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5977 Lalite Ave
B Composite 73.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$71,900

5977 Lalite Ave · St. Louis, MO 63136
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 644 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1917 3,750 sqft lot $112/sqft · 179% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

*Great Addition to your Rental portfolio *New Roof-Gutters-HWH-Paint-Vinyl Plank FlooringThermal Windows-6 Panel Doors"Nice Backyard*

Key facts

  • Gutters
  • Thermal windows
  • Hwh

Tags

NEW ROOFGUTTERSHWHPAINTVINYL PLANK FLOORINGTHERMAL WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($497 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $72k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,743 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.81%
Cash-on-cash
23.27%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$25,740
List price
$71,900
Delta
179.33%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6062 Thekla 0.16mi 1/1.0 (-1) 640 (-1%) 15mo $36,000 $56 74
6342 Lena Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 678 (+5%) 2mo $40,000 $59 66
4750 Plover Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 672 (+4%) 6mo $35,000 $52 62
5916 Lalite Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 720 (+12%) 18mo $20,000 $28 60
5239 Hamilton Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 725 (+13%) 2mo $8,750 $12 58
5760 Acme Ave 0.74mi 1/1.0 (-1) 624 (-3%) 4mo $15,000 $24 52
5471 Janet Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 696 (+8%) 9mo $30,000 $43 48
5626 Vivian Pl 0.53mi 1/1.0 (-1) 704 (+9%) 10mo $20,000 $28 47
5425 Janet Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 725 (+13%) 10mo $17,999 $25 42
7028 Dawson Pl 0.73mi 1/— (-1) 602 (-6%) 15mo $29,999 $50 37
5313 Helen Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 730 (+13%) 20mo $50,000 $68 36
5635 Hodiamont Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 580 (-10%) 18mo $39,900 $69 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.2%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$38,617
Equity at exit
$35,575
10-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$102,238
Equity at exit
$57,496

Cash invested: $20,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,027 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$377
Tax from tax record
$14 /mo · $169/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $533
Max offer price $71,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $431 -5% $411 +0% $390 +5% $370 +10% $350
Rent -10% $309 -5% $350 +0% $390 +5% $431 +10% $471
Rate -1.0pp $427 -0.5pp $409 base $390 +0.5pp $372 +1.0pp $353

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,975
Closing costs
$2,157
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4719 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 744 $995 $1.34 5d 1 0.60mi
5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 580 $899 $1.55 21d 1 0.70mi
7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 588 $995 $1.69 45d 1 0.75mi
4935 Alcott Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 680 $705 $1.04 17d 1 0.80mi
7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 19d 1 1.11mi
8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 5d 1 1.29mi
8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,075 $1.43 45d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $71,900 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $71,900 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $71,900 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $71,900 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $71,900 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $71,900 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $71,900 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $71,900 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $71,900 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $71,900 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $71,900 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $71,900 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $71,900 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $71,900 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    price $71,900 138-char remark
    Show marketing remark (138 chars)

    *Great Addition to your Rental portfolio *New Roof-Gutters-HWH-Paint-Vinyl Plank FlooringThermal Windows-6 Panel Doors"Nice Backyard*

  16. 2026-04-22
    listed $74,900 Active 138-char remark
    Show marketing remark (138 chars)

    *Great Addition to your Rental portfolio *New Roof-Gutters-HWH-Paint-Vinyl Plank FlooringThermal Windows-6 Panel Doors"Nice Backyard*

  17. 2010-12-17
    soldstatus $17,700
  18. 2006-12-27
    soldstatus $58,000
  19. 2005-06-08
    soldstatus
  20. 2001-05-01
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$169 · $14/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$697 · $58/mo
Expected delta
+$529/yr (+$44/mo · 313.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,325
− Mortgage interest
−$4,028
− Property taxes
−$169
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$986
− Management
−$986
− Depreciation
−$2,092
Taxable income
$3,706
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$889
After-tax cash flow
$3,795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+105.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $71,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $17,700 Public Records
  • 2006-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $169 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…