9 Alberta St · Ludlow, KY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$142,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wow why rent when you can own. This is a maintenance free no step interior living. This has been completely updated for peace of mind with new metal roof, insulation, mini split heating/cooling systems. Beautiful finishes with new kitchen and bath. Extra bonus space in partially finished lower level. Close and convenient location to downtown and Covington.
Key facts
- New metal roof
- New bath
- New kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $143k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (5.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (5.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.8% in Ludlow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#36 in KY, #326 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
- Ludlow Independent (suburban): math 26% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #105 of 165 in KY (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $988 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $5k; list at $143k implies a 2758% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.71%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,389
- List price
- $142,900
- Delta
- 13.97%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Alberta St | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 576 (0%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $226 | 98 |
| 392 Altamont Rd | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 651 (+13%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $100 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-15,266
- Equity at exit
- $21,307
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,150
- Equity at exit
- $12,355
Cash invested: $40,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41016
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$749
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $838/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $205 | -5% $164 | +0% $124 | +5% $84 | +10% $43 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $17 | -5% $71 | +0% $124 | +5% $177 | +10% $231 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $196 | -0.5pp $160 | base $124 | +0.5pp $87 | +1.0pp $49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,725
- Closing costs
- $4,287
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1261 Parkway Ave Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 5d | 3 | 0.13mi |
| 22 Swain Ct Covington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 2d | 3 | 0.32mi |
| 105 Ash St Unit 1364141P Ludlow, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $2,906 | $4.16 | 8d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2 Adela Ave Unit 2 Ludlow, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2361 Maryland Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1002 Parkvale Ct Unit 1002 3 Park Hills, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 8d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 205 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 648 | $1,686 | $2.60 | 2d | 44 | 1.30mi |
| 151 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,899 | $2.61 | 2d | 102 | 1.33mi |
| 151 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 487 | $1,500 | $3.08 | 3d | 8 | 1.33mi |
| 810 Plum St Unit 404 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 485 | $1,250 | $2.58 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 810 Plum St Ste 2 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 485 | $1,299 | $2.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 464 Grand Ave #1 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 44 W Freedom Way Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $2,229 | $2.36 | 2d | 28 | 1.40mi |
| 135 Garfield Pl Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,413 | $2.11 | 2d | 6 | 1.43mi |
| 305 W Pike St Unit 305-103 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $875 | $1.75 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 309 Vine St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 2d | 15 | 1.45mi |
| 1 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1675 | $3,900 | $2.33 | 3d | 96 | 1.47mi |
| 5 Devou Woods Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $890 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 111 Garfield Pl Unit GAR-0105 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,190 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 111 Garfield Pl Unit GAR-1001 Cincinnati, OH | — | 1.0 | 550 | $1,070 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 111 Garfield Pl Unit GAR-0501 Cincinnati, OH | — | 1.0 | 550 | $980 | $1.78 | 5d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-13price $142,900 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
Wow why rent when you can own. This is a maintenance free no step interior living. This has been completely updated for peace of mind with new metal roof, insulation, mini split heating/cooling systems. Beautiful finishes with new kitchen and bath. Extra bonus space in partially finished lower level. Close and convenient location to downtown and Covington.
-
2026-04-14status Active 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
Wow why rent when you can own. This is a maintenance free no step interior living. This has been completely updated for peace of mind with new metal roof, insulation, mini split heating/cooling systems. Beautiful finishes with new kitchen and bath. Extra bonus space in partially finished lower level. Close and convenient location to downtown and Covington.
-
2026-04-07status Pending 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
Wow why rent when you can own. This is a maintenance free no step interior living. This has been completely updated for peace of mind with new metal roof, insulation, mini split heating/cooling systems. Beautiful finishes with new kitchen and bath. Extra bonus space in partially finished lower level. Close and convenient location to downtown and Covington.
-
2026-04-02$144,900 Active 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
Wow why rent when you can own. This is a maintenance free no step interior living. This has been completely updated for peace of mind with new metal roof, insulation, mini split heating/cooling systems. Beautiful finishes with new kitchen and bath. Extra bonus space in partially finished lower level. Close and convenient location to downtown and Covington.
-
2017-06-05soldstatus $5,000 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
Sold As is. Structural issues. Home was previously rented for $600 for the past 10 years
-
2017-04-12$19,900 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
Sold As is. Structural issues. Home was previously rented for $600 for the past 10 years
-
2004-11-19historical
-
2004-05-19$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $838 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,229 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$391/yr (+$33/mo · 46.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,241
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,005
- − Property taxes
- −$838
- − Insurance
- −$1,512
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,299
- − Management
- −$1,299
- − Depreciation
- −$4,157
- Taxable loss
- −$870
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$209
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,696/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ludlow Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2103630
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,821
- Composite
- 25.27/100
- National rank
- #7492
- State rank
- #105 of 165 in KY
Livability — Ludlow
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #326
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ludlow, KY
- County
- Kenton County · 142,881 people
- City population
- 5,795
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,795
- Household income
- $71,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 95.0
Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,205 people
- By 2030
- 177,897 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 182,671 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 183,543 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 178,977 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 159,920 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -141.84%
- Current HPI
- 215.1436
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+186.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $142,900 NKMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2026-04-07 Pending — NKMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $144,900 NKMLS
- 2017-06-05 Sold (MLS) $5,000 NKMLS
- 2017-04-12 Listed $19,900 NKMLS
- 2004-11-19 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2004-05-19 Listed $49,900 NKMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $838 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…