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675 Pershing St
C- Composite 53.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

675 Pershing St · Craig, CO 81625
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1928 9,375 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all investors, flippers, and DIY dreamers! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is packed with potential and ready for its next chapter. Located in a great Craig neighborhood near the grocery store, post office, and Sunset Elementary School, this fixer-upper offers the chance to create nice value. Inside, you'll find original hardwood floors, spacious living areas, built-ins, vintage charm, and a functional layout just waiting for a refresh. Whether you're looking for your next fix-and-flip, rental property, or renovation project, this one is worth a look!

Key facts

  • Vintage charm
  • Functional layout
  • Built-ins

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSSPACIOUS LIVING AREASBUILT-INSVINTAGE CHARMFUNCTIONAL LAYOUT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single family residence; Not a model home
  • Exterior features: Located on 6th & Pershing St.; Subdivision: Sunset Addition

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Unfurnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.2% in Craig — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#160 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime D.
  • Moffat County School District Re: No. 1 (town): math 22% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #53 of 86 in CO (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Moffat County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Moffat County population projected at -41% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $145k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.36%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$312,256
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
828 Taylor St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,926 (+1%) 10mo $249,900 $130 76
801 Steele St 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,920 (+1%) 8mo $278,000 $145 70
909 RANNEY St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,808 (-5%) 6mo $295,000 $163 68
624 Barclay St 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,728 (-9%) 10mo $335,000 $194 66
829 Stout St 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,100 (+10%) 5mo $284,000 $135 59
836 Ledford St 0.36mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,975 (+4%) 11mo $440,000 $223 57
860 Russell St 0.47mi 3/2.0 2,011 (+6%) 11mo $329,900 $164 55
1226 Barclay St 0.71mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,920 (+1%) 7mo $333,500 $174 49
1162 Breeze St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,976 (+4%) 11mo $329,000 $166 44
1111 BARCLAY St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,028 (+6%) 10mo $333,500 $164 44
384 Rose St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,673 (-12%) 6mo $257,100 $154 40
786 Colorado St 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,740 (-9%) 11mo $280,000 $161 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,646
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$13,722
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81625

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,514 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,515/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$249

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,199
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $331 -5% $290 +0% $249 +5% $208 +10% $167
Rent -10% $129 -5% $189 +0% $249 +5% $309 +10% $369
Rate -1.0pp $322 -0.5pp $286 base $249 +0.5pp $211 +1.0pp $173

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $145,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-27
    listed $145,000 Active
  5. 1994-10-06
    soldstatus $48,000
  6. 1982-12-16
    soldstatus $63,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,515 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,515 · $126/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 82% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 5 d/yr ≥88°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,168
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,515
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,453
− Management
−$1,453
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$681
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$163
After-tax cash flow
$2,825/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moffat County School District Re: No. 1
NCES district ID
0805730
Math proficiency
22% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,633
Composite
25.07/100
National rank
#7539
State rank
#53 of 86 in CO

Livability — Craig

Score
65/100
State rank
#160
US rank
#12817

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Craig, CO
Population (ZIP)
12,242

Population outlook (Moffat County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,901 people
By 2030
9,922 · -9.0%
By 2040
8,081 · -25.9%
By 2050
6,460 · -40.7%
By 2075
3,896 · -64.3%
By 2100
2,620 · -76.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Moffat

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.8) · D 17.5% · R 80.3% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-19.4pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -62.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.8 2020: R+63.6 2016: R+67.9 2012: R+55.0 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.11%
Current HPI
284.444
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $145,000 AGMLS
  • 1994-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 1982-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,515 · +58.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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