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B Composite 70.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

76 Ewing Way · Belton, MO 64012
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 103 Days on market
Built 2026

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step inside this stunning, brand-new 2025 Clayton double-wide-a spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home designed for both comfort and style. The master suite is your personal retreat, featuring a large bedroom and a luxurious master bath complete with a garden tub, oversized shower, and his-and-hers sinks. Three additional spacious guest bedrooms offer plenty of room for family, friends, or a home office setup. The modern kitchen is a showstopper, boasting a large island with deep storage drawers, brand-new Samsung appliances, and a beautiful apron-front sink that ties it all together. Enjoy the outdoors on the large back deck-perfect for morning coffee, evening relaxation, or entertaining guests.

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Oversized shower
  • His-and-hers sinks

Tags

MASTER SUITELUXURIOUS MASTER BATHGARDEN TUBOVERSIZED SHOWERHIS-AND-HERS SINKSMODERN KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 76 Ewing Way, Belton MO 64012
  • Financial info: List price $100,000

Exterior

  • Utilities: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Home design: Spec new-construction plan (4x2)
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1568; Built as part of 2026 listings
  • Exterior features: Shake roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $835 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 4.7% in Belton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#52 in MO, #3,782 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Belton 124 (suburban): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #216 of 324 in MO (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 588 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cass County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $91,000 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
16.31%
Cash-on-cash
35.76%
DSCR
2.59
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.9%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$41,283
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
41.9%
Equity multiple
5.39×
Total profit
$122,985
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64012

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,931 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$835

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
209 W 162nd Ter Belton, MO 3.0 2.5 1325 $1,565 $1.18 3d 1 0.43mi
834 Autumn Woods Dr VLG LOCH LOYD, MO 3.0 2.5 1325 $1,730 $1.31 1d 4 0.44mi
161 Rainbow Dr Belton, MO 3.0 2.0 1624 $1,478 $0.91 23d 1 0.69mi
6108 E 149th St Grandview, MO 4.0 1.5 1200 $1,465 $1.22 43d 1 1.48mi
6205 E 149th St Grandview, MO 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 21d 1 1.49mi
117 Monroe Ave Belton, MO 3.0 2.5 1972 $1,950 $0.99 7d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 103 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 102 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 101 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,173
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,854
− Management
−$1,854
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$8,955
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,149
After-tax cash flow
$7,865/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belton 124
NCES district ID
2904620
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$56,946
Composite
29.73/100
National rank
#6446
State rank
#216 of 324 in MO

Livability — Belton

Score
76/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#3782

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belton, MO
County
Cass County · 65,358 people
City population
29,304
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
29,304
Household income
$71,814
Rent vs Own
34.9% rent · 65.1% own
Severe rent burden
1081.0

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,292 people
By 2030
106,109 · +0.8%
By 2040
105,786 · +0.5%
By 2050
102,062 · -3.1%
By 2075
88,569 · -15.9%
By 2100
68,293 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.3% · R 65.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -32.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.1 2020: R+31.6 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -244.76%
Current HPI
214.6157
Rent YoY
▲ 5.17%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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