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3593 Millrace Ct SE
C+ Composite 64.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

3593 Millrace Ct SE · Kentwood, MI 49316
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 900 sqft · Manufactured · 54 Days on market
Built 1982 Est $41k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Financing may be available for qualified buyers--call for details. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is located in Dutton Mills, a well-kept community in Caledonia offering comfortable, low-maintenance living. The home features a functional layout with generous living space and central air. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're downsizing, purchasing your first home, or seeking simplified living, this property is worth a look. Schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • Built 1982
  • Listed 54 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $991 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.1% vs local median 3.7% in Kentwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#191 in MI, #4,892 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: commute C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Caledonia Community Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #26 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.38%
Cap rate
30.09%
Cash-on-cash
84.99%
DSCR
4.78
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$41,400
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3593 Millrace Ct SE 0.00mi 2/2.0 900 (0%) 1mo $41,000 $46 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
85.4%
Equity multiple
4.93×
Total profit
$55,072
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
88.6%
Equity multiple
10.24×
Total profit
$129,374
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49316

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,692 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$355
Net cashflow
$991

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,026 -5% $1,009 +0% $991 +5% $974 +10% $957
Rent -10% $858 -5% $925 +0% $991 +5% $1,058 +10% $1,125
Rate -1.0pp $1,017 -0.5pp $1,004 base $991 +0.5pp $979 +1.0pp $965

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6479 W River RD NE Caledonia, MI 1.0 1.5 924 $1,580 $1.71 3d 1 0.78mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-02-18
    status Pending 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Financing may be available for qualified buyers--call for details. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is located in Dutton Mills, a well-kept community in Caledonia offering comfortable, low-maintenance living. The home features a functional layout with generous living space and central air. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're downsizing, purchasing your first home, or seeking simplified living, this property is worth a look. Schedule your showing today.

  2. 2026-02-18
    status Pending 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Financing may be available for qualified buyers--call for details. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is located in Dutton Mills, a well-kept community in Caledonia offering comfortable, low-maintenance living. The home features a functional layout with generous living space and central air. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're downsizing, purchasing your first home, or seeking simplified living, this property is worth a look. Schedule your showing today.

  3. 2026-02-18
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Financing may be available for qualified buyers--call for details. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is located in Dutton Mills, a well-kept community in Caledonia offering comfortable, low-maintenance living. The home features a functional layout with generous living space and central air. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're downsizing, purchasing your first home, or seeking simplified living, this property is worth a look. Schedule your showing today.

  4. 2025-12-24
    listed $50,000 Active 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Financing may be available for qualified buyers--call for details. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is located in Dutton Mills, a well-kept community in Caledonia offering comfortable, low-maintenance living. The home features a functional layout with generous living space and central air. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're downsizing, purchasing your first home, or seeking simplified living, this property is worth a look. Schedule your showing today.

  5. 2025-12-24
    listed $50,000 Active 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Financing may be available for qualified buyers--call for details. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is located in Dutton Mills, a well-kept community in Caledonia offering comfortable, low-maintenance living. The home features a functional layout with generous living space and central air. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're downsizing, purchasing your first home, or seeking simplified living, this property is worth a look. Schedule your showing today.

  6. 2025-12-24
    listed $50,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Financing may be available for qualified buyers--call for details. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is located in Dutton Mills, a well-kept community in Caledonia offering comfortable, low-maintenance living. The home features a functional layout with generous living space and central air. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Whether you're downsizing, purchasing your first home, or seeking simplified living, this property is worth a look. Schedule your showing today.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,309
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,625
− Management
−$1,625
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$11,805
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,833
After-tax cash flow
$9,065/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caledonia Community Schools
NCES district ID
2607620
Math proficiency
58% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$75,649
Composite
55.98/100
National rank
#1196
State rank
#26 of 540 in MI

Livability — Kentwood

Score
74/100
State rank
#191
US rank
#4892

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kent County · 533,805 people
City population
130,591
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
26,427
Household income
$103,238
Rent vs Own
10.1% rent · 89.9% own
Severe rent burden
96.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 21% Romanian 7% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -117.75%
Current HPI
235.3555
Rent YoY
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-24 Listed $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-24 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-24 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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