401 E Michigan St · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom 2 bath single family home. Sold as part of a package deal (#2) totaling 7 investment properties. Currently rented for $975/month. Package includes 1015 Henning Ave. , 401 E Michigan St. , 1117 Lodge Ave. , 1118 N Garvin St. , 1414 E Sycamore St. , 1800 Boeke Rd. , and 1303 E Illinois St. for a total package purchase price of $665,000.00.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1901
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 127
- Financial info: No additional financial or investor details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA details provided
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1.5 car)
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built with standard site-built construction
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed porch; Corner lot; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #862 of 994 statewide, top 88%, 236 students, 88% FRL); Central High School (math 38% / reading 74%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,090 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 50% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.41%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,698
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 751 E Virginia St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,084 (-0%) | 4mo | $147,000 | $71 | 72 |
| 116 E Virginia St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,949 (-7%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $31 | 70 |
| 216 E Delaware St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 2,184 (+5%) | 12mo | $215,000 | $98 | 67 |
| 41 W Maryland St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,960 (-6%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $43 | 60 |
| 656 E Oregon St | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,954 (-6%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $33 | 58 |
| 401 E Iowa St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,868 (-10%) | 17mo | $98,500 | $53 | 58 |
| 116 E Missouri St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,944 (-7%) | 15mo | $45,000 | $23 | 53 |
| 109 W Indiana St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,939 (-7%) | 12mo | $92,000 | $47 | 50 |
| 209 W Columbia St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,034 (-2%) | 18mo | $45,000 | $22 | 47 |
| 1115 N Elliott St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,816 (-13%) | 13mo | $99,000 | $55 | 44 |
| 27 W Missouri St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 2,288 (+10%) | 15mo | $35,000 | $15 | 40 |
| 655 E Tennessee St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,780 (-15%) | 6mo | $32,000 | $18 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-4,345
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $21,177
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47711
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $887 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $518/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $174 | -5% $147 | +0% $120 | +5% $93 | +10% $66 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $50 | -5% $85 | +0% $120 | +5% $155 | +10% $190 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $168 | -0.5pp $144 | base $120 | +0.5pp $95 | +1.0pp $70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 W Franklin St Evansville, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2500 | $1,100 | $0.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 121 E Florida St Evansville, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1702 | $100 | $0.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1317 Harriet St Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $995 | $0.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-02-12$95,000 Active
-
2025-08-28historical $975
-
2025-08-01$975
-
2018-12-19$39,900
-
2016-05-09$26,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $663 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$145/yr (+$12/mo · 28.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,646
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$518
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$852
- − Management
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$136
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$33
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,944
- Household income
- $66,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.98%
- Current HPI
- 205.62
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+253.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Listed $95,000 IRMLS
- 2025-08-28 Rental Removed $975 APPFOLIO
- 2025-08-01 Listed for Rent $975 APPFOLIO
- 2018-12-19 Listed $39,900 IRMLS
- 2016-05-09 Listed $26,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $518 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…