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4912 Evanston Ave N 9-Plex
D Composite 42.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.9/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,900,000

4912 Evanston Ave N · Seattle, WA 98103
81 bd · 81.0 ba · 5,662 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1955 5,000 sqft lot $336/sqft · 10% above area Est $1725k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 9 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Wonderful mid-century 9-unit apartment building in a prime Seattle location directly across from Woodland Park Zoo. The “Zoo-plex” features one basement studio and eight spacious one-bedroom units with hardwood floors and classic mid-century character. Amenities include common laundry, individual storage units, and off-street parking for two vehicles. Strong value-add opportunity with potential to increase rents or renovate units for enhanced income. This highly desirable location supports consistent tenant demand, low turnover, and ease of leasing. The property has been well maintained, with recent updates including a newer boiler, roof, and sewer line. Offered for the first ti

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Common laundry
  • Off-street parking

Tags

PRIME SEATTLE LOCATIONACROSS FROM WOODLAND PARK ZOOCOMMON LAUNDRYINDIVIDUAL STORAGE UNITSOFF-STREET PARKINGRECENT UPDATES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 9 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.90M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $740 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $82/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.67M (12.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.67M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: B F Day Elementary School (390 students, 16% FRL); Hamilton International Middle School (928 students, 12% FRL); Lincoln High School (1,653 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools average 13% FRL vs 30% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $16,729/mo this rent would consume 153% of the median local household income ($131k/yr) (locally 2586% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $13k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $57k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.84M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $415k; list at $1.90M implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,672,900 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.67%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,725,281
List price
$1,900,000
Delta
10.13%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-274,274
Equity at exit
$283,296
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-232,714
Equity at exit
$164,277

Cash invested: $532,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City Seattle
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+52
Just Cause + Relocation Assistance + Source of Income + First in Time.

ZIP-level market 98103

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
361
Price-to-rent
85.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$16,729 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$9,964
Tax from tax record
$1,721 /mo · $20,648/yr
Insurance
$792
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,513
Net cashflow
$740

Break-even live

Break-even rent $15,793
Max offer price $1,900,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,815 -5% $1,278 +0% $740 +5% $202 +10% $-336
Rent -10% $-582 -5% $79 +0% $740 +5% $1,401 +10% $2,061
Rate -1.0pp $1,697 -0.5pp $1,223 base $740 +0.5pp $247 +1.0pp $-253

9-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (9 units) $16,729

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$475,000
Closing costs
$57,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    listed $1,900,000 Active
  3. 1993-08-06
    soldstatus $415,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$20,648 · $1,721/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$20,648 · $1,721/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥86°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$200,748
− Mortgage interest
−$106,430
− Property taxes
−$20,648
− Insurance
−$9,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$16,060
− Management
−$16,060
− Depreciation
−$55,273
Taxable loss
−$23,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,573
After-tax cash flow
$14,451/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seattle Public Schools
NCES district ID
5307710
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,695
Composite
60.76/100
National rank
#1649
State rank
#19 of 291 in WA

Livability — Seattle

Score
75/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#4033

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seattle, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
706,262
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
52,671
Household income
$131,154
Rent vs Own
55.6% rent · 44.4% own
Severe rent burden
2586.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Two or more races 11% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1970.58%
Current HPI
314.4545
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+357.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $1,900,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $415,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $20,648 · -9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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