5977 Lalite Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$71,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
*Great Addition to your Rental portfolio *New Roof-Gutters-HWH-Paint-Vinyl Plank FlooringThermal Windows-6 Panel Doors"Nice Backyard*
Key facts
- Gutters
- Thermal windows
- Hwh
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($497 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $72k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.27%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $25,740
- List price
- $71,900
- Delta
- 179.33%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6062 Thekla | 0.16mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 640 (-1%) | 15mo | $36,000 | $56 | 74 |
| 6342 Lena Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 678 (+5%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $59 | 66 |
| 4750 Plover Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+4%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $52 | 62 |
| 5916 Lalite Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+12%) | 18mo | $20,000 | $28 | 60 |
| 5239 Hamilton Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (+13%) | 2mo | $8,750 | $12 | 58 |
| 5760 Acme Ave | 0.74mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 624 (-3%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $24 | 52 |
| 5471 Janet Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+8%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $43 | 48 |
| 5626 Vivian Pl | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 704 (+9%) | 10mo | $20,000 | $28 | 47 |
| 5425 Janet Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (+13%) | 10mo | $17,999 | $25 | 42 |
| 7028 Dawson Pl | 0.73mi | 1/— (-1) | 602 (-6%) | 15mo | $29,999 | $50 | 37 |
| 5313 Helen Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 730 (+13%) | 20mo | $50,000 | $68 | 36 |
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 580 (-10%) | 18mo | $39,900 | $69 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $38,617
- Equity at exit
- $35,575
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.08×
- Total profit
- $102,238
- Equity at exit
- $57,496
Cash invested: $20,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,027 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$377
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $169/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $431 | -5% $411 | +0% $390 | +5% $370 | +10% $350 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $309 | -5% $350 | +0% $390 | +5% $431 | +10% $471 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $427 | -0.5pp $409 | base $390 | +0.5pp $372 | +1.0pp $353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,975
- Closing costs
- $2,157
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4719 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $899 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $995 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4935 Alcott Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $705 | $1.04 | 17d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 19d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $71,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $71,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $71,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $71,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $71,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $71,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $71,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $71,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $71,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $71,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $71,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $71,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $71,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $71,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $71,900 138-char remark
Show marketing remark (138 chars)
*Great Addition to your Rental portfolio *New Roof-Gutters-HWH-Paint-Vinyl Plank FlooringThermal Windows-6 Panel Doors"Nice Backyard*
-
2026-04-22$74,900 Active 138-char remark
Show marketing remark (138 chars)
*Great Addition to your Rental portfolio *New Roof-Gutters-HWH-Paint-Vinyl Plank FlooringThermal Windows-6 Panel Doors"Nice Backyard*
-
2010-12-17soldstatus $17,700
-
2006-12-27soldstatus $58,000
-
2005-06-08soldstatus
-
2001-05-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $169 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $697 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$529/yr (+$44/mo · 313.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,028
- − Property taxes
- −$169
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$986
- − Management
- −$986
- − Depreciation
- −$2,092
- Taxable income
- $3,706
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$889
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+105.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $71,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $17,700 Public Records
- 2006-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.5%/yrLatest (2024): $169 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…