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803 Elm St
B+ Composite 78.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$59,900

803 Elm St · Doniphan, MO 63935
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · Other · 41 Days on market
Built 1958 9,825 sqft lot $82/sqft · 10% below area Est $66k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Solid 2-bed & 1 ba home conveniently located near the school and just minutes from shopping and local amenities. Ideal for first time buyers, sownsizers, or retirees seeking comfort and convenience.

Key facts

  • Local amenities
  • Near the school
  • Conveniently located

Tags

CONVENIENTLY LOCATEDNEAR THE SCHOOLMINUTES FROM SHOPPINGLOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Single Family Residence; Above-grade finished area reported as 728 (source: assessor)
  • Financial info: No financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking spaces reported; No carport spaces
  • Security: No security features reported
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Cable available; Phone service available; Electric: other
  • Home design: Single-family residential; One story
  • Construction: Other construction materials; Basement: cellar, block, unfinished
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Concrete road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: No flooring information provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($819 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 2.6% in Doniphan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#568 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Doniphan R-I (rural): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #254 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Doniphan Elem. (378 students, 99% FRL); Doniphan High (math 54% / reading 57%, grade C, #61 of 521 statewide, top 12%, 476 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 63% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Doniphan R-I average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • Ripley County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.97%
Cash-on-cash
16.70%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,461
List price
$59,900
Delta
-9.87%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$29,161
Equity at exit
$34,454
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
5.48×
Total profit
$75,117
Equity at exit
$59,888

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63935

Home prices YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$819 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$172
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $275 -5% $254 +0% $233 +5% $213 +10% $192
Rent -10% $169 -5% $201 +0% $233 +5% $266 +10% $298
Rate -1.0pp $264 -0.5pp $249 base $233 +0.5pp $218 +1.0pp $202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $59,900 Active 202-char remark
  16. 2026-02-10
    soldstatus
  17. 2023-07-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,833
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$787
− Management
−$787
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$1,964
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$471
After-tax cash flow
$2,329/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Doniphan R-I
NCES district ID
2910920
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,818
Composite
26.91/100
National rank
#7085
State rank
#254 of 324 in MO

Livability — Doniphan

Score
59/100
State rank
#568
US rank
#20561

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Doniphan, MO
Population (ZIP)
8,017

Population outlook (Ripley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,011 people
By 2030
12,515 · -3.8%
By 2040
11,512 · -11.5%
By 2050
10,427 · -19.9%
By 2075
7,833 · -39.8%
By 2100
5,692 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Ripley

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.0) · D 13.2% · R 86.2%
2008→2024 swing
-43.0pp toward R · 2008: -30.1pp · 2024: -73.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.0 2020: R+70.1 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+30.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.14%
Current HPI
122.3339
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-07-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $63 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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