1 1.00mi
1714 Mary St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 43d 1 1.18mi
2209 Gano St Unit 4 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 43d 1 1.22mi
2209 Gano St Unit 3 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 43d 1 1.22mi
3730 Lyons Ave Unit 216 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1107 $1,300 $1.17 43d 1 1.26mi
2202 Solo St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 620 $1,200 $1.94 43d 1 1.38mi
4903 Noble St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 525 $1,200 $2.29 43d 1 1.39mi
5436 Makeig St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 24d 1 1.42mi
5430 Makeig St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 24d 1 1.42mi
5462 Makeig St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 24d 1 1.45mi
5504 Morwood St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $850 $1.13 24d 1 1.45mi
5506 Crane St Apt 2 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 43d 1 1.47mi
5510 Morwood St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 24d 1 1.48mi
5117 Lavender St Houston, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 780 $1,090 $1.40 19d 2 1.48mi
5117 Lavender St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 740 $1,040 $1.41 7d 4 1.48mi
5117 Lavender St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 740 $1,065 $1.44 15d 8 1.48mi
5514 Morgood St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 251 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 250 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 249 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 248 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 246 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $64,900 Active 242 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 241 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 240 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,900 Active 237 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 234 DOM
  11. 2026-05-13
    price $64,900 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Prime Location Near Downtown Houston!Discover the potential at 3018 Cactus Rd, Houston, TX — the perfect spot to build new or remodel just minutes from Downtown. Surrounded by new development and revitalized homes, this property offers a great opportunity to create your ideal home or investment project. Enjoy quick access to major highways, Midtown, East Downtown, and the University of Houston. Excellent opportunity for builders, investors, or buyers looking for a central location with growing value and convenience to city amenities.Schedule your private showing and see the potential for yourself!

  12. 2026-05-07
    price $69,999 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Prime Location Near Downtown Houston!Discover the potential at 3018 Cactus Rd, Houston, TX — the perfect spot to build new or remodel just minutes from Downtown. Surrounded by new development and revitalized homes, this property offers a great opportunity to create your ideal home or investment project. Enjoy quick access to major highways, Midtown, East Downtown, and the University of Houston. Excellent opportunity for builders, investors, or buyers looking for a central location with growing value and convenience to city amenities.Schedule your private showing and see the potential for yourself!

  13. 2026-04-20
    price $79,999 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Prime Location Near Downtown Houston!Discover the potential at 3018 Cactus Rd, Houston, TX — the perfect spot to build new or remodel just minutes from Downtown. Surrounded by new development and revitalized homes, this property offers a great opportunity to create your ideal home or investment project. Enjoy quick access to major highways, Midtown, East Downtown, and the University of Houston. Excellent opportunity for builders, investors, or buyers looking for a central location with growing value and convenience to city amenities.Schedule your private showing and see the potential for yourself!

  14. 2026-01-24
    price $89,900 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Prime Location Near Downtown Houston!Discover the potential at 3018 Cactus Rd, Houston, TX — the perfect spot to build new or remodel just minutes from Downtown. Surrounded by new development and revitalized homes, this property offers a great opportunity to create your ideal home or investment project. Enjoy quick access to major highways, Midtown, East Downtown, and the University of Houston. Excellent opportunity for builders, investors, or buyers looking for a central location with growing value and convenience to city amenities.Schedule your private showing and see the potential for yourself!

  15. 2025-11-07
    price $104,999 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Prime Location Near Downtown Houston!Discover the potential at 3018 Cactus Rd, Houston, TX — the perfect spot to build new or remodel just minutes from Downtown. Surrounded by new development and revitalized homes, this property offers a great opportunity to create your ideal home or investment project. Enjoy quick access to major highways, Midtown, East Downtown, and the University of Houston. Excellent opportunity for builders, investors, or buyers looking for a central location with growing value and convenience to city amenities.Schedule your private showing and see the potential for yourself!

  16. 2025-10-09
    listed $110,000 Active 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Prime Location Near Downtown Houston!Discover the potential at 3018 Cactus Rd, Houston, TX — the perfect spot to build new or remodel just minutes from Downtown. Surrounded by new development and revitalized homes, this property offers a great opportunity to create your ideal home or investment project. Enjoy quick access to major highways, Midtown, East Downtown, and the University of Houston. Excellent opportunity for builders, investors, or buyers looking for a central location with growing value and convenience to city amenities.Schedule your private showing and see the potential for yourself!

  17. 1993-02-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,189 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,189 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,351
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$1,189
− Insurance
−$5,443
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,068
− Management
−$1,068
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable loss
−$940
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$226
After-tax cash flow
$57/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
21,981
Household income
$39,211
Rent vs Own
56.3% rent · 43.7% own
Severe rent burden
1531.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 18% White 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.89%
Current HPI
267.5995
Rent YoY
▲ 3.08%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-41.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $64,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $69,999 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $79,999 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $89,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $104,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $110,000 HARMLS
  • 1993-02-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,189 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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