246 Pinner St · Suffolk, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent investment opportunity for a fix-and-flip or long-term rental! This charming over/under duplex in Old Town Suffolk offers two units, each with 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, plus a common entryway. The upper unit features exterior stair access. A spacious semi wrap-around front porch adds character and curb appeal. Tons of potential—don’t miss this one! Property sold "As Is, where-Is. Listing Broker & Seller assumes no responsibility and make no guarantees, warranties (expressed or implied) or representations as to the availability or accuracy of information contained herein.
Key facts
- Long-term rental
- Over/under duplex
- Curb appeal
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking for both units
- Utilities: Separate meters for all utilities; City/County sewer; City/County water; Electric water heater
- Home design: Duplex property; Over/Under style; Crawl space foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl exterior siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Wood fence enclosing the back yard (full fence); Asphalt shingle roof; Driveway parking for each unit; Over/Under duplex layout
Interior
- Kitchen: Unit 1: kitchen; Unit 2: kitchen
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms (includes 1st floor master); Unit 2: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 bathroom; Unit 2: 1 bathroom
- Interior features: Fixer-upper condition
- Laundry & utility: Utility room in Unit 1
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $832 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 3.5% in Suffolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in VA, #2,896 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
- Suffolk City Public School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #72 of 131 in VA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Hillpoint Elementary (math 31% / reading 57%, grade F, #851 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 737 students, 65% FRL); King'S Fork High (math 44% / reading 77%, grade C+, #244 of 319 statewide, top 77%, 1,697 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 39% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 536 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 680 units permitted in Suffolk city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $130k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.44%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $38,215
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.54×
- Total profit
- $128,870
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23434
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 536
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,140 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $832
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Franklin St Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $1,750 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 116 Franklin St Unit 3 Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $1,750 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 315 Highland Ave Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,050 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 124 Halifax St Suffolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 307 N 4th St Suffolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 7d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 223 N 7th St Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1495 | $2,300 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 621 Butler Ave Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $2,500 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 808 Gittings St Suffolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2187 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 525 Kilby Ave Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1776 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 310 Greenfield Cres Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1341 Devonshire Ct Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $2,295 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1341 Devonshire Ct Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,295 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-04-22status Under Contract
-
2026-03-25price $129,900
-
2026-01-29$149,900 Active
-
2024-11-17historical
-
2024-10-03price $148,999
-
2024-09-09price $155,999
-
2024-06-21price $159,999
-
2024-06-13price $165,555
-
2024-06-12status Active
-
2024-05-28historical
-
2024-05-18$169,999 Active
-
2023-01-20historical
-
2022-11-03price $187,000
-
2022-11-03status Active
-
2022-10-25historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-10-17$190,000 Active
-
2022-06-09soldstatus $65,000
-
2022-06-01status Under Contract
-
2022-05-25price $75,000
-
2022-05-24status Active
-
2022-04-26status Under Contract
-
2022-04-21$99,900 Active
-
2013-03-01soldstatus $30,000
-
2010-03-08soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,484
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,054
- − Management
- −$2,054
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $8,383
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,012
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,968/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Suffolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,573
- Composite
- 48.31/100
- National rank
- #2151
- State rank
- #72 of 131 in VA
Livability — Suffolk
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #2896
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suffolk, VA
- County
- Suffolk City · 88,108 people
- City population
- 88,108
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,387
- Household income
- $79,877
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1934.0
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,269 people
- By 2030
- 98,269 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 103,177 · +8.3%
- By 2050
- 105,777 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 110,963 · +16.5%
- By 2100
- 103,711 · +8.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 41% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.9) · D 57.4% · R 41.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.9 2020: D+17.3 2016: D+13.8 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -383.80%
- Current HPI
- 158.5866
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.84%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+116.5% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $129,900 REINMLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $149,900 REINMLS
- 2024-11-17 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2024-10-03 Price Changed $148,999 REINMLS
- 2024-09-09 Price Changed $155,999 REINMLS
- 2024-06-21 Price Changed $159,999 REINMLS
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed $165,555 REINMLS
- 2024-06-12 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2024-05-28 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2024-05-18 Listed $169,999 REINMLS
- 2023-01-20 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2022-11-03 Price Changed $187,000 REINMLS
- 2022-11-03 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2022-10-25 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2022-10-17 Listed $190,000 REINMLS
- 2022-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-01 Pending — REINMLS
- 2022-05-25 Price Changed $75,000 REINMLS
- 2022-05-24 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2022-04-26 Pending — REINMLS
- 2022-04-21 Listed $99,900 REINMLS
- 2013-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2010-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,484 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…