917 Raygan Dr · Tunnel Hill, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$141,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great first home. Refurbished. Really pretty.
Key facts
- Open-floor plan
- Adjoining room
- Two outbuildings
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured house; Single-family residence
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Free‑standing electric oven
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Kitchen island; Double vanity; Soaking tub; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $141k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $141k).
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.0% in Tunnel Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#164 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Whitfield County (rural): math 37% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #62 of 174 in GA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Tunnel Hill Elementary School (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #336 of 1,228 statewide, top 29%, 310 students, 55% FRL); Westside Middle School (math 46% / reading 51%, grade C-, #75 of 470 statewide, top 17%, 392 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 374 units permitted in Whitfield County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $975 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Whitfield County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $141k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.10%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,798
- List price
- $141,000
- Delta
- -36.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $15,021
- Equity at exit
- $21,024
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $61,666
- Equity at exit
- $12,191
Cash invested: $39,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30755
- Home prices YoY
- -22.7%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$739
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $339/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $596
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $675 | -5% $635 | +0% $596 | +5% $556 | +10% $516 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $453 | -5% $524 | +0% $596 | +5% $667 | +10% $738 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $667 | -0.5pp $631 | base $596 | +0.5pp $559 | +1.0pp $522 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,250
- Closing costs
- $4,230
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 Pine Oaks Dr Tunnel Hill, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $141,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $141,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $141,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $141,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $141,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $141,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $141,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $141,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $141,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $141,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $141,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $141,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $141,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $141,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $141,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $141,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $141,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $141,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-04-29price $141,000 492-char remark
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2026-03-19$147,000 Active 492-char remark
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2021-08-30soldstatus $75,000 Closed 45-char remark
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
Great first home. Refurbished. Really pretty.
-
2021-08-30soldstatus $75,000
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
Great first home. Refurbished. Really pretty.
-
2021-07-28historical Contingent 45-char remark
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
Great first home. Refurbished. Really pretty.
-
2021-07-22status Active 45-char remark
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
Great first home. Refurbished. Really pretty.
-
2021-07-14historical Contingent 45-char remark
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
Great first home. Refurbished. Really pretty.
-
2021-04-09$79,800 Active 45-char remark
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
Great first home. Refurbished. Really pretty.
-
1999-06-01soldstatus $8,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $339 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,297 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$958/yr (+$80/mo · 282.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,898
- − Property taxes
- −$339
- − Insurance
- −$705
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$4,102
- Taxable income
- $5,100
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,224
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitfield County
- NCES district ID
- 1305700
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,296
- Composite
- 30.24/100
- National rank
- #6290
- State rank
- #62 of 174 in GA
Livability — Tunnel Hill
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #164
- US rank
- #10419
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,768
Population outlook (Whitfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,770 people
- By 2030
- 108,737 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 110,260 · +2.3%
- By 2050
- 111,205 · +3.2%
- By 2075
- 113,014 · +4.9%
- By 2100
- 112,775 · +4.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Whitfield
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.5) · D 27.5% · R 72.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.0pp · 2024: -44.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.5 2020: R+40.7 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+45.1 2008: R+40.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.96%
- Current HPI
- 289.9653
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+1558.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-20 Listed $141,000 GCAR
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $141,000 GCAR
- 2021-08-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 GCAR
- 2021-07-28 Contingent — GCAR
- 2021-07-22 Relisted — GCAR
- 2021-07-14 Contingent — GCAR
- 2021-04-09 Listed $79,800 GCAR
- 1999-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $339 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…