8866 Royal Manor Cir · Boynton Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NEW HOME Welcome to your dream home at the Palm Harbor Buena Vista II model! This charming residence boasts 1286 square feet of comfortable living space, featuring 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Situated on a desirable corner lot, this home offers both privacy and convenience. The Buena Vista II model is located in a 55+ community in a prime location near the pool, Clubhouse, and all amenities, providing easy access to recreational facilities and community events. Step inside to discover a well-designed layout with an open living area, perfect for entertaining guests or relaxing with family. The spacious master suite includes a private bathroom and ample closet space, while the second bedroom
Key facts
- Ample closet space
- Open living area
- Private bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Active
- Financial info: List price $179,900
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence (spec new construction)
- Construction: Living area about 1,286 square feet
- Exterior features: Property located at 8866 Royal Manor Cir, Boynton Beach, FL 33436
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Open living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $744 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.3% in Boynton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#351 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 445 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 373 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 373 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.73%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $10,907
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $42,186
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33436
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 445
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,516 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$528
- Net cashflow
- $744
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8949 Oak St Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4045 White Pine Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 8202 White Rock Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1738 | $3,300 | $1.90 | 8d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3736 Coelebs Ave Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $3,000 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3930 Max Pl Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,825 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3930 Max Pl Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,550 | $2.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3500 Sandpiper Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1147 | $2,579 | $2.25 | 22d | 22 | 0.74mi |
| 920 Sun Acres Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,200 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9498 S Military Trl #5 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1317 | $2,900 | $2.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 190 Temple Ave Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1781 | $4,200 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9766 Kamena Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1596 | $3,300 | $2.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3561 Oberon Ave Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,850 | $2.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4296 Grove Park Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,350 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9873 Lawrence Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,315 | $1.93 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9873 Lawrence Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,267 | $1.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 220 Savannah Lakes Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $2,365 | $2.15 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4220 Grove Park Ln Unit 1 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,400 | $2.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4220 Grove Park Ln Unit 1 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,600 | $2.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 9940 Bauhinia Tree Way Unit B Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9940 Bauhinia Tree Way Unit B Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1515 Arezzo Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1286 | $2,750 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 9900 Pineapple Tree Dr #106 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,250 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 9842 Kamena Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1596 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7705 Forest Green Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $3,200 | $2.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7705 Forest Green Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $3,200 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5155 Europa Dr Unit J Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1333 | $2,750 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4525 Nutmeg Tree Ln Unit A Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $3,000 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 9746 Nickels Blvd Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $2,800 | $2.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9935 Pineapple Tree Dr #202 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,575 | $2.55 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5072 Arbor Glen Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $3,300 | $2.68 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7640 Forest Green Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7640 Forest Green Ln Unit 7640 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 11d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4101 Mahogany Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $2,169 | $2.28 | 3d | 11 | 1.21mi |
| 1239 Sussex St Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $3,100 | $2.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1239 Sussex St Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $3,100 | $2.16 | 20d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2303 N Congress Ave #15 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,950 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5373 Mirror Lakes Blvd Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2305 N Congress Ave #18 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $2,600 | $2.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4259 Wood Ride Unit E Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,350 | $1.90 | 8d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5157 Floria Way Unit J Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1447 | $3,300 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 355 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,188
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,415
- − Management
- −$2,415
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $6,449
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,548
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,382/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boynton Beach
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #351
- US rank
- #6098
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Boynton Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 148,060
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,743
- Household income
- $75,789
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1813.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 12% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.59%
- Current HPI
- 311.7742
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…