Multi-family
7259 Paige Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Warren! This well-maintained 2-unit property is perfect for both owner-occupants and savvy investors looking to generate strong rental income. Each unit features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a comfortable living area, and a functional kitchen layout - ideal for everyday living. The property also includes a full basement, offering ample storage space or potential for additional use. With separate utility meters for each unit, managing expenses is simple and efficient. Located in an excellent, convenient area close to grocery stores, schools, shopping, and more, this property offers both comfort and accessibility for tenants. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while renting the other, this property is a great opportunity for steady cash flow and long-term value!
Key facts
- Full basement
- Convenient area
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $165k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $826 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 5.3% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Van Dyke Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #512 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,489/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1296% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.46%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,997
- List price
- $164,999
- Delta
- 32.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7068 Ford Ave | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,410 (-6%) | 1mo | $218,000 | $155 | 76 |
| 7543 Paige Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,361 (-9%) | 14mo | $98,500 | $72 | 62 |
| 8452 Timken Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,588 (+6%) | 16mo | $155,000 | $98 | 46 |
| 7568 Hudson Ave | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,416 (-6%) | 23mo | $71,100 | $50 | 42 |
| 8264 Toepfer Rd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,361 (-9%) | 21mo | $127,500 | $94 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $24,294
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $82,502
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48091
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,489 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $826
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,488 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,244 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,244 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,489 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7256 Ready Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 7044 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1730 | $1,700 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7568 Hudson Ave Unit 1 Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1415 | $1,100 | $0.78 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 7584 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1554 | $1,800 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11076 Essex Ave Warren, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 11332 Republic Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 11377 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 25125 Campbell Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2086 | $2,000 | $0.96 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,394 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 23378 Cunningham Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,999 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $164,999 884-char remark
Show marketing remark (884 chars)
Don't miss this fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Warren! This well-maintained 2-unit property is perfect for both owner-occupants and savvy investors looking to generate strong rental income. Each unit features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a comfortable living area, and a functional kitchen layout - ideal for everyday living. The property also includes a full basement, offering ample storage space or potential for additional use. With separate utility meters for each unit, managing expenses is simple and efficient. Located in an excellent, convenient area close to grocery stores, schools, shopping, and more, this property offers both comfort and accessibility for tenants. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while renting the other, this property is a great opportunity for steady cash flow and long-term value!
-
2026-04-28price $164,999 900-char remark
Show marketing remark (900 chars)
Don’t miss this fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Warren! This well-maintained 2-unit property is perfect for both owner-occupants and savvy investors looking to generate strong rental income. Each unit features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a comfortable living area, and a functional kitchen layout—ideal for everyday living. The property also includes a full basement, offering ample storage space or potential for additional use. With separate utility meters for each unit, managing expenses is simple and efficient. Located in an excellent, convenient area close to grocery stores, schools, shopping, and more, this property offers both comfort and accessibility for tenants. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while renting the other, this property is a great opportunity for steady cash flow and long-term value!
-
2026-03-31price $190,000 884-char remark
Show marketing remark (884 chars)
Don't miss this fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Warren! This well-maintained 2-unit property is perfect for both owner-occupants and savvy investors looking to generate strong rental income. Each unit features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a comfortable living area, and a functional kitchen layout - ideal for everyday living. The property also includes a full basement, offering ample storage space or potential for additional use. With separate utility meters for each unit, managing expenses is simple and efficient. Located in an excellent, convenient area close to grocery stores, schools, shopping, and more, this property offers both comfort and accessibility for tenants. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while renting the other, this property is a great opportunity for steady cash flow and long-term value!
-
2026-03-30price $190,000 900-char remark
Show marketing remark (900 chars)
Don’t miss this fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Warren! This well-maintained 2-unit property is perfect for both owner-occupants and savvy investors looking to generate strong rental income. Each unit features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a comfortable living area, and a functional kitchen layout—ideal for everyday living. The property also includes a full basement, offering ample storage space or potential for additional use. With separate utility meters for each unit, managing expenses is simple and efficient. Located in an excellent, convenient area close to grocery stores, schools, shopping, and more, this property offers both comfort and accessibility for tenants. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while renting the other, this property is a great opportunity for steady cash flow and long-term value!
-
2026-03-17$215,000 Active 900-char remark
Show marketing remark (884 chars)
Don't miss this fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Warren! This well-maintained 2-unit property is perfect for both owner-occupants and savvy investors looking to generate strong rental income. Each unit features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a comfortable living area, and a functional kitchen layout - ideal for everyday living. The property also includes a full basement, offering ample storage space or potential for additional use. With separate utility meters for each unit, managing expenses is simple and efficient. Located in an excellent, convenient area close to grocery stores, schools, shopping, and more, this property offers both comfort and accessibility for tenants. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while renting the other, this property is a great opportunity for steady cash flow and long-term value!
-
2026-03-17$215,000 Active 884-char remark
Show marketing remark (884 chars)
Don't miss this fantastic investment opportunity in the heart of Warren! This well-maintained 2-unit property is perfect for both owner-occupants and savvy investors looking to generate strong rental income. Each unit features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a comfortable living area, and a functional kitchen layout - ideal for everyday living. The property also includes a full basement, offering ample storage space or potential for additional use. With separate utility meters for each unit, managing expenses is simple and efficient. Located in an excellent, convenient area close to grocery stores, schools, shopping, and more, this property offers both comfort and accessibility for tenants. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while renting the other, this property is a great opportunity for steady cash flow and long-term value!
-
2024-02-05soldstatus $160,000
-
2023-12-19$169,900
-
2023-10-26status Pending
-
2023-10-26historical
-
2023-10-26historical
-
2023-10-12$159,000 Active
-
2023-10-12$159,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,475
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,389
- − Management
- −$2,389
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $7,747
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,859
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,053/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property requires significant repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Immediate attention to electrical and plumbing issues is necessary for safety. Painting and updating the kitchen and bathrooms will enhance its appeal and functionality.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed wiring — Safety hazard
- Major Exposed plumbing — Safety hazard
- Major Peeling paint — Aesthetic and safety hazard
- Major Worn carpet — Safety hazard and comfort
- Major Worn paint — Aesthetic and safety hazard
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating the kitchen and bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and safety
- Both Flooring replacement — Enhances comfort and safety
- Both Electrical and plumbing repairs — Ensures safety and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed wiring · Safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed plumbing · Safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Peeling paint · Aesthetic and safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Worn carpet · Safety hazard and comfort | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Worn paint · Aesthetic and safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating the kitchen and bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and safety ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — Enhances comfort and safety ↑
- Both Electrical and plumbing repairs — Ensures safety and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Dyke Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634680
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,231
- Composite
- 10.46/100
- National rank
- #9784
- State rank
- #512 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,696
- Household income
- $54,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 25% Asian 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.66%
- Current HPI
- 177.9273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+3.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $164,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $164,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-17 Listed $215,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-17 Listed $215,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-02-05 Sold (MLS) $160,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-12-19 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2023-10-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-10-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-12 Listed $159,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-10-12 Listed $159,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…