CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5219 Hearthstone Rd NW
C+ Composite 63.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

5219 Hearthstone Rd NW · Roanoke, VA 24012
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1952 7,840 sqft lot Est $228k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home conveniently located in Roanoke City! This property offers comfortable one-level living with a functional floor plan. Enjoy the flat yard perfect for outdoor entertaining, gardening, pets, or play. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, parks, and major commuter routes, this home provides easy access to everything Roanoke has to offer.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Near dining
  • Outdoor entertaining

Tags

ONE-LEVEL LIVINGFLAT YARDOUTDOOR ENTERTAININGNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DININGNEAR SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1952
  • Construction: Built in 1952
  • Exterior features: 0.18 acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air oil heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Wood flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Preston Park Elementary (math 33% / reading 51%, grade F, #866 of 1,108 statewide, top 80%, 505 students, 102% FRL); Breckinridge Middle (math 23% / reading 52%, grade F, #315 of 342 statewide, top 93%, 624 students, 99% FRL); William Fleming High (math 66% / reading 68%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 1,911 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,215/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1360% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $210k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.56%
Cash-on-cash
8.10%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$228,480
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1017 Curtis Ave NW 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,800 (-6%) 6mo $120,000 $67 76
902 Whitney Ave NW 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,792 (-6%) 1mo $181,800 $101 73
937 Curtis Ave NW 0.23mi 3/1.0 2,043 (+7%) 5mo $215,000 $105 73
4908 Rutgers St NW 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,976 (+4%) 9mo $190,000 $96 64
5001 Hazelridge Rd NW 0.50mi 3/1.0 2,012 (+6%) 6mo $220,000 $109 62
5907 Darby Rd 0.71mi 3/1.0 2,000 (+5%) 2mo $239,500 $120 57
3302 Frontier Rd NW 0.68mi 3/1.0 2,050 (+8%) 3mo $250,000 $122 53
4713 Delray St NW 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,652 (-13%) 2mo $260,000 $157 52
4960 Florist Rd NW 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,032 (+7%) 3mo $249,950 $123 51
3332 Maplelawn Ave NW 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,016 (+6%) 3mo $220,000 $109 50
5838 Sierra Dr NW 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,728 (-9%) 1mo $265,000 $153 48
5755 Santa Anita Ter 0.50mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,100 (+10%) 8mo $270,000 $129 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,932
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$88,282
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24012

Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,215 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,973/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$465
Net cashflow
$397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,713
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $516 -5% $456 +0% $397 +5% $337 +10% $278
Rent -10% $222 -5% $309 +0% $397 +5% $484 +10% $572
Rate -1.0pp $503 -0.5pp $450 base $397 +0.5pp $343 +1.0pp $287

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1017 Anchor Dr Roanoke, VA 4.0 2.5 1998 $2,800 $1.40 22d 1 0.75mi
6525 Greenway Dr Roanoke, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1071 $1,875 $1.75 14d 14 1.13mi
3816 Plantation Rd NE Roanoke, VA 2.0 2.0 1267 $1,700 $1.34 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 391-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $210,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,973 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,973 · $164/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,583
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$1,973
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,127
− Management
−$2,127
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$1,435
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$344
After-tax cash flow
$4,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roanoke City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103300
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$38,592
Composite
40.8/100
National rank
#3639
State rank
#102 of 131 in VA

Livability — Roanoke

Score
73/100
State rank
#163
US rank
#5055

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roanoke, VA
County
Roanoke City · 101,625 people
City population
168,930
Metro
Roanoke, VA
Population (ZIP)
28,235
Household income
$52,973
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
1360.0

Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
106,094 people
By 2030
108,927 · +2.7%
By 2040
114,104 · +7.5%
By 2050
118,032 · +11.3%
By 2075
123,363 · +16.3%
By 2100
116,827 · +10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.94%
Current HPI
186.9007
Rent YoY
▲ 10.46%
Metro
Roanoke, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+438.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $210,000 MLSRV
  • 2019-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 1984-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,973 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…