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Camellia V B Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 38.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$338,990

Camellia V B Plan · Covington, LA 70435
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,204 sqft · SingleFamily · 155 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Camellia V B floor plan by DSLD Homes-a beautifully designed, energy-efficient home offering the perfect combination of comfort, style, and functionality. With 2,204 square feet of living space, this home delivers a spacious layout ideal for growing families or anyone who loves open, modern living. The open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the kitchen, living, and dining areas, allowing for easy entertaining and everyday living. With four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, the Camellia V B offers both space and privacy, making it ideal for a variety of lifestyles. The kitchen is equipped with recessed can lighting, a walk-in pantry for ample storage, and a boot bench in the mudroom area for added organization. The bright and inviting living room is perfect for family gatherings and quiet evenings alike. The master suite is your private retreat, featuring a double vanity, a luxurious garden tub, a separate walk-in shower, and a walk-in closet designed for comfort and convenience. With a durable and attractive brick and stucco exterior, the Camellia V B blends timeless style with curb appeal. Step outside to the covered patio, perfect for relaxing outdoors, grilling, or entertaining guests. A two-car garage provides both parking and additional storage space. As with every DSLD home, the Camellia V B is built with high-quality materials and energy-efficient features that reduce utility costs and environmental impact-offering smart savings and sustaina

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Boot bench
  • Covered patio

Tags

ENERGY EFFICIENT HOMEOPEN FLOOR PLANWALK IN PANTRYBOOT BENCHCOVERED PATIOBRICK AND STUCCO EXTERIOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $338,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $419,216.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $339k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-225 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $338k (0.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $298k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.9% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#17 in LA, #3,876 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 365 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,382/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 296% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($298k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $298,311 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.30%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$419,216
List price
$338,990
Delta
-19.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13316 Riverlake Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,214 (+0%) 4mo $340,000 $154 73
13208 Riverlake Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,984 (-10%) 4mo $320,000 $161 68
14034 S Lakeshore Dr 0.55mi 4/3.0 2,224 (+1%) 6mo $413,277 $186 63
13603 Riverlake Dr 0.69mi 4/3.5 2,206 (+0%) 2mo $425,000 $193 60
13115 Raehyo Ln 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,292 (+4%) 22mo $389,000 $170 42
13129 Riverlake Dr 0.36mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,532 (+15%) 22mo $420,000 $166 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.1%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-82,231
Equity at exit
$62,506
10-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-89,878
Equity at exit
$36,246

Cash invested: $117,381 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70435

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
365
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,382 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,198
Tax est. 1.5%
$524 /mo · $6,288/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$710
Net cashflow
$-225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,667
Max offer price $386,611
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$104,804
Closing costs
$12,576
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12099 Jones Rd Covington, LA 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,650 $2.15 11d 1 1.47mi
12099 Jones Rd Covington, LA 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,950 $2.32 3d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $338,990 Active 155 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $338,990 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $338,990 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $338,990 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $338,990 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $338,990 Active 147 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $338,990 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $338,990 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $338,990 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $338,990 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $338,990 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $338,990 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $338,990 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-01-14
    listed $338,990 Active 1495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1495 chars)

    Welcome to the Camellia V B floor plan by DSLD Homes-a beautifully designed, energy-efficient home offering the perfect combination of comfort, style, and functionality. With 2,204 square feet of living space, this home delivers a spacious layout ideal for growing families or anyone who loves open, modern living. The open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the kitchen, living, and dining areas, allowing for easy entertaining and everyday living. With four bedrooms and two full bathrooms, the Camellia V B offers both space and privacy, making it ideal for a variety of lifestyles. The kitchen is equipped with recessed can lighting, a walk-in pantry for ample storage, and a boot bench in the mudroom area for added organization. The bright and inviting living room is perfect for family gatherings and quiet evenings alike. The master suite is your private retreat, featuring a double vanity, a luxurious garden tub, a separate walk-in shower, and a walk-in closet designed for comfort and convenience. With a durable and attractive brick and stucco exterior, the Camellia V B blends timeless style with curb appeal. Step outside to the covered patio, perfect for relaxing outdoors, grilling, or entertaining guests. A two-car garage provides both parking and additional storage space. As with every DSLD home, the Camellia V B is built with high-quality materials and energy-efficient features that reduce utility costs and environmental impact-offering smart savings and sustaina

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,584
− Mortgage interest
−$23,483
− Property taxes
−$6,288
− Insurance
−$2,096
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,247
− Management
−$3,247
− Depreciation
−$12,195
Taxable loss
−$9,972
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,393
After-tax cash flow
$-311/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates focusing on curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Tammany Parish
NCES district ID
2201650
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -26.00%
Median HH income
$61,752
Composite
43.04/100
National rank
#3098
State rank
#11 of 98 in LA

Livability — Covington

Score
75/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#3876

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
City population
64,351
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
22,475
Household income
$80,926
Rent vs Own
12.2% rent · 87.8% own
Severe rent burden
296.0

Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
286,725 people
By 2030
304,175 · +6.1%
By 2040
336,203 · +17.3%
By 2050
364,590 · +27.2%
By 2075
433,362 · +51.1%
By 2100
470,333 · +64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.03%
Current HPI
202.0458
Rent YoY
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $338,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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