9-Plex
4912 Evanston Ave N · Seattle, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- ARV discount +2.9/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,900,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 9 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Wonderful mid-century 9-unit apartment building in a prime Seattle location directly across from Woodland Park Zoo. The “Zoo-plex” features one basement studio and eight spacious one-bedroom units with hardwood floors and classic mid-century character. Amenities include common laundry, individual storage units, and off-street parking for two vehicles. Strong value-add opportunity with potential to increase rents or renovate units for enhanced income. This highly desirable location supports consistent tenant demand, low turnover, and ease of leasing. The property has been well maintained, with recent updates including a newer boiler, roof, and sewer line. Offered for the first ti
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Common laundry
- Off-street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 9 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.90M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $740 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $82/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.67M (12.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.67M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: B F Day Elementary School (390 students, 16% FRL); Hamilton International Middle School (928 students, 12% FRL); Lincoln High School (1,653 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools average 13% FRL vs 30% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $16,729/mo this rent would consume 153% of the median local household income ($131k/yr) (locally 2586% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $13k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $57k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.84M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $415k; list at $1.90M implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.67%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,725,281
- List price
- $1,900,000
- Delta
- 10.13%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-274,274
- Equity at exit
- $283,296
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-232,714
- Equity at exit
- $164,277
Cash invested: $532,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Seattle
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+52
ZIP-level market 98103
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 361
- Price-to-rent
- 85.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $16,729 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$9,964
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,721 /mo · $20,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$792
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,513
- Net cashflow
- $740
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,815 | -5% $1,278 | +0% $740 | +5% $202 | +10% $-336 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-582 | -5% $79 | +0% $740 | +5% $1,401 | +10% $2,061 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,697 | -0.5pp $1,223 | base $740 | +0.5pp $247 | +1.0pp $-253 |
9-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9× units | 1 | 1 | $16,731 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,859 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,859 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,859 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $1,859 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $1,859 |
| #6 | 1 | 1 | $1,859 |
| #7 | 1 | 1 | $1,859 |
| #8 | 1 | 1 | $1,859 |
| #9 | 1 | 1 | $1,859 |
| Total (9 units) | $16,729 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $475,000
- Closing costs
- $57,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-04-09$1,900,000 Active
-
1993-08-06soldstatus $415,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $20,648 · $1,721/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $20,648 · $1,721/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥86°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $200,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$106,430
- − Property taxes
- −$20,648
- − Insurance
- −$9,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$16,060
- − Management
- −$16,060
- − Depreciation
- −$55,273
- Taxable loss
- −$23,222
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,573
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seattle Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5307710
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,695
- Composite
- 60.76/100
- National rank
- #1649
- State rank
- #19 of 291 in WA
Livability — Seattle
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seattle, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 706,262
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,671
- Household income
- $131,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2586.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 11% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1970.58%
- Current HPI
- 314.4545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+357.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listed $1,900,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $415,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $20,648 · -9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…