1395 Willow Dr · Riverdale, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and well-maintained, 1395 Willow Drive offers the perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and curb appeal. This inviting home features spacious living areas filled with natural light, a thoughtfully designed layout, and plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, flowing seamlessly into the main living areas for everyday convenience. Outside, enjoy a generous yard with endless possibilities for gatherings, gardening, or simply unwinding after a long day. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major highways, this property delivers both lifestyle and location in one complete package. A solid opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for a move-in ready gem with lasting value.
Key facts
- Generous yard
- Natural light
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1-car); Two total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available; Electric service listed as other
- Home design: Two-level home; Resale property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction with brick front; Composition roof; Foundation: See remarks
- Exterior features: Private yard; Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Cabinets (stained); Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level; Two bedrooms on the lower level; Split bedroom plan
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on upper level, one on lower level); Master bath has no special features listed
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet; No common walls; Finished basement; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($646/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#100 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Martin Luther King- Jr. Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #996 of 1,228 statewide, top 83%, 578 students, 90% FRL); North Clayton Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #356 of 470 statewide, top 78%, 767 students, 90% FRL); North Clayton High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,206 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $225k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.03%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $233,184
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1410 Willow Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,365 (-2%) | 4mo | $148,000 | $108 | 87 |
| 1386 Pineglen Dr | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,426 (+3%) | 6mo | $269,000 | $189 | 86 |
| 1506 Norman Xing | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,373 (-1%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $168 | 74 |
| 5738 Antelope Trl | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,357 (-2%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $129 | 71 |
| 5709 Chisolm Trl | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,373 (-1%) | 6mo | $233,000 | $170 | 70 |
| 1406 Isleworth Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,406 (+1%) | 7mo | $205,500 | $146 | 64 |
| 1332 Pineglen Dr | 0.17mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+12%) | 2mo | $282,000 | $181 | 61 |
| 5623 Isleworth Ct | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,406 (+1%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $142 | 61 |
| 1651 Isleworth Cir | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,338 (-4%) | 6mo | $190,950 | $143 | 60 |
| 6255 Stimson Way | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (+1%) | 6mo | $249,900 | $178 | 59 |
| 5629 Norman Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,486 (+7%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $155 | 51 |
| 5721 Hidden Brook Cir | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,336 (-4%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $172 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-31,974
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-19,039
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30296
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,935 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,417/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1410 Willow Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,599 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1357 Heather Cir Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1553 | $1,794 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5922 Heatherwood Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,535 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1603 Blossom Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $2,055 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6181 Harkness Ct Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,099 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5689 Isleworth Way Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 6215 Stimson Way Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $1,805 | $1.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5890 Riverdale Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,559 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5692 Norman Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1770 | $1,806 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5914 Grande River Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $2,210 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6076 Camden Forrest Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $1,700 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1110 Garden Walk Blvd Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $1,720 | $1.69 | 2d | 22 | 0.61mi |
| 1146 E Fayetteville Rd Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,781 | $1.12 | 12d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1561 Norman Xing Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1436 | $1,699 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5626 Norman Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,790 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6061 Pine View Ter Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,811 | $1.20 | 1d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1507 Pine Dr Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,576 | $1.50 | 2d | 9 | 0.75mi |
| 6030 Riverdale Rd Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $1,895 | $1.82 | 43d | 21 | 0.75mi |
| 1100 Hidden Brook Trl Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1516 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5589 Glen Haven Dr Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,725 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1533 Northcut Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1872 | $1,938 | $1.04 | 12d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6616 Wellesley Dr Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1652 | $2,395 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1857 Broad River Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,950 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 776 Glenshire Ct Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1454 | $1,766 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1736 Broad River Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1558 | $1,731 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1048 Flat Shoals Rd Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $1,586 | $1.59 | 1d | 11 | 0.97mi |
| 5443 Northcut Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,751 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1770 Broad River Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1528 | $1,831 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1121 Brookstone Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1857 Whitworth Dr Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1857 | $1,888 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1086 Summer Brook Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6316 Steepleridge Ct Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1634 | $2,011 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1270 Brookstone Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1826 | $1,920 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5569 Pine Gate Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,350 | $1.68 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1136 Summer Brook Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,599 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5543 Pine Gate Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,895 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5543 Pine Gate Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,615 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1194 Crystal Lake Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1623 | $1,545 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5405 Glen Haven Dr Unit Labs Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,700 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5415 Glen Haven Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,580 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $225,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-06$225,000 Active
-
2026-05-01$225,000 New 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Charming and well-maintained, 1395 Willow Drive offers the perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and curb appeal. This inviting home features spacious living areas filled with natural light, a thoughtfully designed layout, and plenty of room for both relaxing and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample cabinet and counter space, flowing seamlessly into the main living areas for everyday convenience. Outside, enjoy a generous yard with endless possibilities for gatherings, gardening, or simply unwinding after a long day. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major highways, this property delivers both lifestyle and location in one complete package. A solid opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for a move-in ready gem with lasting value.
-
2002-07-16soldstatus $105,000
-
1998-06-30soldstatus $79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,417 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,417 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,417
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,858
- − Management
- −$1,858
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$3,183
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$764
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,410/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clayton County
- NCES district ID
- 1301230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,266
- Composite
- 13.41/100
- National rank
- #9527
- State rank
- #155 of 174 in GA
Livability — Riverdale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #7907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clayton County · 230,153 people
- City population
- 61,126
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,045
- Household income
- $63,292
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1400.0
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 310,777 people
- By 2030
- 329,762 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 368,052 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 401,196 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 472,488 · +52.0%
- By 2100
- 500,446 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% White 4% Asian 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.25%
- Current HPI
- 209.7527
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.55%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+181.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $225,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $225,000 GAMLS
- 2002-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 1998-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,417 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…