4802 S 6th St · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$207,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
South Side Starter NO Flood!!!!! This is the family home you have been looking for! 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Hardwood and tile in Living area Open concept living space. The sunroom is perfect for an additional playroom. 2 attached garage is a rare find!!!! Updated appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen. You won't want to miss out on this one!!!
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Sunroom
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $208k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $208k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bonham El (math 29% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 482 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 57% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+32.1%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $58k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 9140% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.43%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $193,336
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4225 S 6th St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-2%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $129 | 77 |
| 826 S La Salle Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,309 (-3%) | 1mo | $152,500 | $117 | 76 |
| 918 Buccaneer Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (-2%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $158 | 75 |
| 918 S San Jose Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+4%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $151 | 75 |
| 5208 Aztec Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-4%) | 0mo | $189,000 | $145 | 73 |
| 734 S Jefferson Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,546 (+14%) | 1mo | $215,500 | $139 | 64 |
| 5131 Durango Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-13%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $140 | 59 |
| 1141 S La Salle | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,427 (+6%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $133 | 56 |
| 1058 Westridge Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,468 (+9%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $143 | 54 |
| 1266 Buccaneer Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,502 (+11%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $87 | 43 |
| 1233 S Jefferson | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,179 (-13%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $157 | 40 |
| 709 Hawthorne St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,154 (-15%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $173 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-8,160
- Equity at exit
- $30,999
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $64,413
- Equity at exit
- $17,975
Cash invested: $58,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79605
- Rents YoY
- 32.1%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,225 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,090
- Tax from tax record
- −$366 /mo · $4,392/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $215
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $274 | +0% $215 | +5% $156 | +10% $97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $39 | -5% $127 | +0% $215 | +5% $303 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $319 | -0.5pp $268 | base $215 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,975
- Closing costs
- $6,237
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 841 S San Jose Dr Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $3,000 | $2.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 5348 Benbrook St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $2,100 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 728 Redbird Ln Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 994 | $1,695 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 234 Clyde St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $1,995 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5850 Hartford St Lot 123 Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,495 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5441 N 10th St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $2,500 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3250 College St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-04-28$2,250
-
2026-04-27historical $2,150
-
2026-04-07price $2,150
-
2026-03-26$2,250
-
2026-03-25soldstatus
-
2026-03-03status Pending
-
2026-02-23historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-02-19$207,900 Active
-
2024-08-02$219,900 Active
-
2020-04-24soldstatus
-
2020-02-19soldstatus
-
2018-08-10historical Active Option Contract
-
2018-08-09historical
-
2018-07-29status Active
-
2018-07-22historical Active Option Contract
-
2018-07-17$119,500 Active
-
2015-04-20soldstatus
-
2015-04-17soldstatus Sold
-
2015-03-27status Pending
-
2015-03-18historical Active Option Contract
-
2015-03-16$97,500 Active
-
2009-06-05soldstatus
-
2009-05-28soldstatus
-
2009-04-19historical
-
2009-03-23$89,900
-
2005-11-07soldstatus
-
2005-09-01historical
-
2005-05-29$66,900
-
1998-06-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,392 · $366/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,392 · $366/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,697
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,646
- − Property taxes
- −$4,392
- − Insurance
- −$1,040
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,136
- − Management
- −$2,136
- − Depreciation
- −$6,048
- Taxable loss
- −$700
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$168
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,467
- Household income
- $62,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1096.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.75%
- Current HPI
- 201.2341
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 32.08%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-96.6% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed for Rent $2,250 NTREIS
- 2026-04-27 Rental Removed $2,150 APPFOLIO
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $2,150 APPFOLIO
- 2026-03-26 Listed for Rent $2,250 APPFOLIO
- 2026-03-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-03-03 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-02-23 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $207,900 NTREIS
- 2024-08-02 Listed $219,900 NTREIS
- 2020-04-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-02-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-08-10 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2018-08-09 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2018-07-29 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2018-07-22 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2018-07-17 Listed $119,500 NTREIS
- 2015-04-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-04-17 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2015-03-27 Pending — NTREIS
- 2015-03-18 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2015-03-16 Listed $97,500 NTREIS
- 2009-06-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-05-28 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2009-04-19 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2009-03-23 Listed $89,900 NTREIS
- 2005-11-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-09-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2005-05-29 Listed $66,900 NTREIS
- 1998-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,392 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…