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994 Portland Rd #16
D- Composite 38.48
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +7.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.1/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

994 Portland Rd #16 · Saco, ME 04072
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Condo public records · 64 Days on market
Built 2021 $521/sqft · 8% below area Est $306k · 18% under $200/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy easy coastal living in this stand-alone condo that combines comfort, efficiency, and a great location. Perfectly sized for simple living, it's an ideal home base to enjoy everything Greater Portland and the Southern Maine coast have to offer--from great restaurants and shopping to beautiful beaches. This home offers low-maintenance living with quality finishes throughout, including quartz countertops, full-size appliances. A full basement provides extra space for storage, hobbies, or future possibilities. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a seasonal getaway, this move-in ready property offers both charm and convenience in a 55+ community.

Key facts

  • $200 HOA
  • Parking
  • Built 2021

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-572 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (40.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (33.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (40.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 2.8% in Saco — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#5 in ME, #732 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Saco Public Schools (suburban): math 88% / reading 88% proficiency, ranked #37 of 112 in ME (top 33%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $148,874 (40.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
3.55%
Cash-on-cash
-9.81%
DSCR
0.56
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$306,269
List price
$250,000
Delta
-18.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.8%
Equity multiple
-0.10×
Total profit
$-76,849
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-41.7%
Equity multiple
-0.62×
Total profit
$-113,371
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04072

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,662 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$270 /mo · $3,242/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$200
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$-572

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,387
Max offer price $148,874
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-431 -5% $-502 +0% $-572 +5% $-643 +10% $-714
Rent -10% $-704 -5% $-638 +0% $-572 +5% $-507 +10% $-441
Rate -1.0pp $-447 -0.5pp $-509 base $-572 +0.5pp $-637 +1.0pp $-703

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$200 · $2,400/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    price $250,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $260,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $260,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $260,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $260,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $260,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $260,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $260,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $260,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $260,000 666-char remark
    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    Enjoy easy coastal living in this stand-alone condo that combines comfort, efficiency, and a great location. Perfectly sized for simple living, it's an ideal home base to enjoy everything Greater Portland and the Southern Maine coast have to offer--from great restaurants and shopping to beautiful beaches. This home offers low-maintenance living with quality finishes throughout, including quartz countertops, full-size appliances. A full basement provides extra space for storage, hobbies, or future possibilities. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a seasonal getaway, this move-in ready property offers both charm and convenience in a 55+ community.

  17. 2026-04-14
    listed $270,000 Active 666-char remark
    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    Enjoy easy coastal living in this stand-alone condo that combines comfort, efficiency, and a great location. Perfectly sized for simple living, it's an ideal home base to enjoy everything Greater Portland and the Southern Maine coast have to offer--from great restaurants and shopping to beautiful beaches. This home offers low-maintenance living with quality finishes throughout, including quartz countertops, full-size appliances. A full basement provides extra space for storage, hobbies, or future possibilities. Whether you're looking for a year-round home or a seasonal getaway, this move-in ready property offers both charm and convenience in a 55+ community.

  18. 2022-06-08
    soldstatus $259,900 Closed
  19. 2021-09-07
    historical
  20. 2021-07-12
    listed $239,000 Active
  21. 2021-05-06
    historical
  22. 2021-02-24
    price $229,000
  23. 2020-11-23
    listed $224,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,242 · $270/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,321 · $277/mo
Expected delta
+$79/yr (+$7/mo · 2.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,943
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,242
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,595
− Management
−$1,595
− HOA
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$11,417
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,740
After-tax cash flow
$-4,129/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saco Public Schools
NCES district ID
2310380
Math proficiency
88% ▲ 47.00%
Reading proficiency
88% ▲ 29.00%
Median HH income
$55,870
Composite
74.86/100
National rank
#145
State rank
#37 of 112 in ME

Livability — Saco

Score
84/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#732

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saco, ME
County
York County · 80,026 people
City population
20,819
Metro
Portland-South Portland, ME
Population (ZIP)
20,819
Household income
$92,241
Rent vs Own
27.2% rent · 72.8% own
Severe rent burden
421.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,961 people
By 2030
212,816 · +1.4%
By 2040
214,360 · +2.1%
By 2050
210,350 · +0.2%
By 2075
201,686 · -3.9%
By 2100
183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.38%
Current HPI
381.7349
Rent YoY
Metro
Portland-South Portland, ME
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+16.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $260,000 MREIS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $270,000 MREIS
  • 2022-06-08 Sold (MLS) $259,900 MREIS
  • 2021-09-07 Delisted MREIS
  • 2021-07-12 Listed $239,000 MREIS
  • 2021-05-06 Delisted MREIS
  • 2021-02-24 Price Changed $229,000 MREIS
  • 2020-11-23 Listed $224,000 MREIS

Property tax history

+91.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,242 · -6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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