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431 Maple St
C Composite 58.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$145,000

431 Maple St · Glade Spring, VA 24340
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,492 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 1938 0.85 ac lot $97/sqft · 44% below area Est $260k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You are going to love this unique home. The original part of the log home was moved from the Old part of Glade in 1964. Those owners added onto the back of the house in 1964. The second level has two bedrooms and a full bath. New windows throughout the home were installed two years ago. Nice size block building in the back yard with a small wooden outbuilding. Nice size level yard. Sold As Is.

Key facts

  • Wooden outbuilding
  • Block building
  • Level yard

Tags

LOG HOMEBLOCK BUILDINGWOODEN OUTBUILDINGLEVEL YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($729/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (18.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.5% in Glade Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#399 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Washington County Public School District (rural): math 68% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #15 of 131 in VA (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Meadowview Elementary (math 63% / reading 74%, grade B+, #357 of 1,108 statewide, top 33%, 551 students, 89% FRL); Glade Spring Middle (math 70% / reading 74%, grade A, #65 of 342 statewide, top 21%, 254 students, 80% FRL); Patrick Henry High (math 62% / reading 82%, grade B+, #134 of 319 statewide, top 45%, 366 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 42% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $145k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,174 (18.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.80%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$260,409
List price
$145,000
Delta
-44.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
615 Monte Vista Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,671 (+12%) 12mo $310,000 $186 66
33304 Hillman Hwy 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+5%) 13mo $288,500 $184 58
503 Sycamore St 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,555 (+4%) 21mo $275,000 $177 51
134 Monte Vista Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,340 (-10%) 18mo $222,400 $166 40
136 Highland Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,296 (-13%) 7mo $225,900 $174 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$9,060
Equity at exit
$52,202
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$43,026
Equity at exit
$71,512

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24340

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,182 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $624/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,105
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $143 -5% $102 +0% $61 +5% $20 +10% $-21
Rent -10% $-33 -5% $14 +0% $61 +5% $107 +10% $154
Rate -1.0pp $134 -0.5pp $98 base $61 +0.5pp $23 +1.0pp $-15

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $145,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-04-17
    price $150,000 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    You are going to love this unique home. The original part of the log home was moved from the Old part of Glade in 1964. Those owners added onto the back of the house in 1964. The second level has two bedrooms and a full bath. New windows throughout the home were installed two years ago. Nice size block building in the back yard with a small wooden outbuilding. Nice size level yard. Sold As Is.

  8. 2026-04-17
    price $150,000 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    You are going to love this unique home. The original part of the log home was moved from the Old part of Glade in 1964. Those owners added onto the back of the house in 1964. The second level has two bedrooms and a full bath. New windows throughout the home were installed two years ago. Nice size block building in the back yard with a small wooden outbuilding. Nice size level yard. Sold As Is.

  9. 2026-03-02
    listed $159,000 Active 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    You are going to love this unique home. The original part of the log home was moved from the Old part of Glade in 1964. Those owners added onto the back of the house in 1964. The second level has two bedrooms and a full bath. New windows throughout the home were installed two years ago. Nice size block building in the back yard with a small wooden outbuilding. Nice size level yard. Sold As Is.

  10. 2026-03-02
    listed $159,000 Active 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    You are going to love this unique home. The original part of the log home was moved from the Old part of Glade in 1964. Those owners added onto the back of the house in 1964. The second level has two bedrooms and a full bath. New windows throughout the home were installed two years ago. Nice size block building in the back yard with a small wooden outbuilding. Nice size level yard. Sold As Is.

  11. 2016-06-10
    soldstatus $78,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$624 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,189 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$565/yr (+$47/mo · 90.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,181
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$624
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,134
− Management
−$1,134
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,777
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$427
After-tax cash flow
$1,156/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103900
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$42,412
Composite
61.5/100
National rank
#754
State rank
#15 of 131 in VA

Livability — Glade Spring

Score
62/100
State rank
#399
US rank
#16421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Glade Spring, VA
Population (ZIP)
6,173

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,266 people
By 2030
52,284 · -1.8%
By 2040
49,415 · -7.2%
By 2050
45,683 · -14.2%
By 2075
37,258 · -30.1%
By 2100
27,983 · -47.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Black 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.3) · D 23.0% · R 76.3%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -32.7pp · 2024: -53.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.3 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+43.2 2008: R+32.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.36%
Current HPI
180.6398
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+91.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $150,000 SWVAR
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $150,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $159,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $159,000 SWVAR
  • 2016-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $624 · +22.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…