🏗️ New Construction
Camellia V B Plan · Covington, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$338,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Camellia V B floor plan by DSLD Homes-a beautifully designed, energy-efficient home offering the perfect combination of comfort, style, and functionality. With 2,204 square feet of living space, this home delivers a spacious layout ideal for growing families or anyone who loves open, modern living. The open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the kitchen, living, and dining areas, allowing for easy entertaining and everyday living. With four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, the Camellia V B offers both space and privacy, making it ideal for a variety of lifestyles. The kitchen is equipped with recessed can lighting, a walk-in pantry for ample storage, and a boot bench in the mudroom area for added organization. The bright and inviting living room is perfect for family gatherings and quiet evenings alike. The master suite is your private retreat, featuring a double vanity, a luxurious garden tub, a separate walk-in shower, and a walk-in closet designed for comfort and convenience. With a durable and attractive brick and stucco exterior, the Camellia V B blends timeless style with curb appeal. Step outside to the covered patio, perfect for relaxing outdoors, grilling, or entertaining guests. A two-car garage provides both parking and additional storage space. As with every DSLD home, the Camellia V B is built with high-quality materials and energy-efficient features that reduce utility costs and environmental impact-offering smart savings and sustaina
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Boot bench
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $339k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-225 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $338k (0.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $298k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.9% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#17 in LA, #3,876 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 365 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,382/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 296% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($298k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.30%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $419,216
- List price
- $338,990
- Delta
- -19.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13316 Riverlake Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,214 (+0%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $154 | 73 |
| 13208 Riverlake Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,984 (-10%) | 4mo | $320,000 | $161 | 68 |
| 14034 S Lakeshore Dr | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 | 2,224 (+1%) | 6mo | $413,277 | $186 | 63 |
| 13603 Riverlake Dr | 0.69mi | 4/3.5 | 2,206 (+0%) | 2mo | $425,000 | $193 | 60 |
| 13115 Raehyo Ln | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 2,292 (+4%) | 22mo | $389,000 | $170 | 42 |
| 13129 Riverlake Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,532 (+15%) | 22mo | $420,000 | $166 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-82,231
- Equity at exit
- $62,506
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-89,878
- Equity at exit
- $36,246
Cash invested: $117,381 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70435
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 365
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,382 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,198
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$524 /mo · $6,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$710
- Net cashflow
- $-225
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,804
- Closing costs
- $12,576
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12099 Jones Rd Covington, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,650 | $2.15 | 11d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 12099 Jones Rd Covington, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,950 | $2.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $338,990 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $338,990 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $338,990 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $338,990 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $338,990 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $338,990 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $338,990 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $338,990 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $338,990 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $338,990 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $338,990 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $338,990 Active 138 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $338,990 Active 137 DOM
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2026-01-14$338,990 Active 1495-char remark
Show marketing remark (1495 chars)
Welcome to the Camellia V B floor plan by DSLD Homes-a beautifully designed, energy-efficient home offering the perfect combination of comfort, style, and functionality. With 2,204 square feet of living space, this home delivers a spacious layout ideal for growing families or anyone who loves open, modern living. The open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the kitchen, living, and dining areas, allowing for easy entertaining and everyday living. With four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, the Camellia V B offers both space and privacy, making it ideal for a variety of lifestyles. The kitchen is equipped with recessed can lighting, a walk-in pantry for ample storage, and a boot bench in the mudroom area for added organization. The bright and inviting living room is perfect for family gatherings and quiet evenings alike. The master suite is your private retreat, featuring a double vanity, a luxurious garden tub, a separate walk-in shower, and a walk-in closet designed for comfort and convenience. With a durable and attractive brick and stucco exterior, the Camellia V B blends timeless style with curb appeal. Step outside to the covered patio, perfect for relaxing outdoors, grilling, or entertaining guests. A two-car garage provides both parking and additional storage space. As with every DSLD home, the Camellia V B is built with high-quality materials and energy-efficient features that reduce utility costs and environmental impact-offering smart savings and sustaina
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,483
- − Property taxes
- −$6,288
- − Insurance
- −$2,096
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,247
- − Management
- −$3,247
- − Depreciation
- −$12,195
- Taxable loss
- −$9,972
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,393
- After-tax cash flow
- $-311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates focusing on curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
- Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
- Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Covington
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #3876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 64,351
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,475
- Household income
- $80,926
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 296.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.03%
- Current HPI
- 202.0458
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Listed $338,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…