803 Elm St · Doniphan, MO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Solid 2-bed & 1 ba home conveniently located near the school and just minutes from shopping and local amenities. Ideal for first time buyers, sownsizers, or retirees seeking comfort and convenience.
Key facts
- Local amenities
- Near the school
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Single Family Residence; Above-grade finished area reported as 728 (source: assessor)
- Financial info: No financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking spaces reported; No carport spaces
- Security: No security features reported
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Cable available; Phone service available; Electric: other
- Home design: Single-family residential; One story
- Construction: Other construction materials; Basement: cellar, block, unfinished
- Exterior features: Level lot; Concrete road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: No flooring information provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($819 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 2.6% in Doniphan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#568 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Doniphan R-I (rural): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #254 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Doniphan Elem. (378 students, 99% FRL); Doniphan High (math 54% / reading 57%, grade C, #61 of 521 statewide, top 12%, 476 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 63% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Doniphan R-I average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Ripley County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.70%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $66,461
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -9.87%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $29,161
- Equity at exit
- $34,454
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.48×
- Total profit
- $75,117
- Equity at exit
- $59,888
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63935
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $819 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$172
- Net cashflow
- $233
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $275 | -5% $254 | +0% $233 | +5% $213 | +10% $192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $169 | -5% $201 | +0% $233 | +5% $266 | +10% $298 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $264 | -0.5pp $249 | base $233 | +0.5pp $218 | +1.0pp $202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-08$59,900 Active 202-char remark
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2026-02-10soldstatus
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2023-07-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$787
- − Management
- −$787
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $1,964
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$471
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Doniphan R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2910920
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,818
- Composite
- 26.91/100
- National rank
- #7085
- State rank
- #254 of 324 in MO
Livability — Doniphan
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #568
- US rank
- #20561
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Doniphan, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,017
Population outlook (Ripley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,011 people
- By 2030
- 12,515 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 11,512 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 10,427 · -19.9%
- By 2075
- 7,833 · -39.8%
- By 2100
- 5,692 · -56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Ripley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.0) · D 13.2% · R 86.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.0pp toward R · 2008: -30.1pp · 2024: -73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.0 2020: R+70.1 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+30.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.14%
- Current HPI
- 122.3339
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-07-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $63 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…