3860 Ironwood Ln Unit 103G · Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Imagine starting your morning with coffee on your private lanai, overlooking the peaceful water views and the 10th fairway of the golf course. Nestled in the highly desirable Ironwood Golf Community, this beautifully maintained first-floor condo offers easy access, comfort, and the relaxed Florida lifestyle you've been dreaming about. Offered fully furnished, this move-in-ready home features 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet, an additional double closet, a private en-suite bath, and direct access to the lanai, creating the perfect retreat at the end of the day. The open floor plan feels bright and inviting, with a cheerful kitchen that ove
Key facts
- Water views
- Extra storage
- Elevator access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association approval required; Homestead exempt
- Financial info: Total monthly fees: $629; Total annual fees: $7,548; Lease restrictions apply; Furnished
- HOA & community: Gulf Coast Association Management HOA (monthly fee $629); HOA fee includes cable TV, pool, escrow reserves, insurance, internet, structure & grounds maintenance, management, pest control, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash and water; Association amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, laundry, maintenance, shuffleboard court, pool, association recreation owned; Buyer approval required; Deed restrictions; No truck/RV/motorcycle parking; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats OK, number limit, max weight 15 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Security: Security lights; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/High-speed internet available; Cable available and connected; Electricity connected; Phone available
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; One level unit (floor 1); Faces west
- Construction: Block, stucco and other construction materials; Membrane roof; Slab foundation; IRONWOOD G building
- Exterior features: Lighting; Private mailbox; Sliding doors; On-site storage; Deck; Gunite in-ground pool with heating, lighting and outside bath access; Pond view; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Elevator; Living room/dining room combo; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; ENERGY STAR qualified windows; Storage rooms; Security lights; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room; Irrigation equipment
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: H. S. Moody Elementary School (math 39% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 606 students, 73% FRL); Bayshore High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 1,435 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 510 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $120k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.19%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-17,665
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-23,713
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34209
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 510
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,086 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $686/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$629
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $169
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4040 Ironwood Cir Unit 406F Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,675 | $1.66 | 16d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4040 Ironwood Cir Unit 404F Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 12d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4460 Fairways Blvd #606 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $2,000 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4240 Ironwood Cir #404 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,495 | $2.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4110 Ironwood Cir #104 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 501A Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $2,595 | $3.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4210 Ironwood Cir Unit 103J Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4570 Pinebrook Cir #304 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $3,100 | $2.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 406 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 406 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3401 50th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,699 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4107 41st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $3,700 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4112 Cape Vista Dr Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,495 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4457 45th Ave W #211 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,950 | $2.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4325 40th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,675 | $2.16 | 10d | 9 | 0.50mi |
| 4550 47th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,800 | $1.94 | 2d | 27 | 0.53mi |
| 4655 46th Street Ct W #103 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $600 | $0.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4801 47th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $1,810 | $1.78 | 2d | 32 | 0.66mi |
| 108 Pinehurst Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,500 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4802 51st St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,950 | $1.94 | 3d | 13 | 0.69mi |
| 4802 51st St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,950 | $1.94 | 16d | 15 | 0.69mi |
| 4449 46th Ave W Unit 4449 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $3,200 | $2.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4118 59th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,800 | $2.38 | 16d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3909 45th Ter W #106 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 283 Sherwood Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4850 51st St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,750 | $2.19 | 14d | 3 | 0.77mi |
| 4850 51st St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,750 | $2.19 | 3d | 2 | 0.77mi |
| 5907 36th Ave Cir W #5907 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 937 | $2,800 | $2.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 303 Springdale Dr #303 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,999 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 346 Springdale Dr Unit 346 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3806 Southern Pkwy W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,176 | $1.68 | 12d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3715 45th Ter W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3825 45th Ter W #104 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,550 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5909 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 788 | $1,670 | $2.12 | 2d | 6 | 0.85mi |
| 3603 45th Ter W #101 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4880 51st St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1019 | $1,527 | $1.50 | 3d | 11 | 0.91mi |
| 3512 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4116 62nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,650 | $1.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3603 Oxford Dr W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4572 Red Maple Rd #901 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,600 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $629 · $7,548/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$139,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $686 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,162 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$476/yr (+$40/mo · 69.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,034
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$686
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,003
- − Management
- −$2,003
- − HOA
- −$7,548
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $180
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$43
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradenton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #1528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 227,091
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,224
- Household income
- $81,728
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1126.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -360.34%
- Current HPI
- 320.0061
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.30%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+180.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $139,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1991-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $686 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…