CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
14837 86th Ave Multi-family
D- Composite 37.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,399,999

14837 86th Ave · New York, NY 11435
5 bd · 5.0 ba · 3,192 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1915 5,112 sqft lot Est $1251k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Exceptional opportunity to own a well-maintained, turnkey multi-family income-producing property offering four levels of versatile living space, including a spacious walk-up attic with impressive ceiling height. Boasting approximately 3,169 sq. ft. of interior space situated on a generous 40 ft. x 123 ft. lot (approximately 5,112 sq. ft. ), this property offers comfort, functionality, and investment potential. Enjoy the convenience of an attached garage with direct interior access, allowing you to get to your vehicle comfortably during inclement weather. The thoughtfully designed layout creates a sense of privacy and security, while the expansive yard provides excellent space for entertaini

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Expansive yard
  • 5,112 sq ft lot

Tags

TURNKEY THREE-FAMILY PROPERTYSPACIOUS WALK-UP ATTICIMPRESSIVE CEILING HEIGHTATTACHED GARAGEDIRECT INTERIOR ACCESSEXPANSIVE YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces; 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Trash collection (public); Water connected
  • Home design: Triplex
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction
  • Exterior features: Brick and frame construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; Two 2-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Built-in features; Chandelier; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/5.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.40M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.14M (18.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.14M (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $11,370/mo this rent would consume 171% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 3361% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.38M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $249k; list at $1.40M implies a 462% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,137,000 (18.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.53%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,251,264
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
150-67 87 Ave 0.20mi 6/2.0 (+1) 3,000 (-6%) 2mo $1,175,000 $392 62
13409 89th Ave 0.70mi 5/3.0 2,717 (-15%) 15mo $865,300 $318 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-227,838
Equity at exit
$208,744
10-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-232,519
Equity at exit
$121,046

Cash invested: $392,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11435

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
30.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,370 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,342
Tax from tax record
$884 /mo · $10,605/yr
Insurance
$583
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,388
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $11,150
Max offer price $1,399,999
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $966 -5% $570 +0% $173 +5% $-223 +10% $-619
Rent -10% $-725 -5% $-276 +0% $173 +5% $623 +10% $1,072
Rate -1.0pp $878 -0.5pp $530 base $173 +0.5pp $-189 +1.0pp $-558

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $11,370

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$350,000
Closing costs
$42,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,399,999 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $1,399,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$10,605 · $884/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$17,133 · $1,428/mo
Expected delta
+$6,527/yr (+$544/mo · 61.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$136,440
− Mortgage interest
−$78,422
− Property taxes
−$10,605
− Insurance
−$7,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,915
− Management
−$10,915
− Depreciation
−$40,727
Taxable loss
−$22,145
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,315
After-tax cash flow
$7,396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
56,826
Household income
$79,710
Rent vs Own
64.0% rent · 36.0% own
Severe rent burden
3361.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 25% Asian 23% White 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Hispanic 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
53% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -399.00%
Current HPI
206.3955
Rent YoY
▲ 1.97%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+636.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $1,399,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $249,000 Public Records
  • 1985-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,605 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…