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401 E Michigan St
D+ Composite 48.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

401 E Michigan St · Evansville, IN 47711
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,086 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1901 3,049 sqft lot Est $90k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom 2 bath single family home. Sold as part of a package deal (#2) totaling 7 investment properties. Currently rented for $975/month. Package includes 1015 Henning Ave. , 401 E Michigan St. , 1117 Lodge Ave. , 1118 N Garvin St. , 1414 E Sycamore St. , 1800 Boeke Rd. , and 1303 E Illinois St. for a total package purchase price of $665,000.00.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1901

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 127
  • Financial info: No additional financial or investor details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA details provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1.5 car)
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built with standard site-built construction
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed porch; Corner lot; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #862 of 994 statewide, top 88%, 236 students, 88% FRL); Central High School (math 38% / reading 74%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,090 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 50% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.41%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,698
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
751 E Virginia St 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,084 (-0%) 4mo $147,000 $71 72
116 E Virginia St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,949 (-7%) 12mo $60,000 $31 70
216 E Delaware St 0.24mi 3/2.0 2,184 (+5%) 12mo $215,000 $98 67
41 W Maryland St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,960 (-6%) 3mo $85,000 $43 60
656 E Oregon St 0.49mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,954 (-6%) 4mo $65,000 $33 58
401 E Iowa St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,868 (-10%) 17mo $98,500 $53 58
116 E Missouri St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,944 (-7%) 15mo $45,000 $23 53
109 W Indiana St 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,939 (-7%) 12mo $92,000 $47 50
209 W Columbia St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,034 (-2%) 18mo $45,000 $22 47
1115 N Elliott St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,816 (-13%) 13mo $99,000 $55 44
27 W Missouri St 0.59mi 3/2.0 2,288 (+10%) 15mo $35,000 $15 40
655 E Tennessee St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,780 (-15%) 6mo $32,000 $18 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-4,345
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$21,177
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47711

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
229
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$887 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $518/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $735
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $174 -5% $147 +0% $120 +5% $93 +10% $66
Rent -10% $50 -5% $85 +0% $120 +5% $155 +10% $190
Rate -1.0pp $168 -0.5pp $144 base $120 +0.5pp $95 +1.0pp $70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27 W Franklin St Evansville, IN 4.0 2.5 2500 $1,100 $0.44 21d 1 0.33mi
121 E Florida St Evansville, IN 4.0 2.0 1702 $100 $0.06 21d 1 0.58mi
1317 Harriet St Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 2000 $995 $0.50 14d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 107 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-02-12
    listed $95,000 Active
  7. 2025-08-28
    historical $975
  8. 2025-08-01
    listed $975
  9. 2018-12-19
    listed $39,900
  10. 2016-05-09
    listed $26,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$518 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$663 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$145/yr (+$12/mo · 28.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,646
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$518
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$852
− Management
−$852
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable loss
−$136
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$33
After-tax cash flow
$1,472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
30,944
Household income
$66,320
Rent vs Own
24.4% rent · 75.6% own
Severe rent burden
659.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.98%
Current HPI
205.62
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+253.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $95,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Rental Removed $975 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-08-01 Listed for Rent $975 APPFOLIO
  • 2018-12-19 Listed $39,900 IRMLS
  • 2016-05-09 Listed $26,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $518 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…