207 Candace Ct · Dothan, AL 36301

$149,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,698 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market

Built 1985 Est $211k · 29% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +6.8/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits at 207 Candace Ct in Dothan! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a solid layout with features buyers love, including a cozy fireplace, a bonus man cave area, and multiple outdoor amenities. Step outside to find an above-ground pool, a storage building, and a tiki hut with great potential to be restored into a fun backyard retreat. While the home is in need of updating, it presents an excellent opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize a property to fit their vision. With the right updates, this property could truly shine and become a standout home. Conveniently located and priced to reflect the love it needs, this is your chance to add value and

Key facts

• Tiki hut
• Storage building
• Bonus man cave area

Tags

• COZY FIREPLACE
• BONUS MAN CAVE AREA
• ABOVE-GROUND POOL
• STORAGE BUILDING
• TIKI HUT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
• Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Beverlye Intermediate School (math 6% / reading 25%, grade F, #503 of 627 statewide, top 80%, 388 students, 90% FRL); Dothan Preparatory Academy (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #163 of 257 statewide, top 64%, 1,133 students, 78% FRL); Dothan High School (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #163 of 305 statewide, top 54%, 1,454 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 59% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.18% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.73%
• DSCR: 1.66
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $210,552
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2411 Creek Wood Dr	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,608 (-5%)	3mo	$199,500	$124	76
2411 Creekwood Dr	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,608 (-5%)	3mo	$199,500	$124	76
115 Brittany Dr	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,706 (+0%)	6mo	$230,000	$135	76
901 Clearmont Dr	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,554 (-8%)	8mo	$181,000	$116	73
925 Clearmont Dr	0.14mi	3/2.0	1,874 (+10%)	5mo	$80,000	$43	72
1004 Eastwood Dr	0.15mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,643 (-3%)	14mo	$235,000	$143	71
905 Eastwood Dr	0.20mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,757 (+4%)	8mo	$235,000	$134	69
205 Lace Dr	0.30mi	3/2.0	1,849 (+9%)	12mo	$290,000	$157	61
1865 E Cottonwood Rd	0.34mi	3/2.0	1,843 (+8%)	12mo	$199,900	$108	60
341 Darlington Cir	0.61mi	3/2.5	1,787 (+5%)	3mo	$194,000	$109	58
2227 Norwood Dr	0.32mi	3/1.0	1,560 (-8%)	11mo	$129,900	$83	58
236 Princeton Dr	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,471 (-13%)	12mo	$252,500	$172	55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.20×
• Total profit: $8,462
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.18×
• Total profit: $49,356
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36301

• Home prices YoY: -24.9%
• Active inventory: 410
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,770 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$35 /mo · $415/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$372
• Net cashflow: $515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,118

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $600	-5% $558	+0% $515	+5% $473	+10% $430
Rent	-10% $375	-5% $445	+0% $515	+5% $585	+10% $655
Rate	-1.0pp $591	-0.5pp $553	base $515	+0.5pp $476	+1.0pp $437

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 11 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
133 Princeton Dr Dothan, AL	4.0	3.0	2205	$2,100	$0.95	44d	1	0.14mi
205 Princeton Dr Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1992	$2,000	$1.00	44d	1	0.15mi
2211 Shannondoah Dr Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1409	$1,450	$1.03	44d	1	0.70mi
131 Hedstrom Dr Greenwood, AL	3.0	2.0	1526	$1,400	$0.92	44d	1	0.87mi
151 Radford Cir Dothan, AL	2.0	1.5	1171	$1,400	$1.20	44d	1	0.96mi
2918 Third Ave Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1504	$1,400	$0.93	44d	1	1.03mi
1009 Jonathan St Dothan, AL	3.0	1.5	1318	$1,300	$0.99	44d	1	1.07mi
306 Mustang Dr Dothan, AL	3.0	1.0	1301	$1,050	$0.81	44d	1	1.15mi
1581 E Selma St Aurora, AL	3.0	1.5	1426	$1,149	$0.81	44d	1	1.27mi
1000 Fairlane Dr Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1500	$1,200	$0.80	44d	1	1.33mi
105 St Lawrence Dr Dothan, AL	2.0	2.0	1580	$1,500	$0.95	44d	1	1.38mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-03-17
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-13
   listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $415 · $35/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $615 · $51/mo
• Expected delta: +$200/yr (+$17/mo · 48.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,242
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$415
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,699
• − Management: −$1,699
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $3,921
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$941
• After-tax cash flow: $5,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dothan City
• NCES district ID: 0101230
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,279
• Composite: 24.56/100
• National rank: #7640
• State rank: #73 of 129 in AL

Livability — Dothan

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #146
• US rank: #13662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dothan, AL
• City population: 47,783
• Population (ZIP): 38,627

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 110,280 people
• By 2030: 112,668 · +2.2%
• By 2040: 116,149 · +5.3%
• By 2050: 117,805 · +6.8%
• By 2075: 118,577 · +7.5%
• By 2100: 110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -53.46%
• Current HPI: 161.1212
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-17 Pending — SAMLS
• 2026-03-13 Listed $149,900 SAMLS