675 Pershing St · Craig, CO
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.82%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors, flippers, and DIY dreamers! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is packed with potential and ready for its next chapter. Located in a great Craig neighborhood near the grocery store, post office, and Sunset Elementary School, this fixer-upper offers the chance to create nice value. Inside, you'll find original hardwood floors, spacious living areas, built-ins, vintage charm, and a functional layout just waiting for a refresh. Whether you're looking for your next fix-and-flip, rental property, or renovation project, this one is worth a look!
Key facts
- Vintage charm
- Functional layout
- Built-ins
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single family residence; Not a model home
- Exterior features: Located on 6th & Pershing St.; Subdivision: Sunset Addition
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.2% in Craig — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#160 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime D.
- Moffat County School District Re: No. 1 (town): math 22% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #53 of 86 in CO (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Moffat County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Moffat County population projected at -41% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $145k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.36%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $312,256
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 828 Taylor St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,926 (+1%) | 10mo | $249,900 | $130 | 76 |
| 801 Steele St | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+1%) | 8mo | $278,000 | $145 | 70 |
| 909 RANNEY St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,808 (-5%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $163 | 68 |
| 624 Barclay St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,728 (-9%) | 10mo | $335,000 | $194 | 66 |
| 829 Stout St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,100 (+10%) | 5mo | $284,000 | $135 | 59 |
| 836 Ledford St | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,975 (+4%) | 11mo | $440,000 | $223 | 57 |
| 860 Russell St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 2,011 (+6%) | 11mo | $329,900 | $164 | 55 |
| 1226 Barclay St | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,920 (+1%) | 7mo | $333,500 | $174 | 49 |
| 1162 Breeze St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,976 (+4%) | 11mo | $329,000 | $166 | 44 |
| 1111 BARCLAY St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,028 (+6%) | 10mo | $333,500 | $164 | 44 |
| 384 Rose St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,673 (-12%) | 6mo | $257,100 | $154 | 40 |
| 786 Colorado St | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (-9%) | 11mo | $280,000 | $161 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,646
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $13,722
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81625
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,514 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,515/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $249
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $331 | -5% $290 | +0% $249 | +5% $208 | +10% $167 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $129 | -5% $189 | +0% $249 | +5% $309 | +10% $369 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $322 | -0.5pp $286 | base $249 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $173 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-31status $145,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$145,000 Active
-
1994-10-06soldstatus $48,000
-
1982-12-16soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,515 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,515 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 82% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 5 d/yr ≥88°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,515
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,453
- − Management
- −$1,453
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $681
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$163
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,825/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moffat County School District Re: No. 1
- NCES district ID
- 0805730
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,633
- Composite
- 25.07/100
- National rank
- #7539
- State rank
- #53 of 86 in CO
Livability — Craig
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #160
- US rank
- #12817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Craig, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,242
Population outlook (Moffat County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,901 people
- By 2030
- 9,922 · -9.0%
- By 2040
- 8,081 · -25.9%
- By 2050
- 6,460 · -40.7%
- By 2075
- 3,896 · -64.3%
- By 2100
- 2,620 · -76.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Moffat
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.8) · D 17.5% · R 80.3% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -62.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.8 2020: R+63.6 2016: R+67.9 2012: R+55.0 2008: R+43.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.11%
- Current HPI
- 284.444
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+130.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $145,000 AGMLS
- 1994-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1982-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,515 · +58.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…