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4162 Arizona St 11-Plex
D- Composite 39.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$4,195,000

4162 Arizona St · San Diego, CA 92104
10 bd · 10.0 ba · 4,208 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1987

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 11 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

NEVER BEEN THE MARKET BEFORE ! 4/ 2 Bedroom 2 Bath units 829 sq. ft. / 2- 1 Bedroom 1 Bath units 628 sq, ft. s/ 4- 1 car garages. Month to month Tenants. FAMILY OWNED. GREAT AREA. Future rents. Perfect Value add property with lots of potential, within the opportunity zone with public transportation near by. 1031 exchange

Key facts

  • Parking for 9 cars
  • Completely renovated
  • Listed 127 days

Tags

COMPLETELY RENOVATEDPARKING FOR 9 CARS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing held by San Diego Association of REALTOR; Listing broker: Marcus & Millichap; listing agent: Ben Sierpina

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential income property (Commercial-Residential Income subtype)
  • Exterior features: Lot measured in acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 15 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Unbranded virtual tour available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 11 × 10-bed/15.0-bath units multifamily listed at $4.20M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $28/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $3.34M (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $3.34M (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
  • San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $33,404/mo this rent would consume 426% of the median local household income ($94k/yr) (locally 3114% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $29k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $126k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($3.69M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $2.17M; list at $4.20M implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $3,340,400 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.32%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-714,697
Equity at exit
$625,488
10-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-814,728
Equity at exit
$362,707

Cash invested: $1,174,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92104

Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
115.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$33,404 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$21,999
Tax from tax record
$2,329 /mo · $27,948/yr
Insurance
$1,748
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$7,015
Net cashflow
$313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $33,008
Max offer price $4,195,000
Occupancy floor 94%

11-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (11 units) $33,404

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,048,750
Closing costs
$125,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $4,195,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $4,195,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $4,195,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $4,195,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $4,195,000 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    price $4,195,000 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $4,225,000 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $4,225,000 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $4,225,000 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $4,225,000 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $4,225,000 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $4,225,000 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $4,225,000 Active 110 DOM
  14. 2026-04-07
    price $4,225,000
  15. 2026-03-25
    price $4,250,000
  16. 2026-03-06
    price $4,275,000
  17. 2026-02-11
    listed $4,295,000 Active
  18. 2025-11-06
    historical
  19. 2025-10-01
    price $4,295,000
  20. 2025-09-17
    price $4,345,000
  21. 2025-08-15
    status Active
  22. 2025-08-14
    historical
  23. 2025-08-12
    price $4,370,000
  24. 2025-07-01
    price $4,395,000
  25. 2025-05-12
    listed $4,450,000 Active
  26. 2024-02-23
    soldstatus $2,175,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    NEVER BEEN THE MARKET BEFORE ! 4/ 2 Bedroom 2 Bath units 829 sq. ft. / 2- 1 Bedroom 1 Bath units 628 sq, ft. s/ 4- 1 car garages. Month to month Tenants. FAMILY OWNED. GREAT AREA. Future rents. Perfect Value add property with lots of potential, within the opportunity zone with public transportation near by. 1031 exchange

  27. 2024-02-23
    soldstatus $2,175,000
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    NEVER BEEN THE MARKET BEFORE ! 4/ 2 Bedroom 2 Bath units 829 sq. ft. / 2- 1 Bedroom 1 Bath units 628 sq, ft. s/ 4- 1 car garages. Month to month Tenants. FAMILY OWNED. GREAT AREA. Future rents. Perfect Value add property with lots of potential, within the opportunity zone with public transportation near by. 1031 exchange

  28. 2024-01-23
    listed $2,100,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    NEVER BEEN THE MARKET BEFORE ! 4/ 2 Bedroom 2 Bath units 829 sq. ft. / 2- 1 Bedroom 1 Bath units 628 sq, ft. s/ 4- 1 car garages. Month to month Tenants. FAMILY OWNED. GREAT AREA. Future rents. Perfect Value add property with lots of potential, within the opportunity zone with public transportation near by. 1031 exchange

  29. 1985-05-09
    soldstatus $87,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$27,948 · $2,329/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$31,882 · $2,657/mo
Expected delta
+$3,934/yr (+$328/mo · 14.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$400,848
− Mortgage interest
−$234,985
− Property taxes
−$27,948
− Insurance
−$20,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$32,068
− Management
−$32,068
− Depreciation
−$122,036
Taxable loss
−$69,233
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$16,616
After-tax cash flow
$20,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Diego Unified
NCES district ID
0634320
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$61,673
Composite
22.31/100
National rank
#8135
State rank
#393 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Diego

Score
75/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#4206

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Diego, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
1,397,612
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
47,410
Household income
$94,014
Rent vs Own
71.2% rent · 28.8% own
Severe rent burden
3114.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 7% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 22% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -970.97%
Current HPI
397.3028
Rent YoY
▲ 1.38%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4756.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $4,225,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $4,250,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $4,275,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $4,295,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $4,295,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $4,345,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-08-15 Relisted SDMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2025-08-12 Price Changed $4,370,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-07-01 Price Changed $4,395,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-05-12 Listed $4,450,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $2,175,000 Public Records
  • 2024-02-23 Sold (MLS) $2,175,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-01-23 Listed $2,100,000 SDMLS
  • 1985-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $27,948 · +56.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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