36 NE Village Ln · Jensen Beach, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2024 Palm Harbor "Levy" floor plan, 2 bedroom, 2 bath + Den, Laminate plank flooring everywhere and carpet in the 2 bedrooms. Located in a 55+ community. Pets welcome up to 20lbs and 2 pets max per home. Monthly land lease includes curbside trash service, cable, and community amenities. Amenities include a pool, hot tub, shuffle board courts, fitness room, library, billiards room, cards room, and a full-time social director who schedules a wide variety of events. The clubhouse hosts many socials, including dinners with entertainment and dances.
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Community amenities
- Pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-448 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (28.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (28.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#432 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jensen Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #450 of 2,144 statewide, top 22%, 558 students, 45% FRL); Stuart Middle School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade B-, #180 of 571 statewide, top 32%, 867 students, 49% FRL); Jensen Beach High School (math 53% / reading 71%, grade B-, #98 of 667 statewide, top 15%, 1,584 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 538 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 410 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 410 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.53%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $419,402
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -46.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 452 NE Pinelake Village Blvd | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 4mo | $55,500 | $41 | 79 |
| 66 NE Pinelake Village Blvd | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,376 (+7%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $51 | 77 |
| 94 N North Warner Dr | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (+9%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $142 | 72 |
| 309 NE Pinelake Village Blvd | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (-14%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $86 | 72 |
| 434 NE Topaz Ter | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-10%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $43 | 70 |
| 151 Sharyon Ln | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-10%) | 4mo | $89,000 | $77 | 70 |
| 4 N North Warner Dr | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-10%) | 2mo | $62,500 | $54 | 69 |
| 85 S Warner Dr | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (+8%) | 10mo | $58,000 | $42 | 66 |
| 75 S Warner Dr | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 14mo | $49,900 | $42 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -34.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-69,146
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -69.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.80×
- Total profit
- $-113,307
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34957
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 538
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,370 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$765
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $-448
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-292 | -5% $-370 | +0% $-448 | +5% $-525 | +10% $-603 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-635 | -5% $-541 | +0% $-448 | +5% $-354 | +10% $-261 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-334 | -0.5pp $-391 | base $-448 | +0.5pp $-506 | +1.0pp $-565 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1585 NE Beacon Dr #1103 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $1,495 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1999 NE Collins Cir Unit 3-80 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,775 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1617 NE Nautical Pl Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $1,850 | $1.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2013 NE Collins Cir #50 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 903 | $1,800 | $1.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1971 NE Collins Cir #20 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,750 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1411 NE 14th Ct #13 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2563 NE Palm Ave Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,400 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1600 NE Dixie Hwy Unit 10-203 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1550 NE 13th Ter Unit B16 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2506 NE Heron's Walk Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2831 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $3,000 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2646 NE Pelican Way Jensen Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2632 NE Pelican Way Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $4,800 | $4.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1903 NE Media Ave Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,400 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2952 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $3,000 | $2.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 297 NE Coastal DR #297 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1366 NE Hilltop St Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,700 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3111 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,995 | $1.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3121 NE Savannah Rd Unit 3121 Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $2,095 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3123 NE Savannah Rd Unit 3123 Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,195 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 590 NE Lima Vias Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $3,300 | $2.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1097 NE Kubin Ave Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $2,450 | $2.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1001 NE Baker Rd Stuart, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $2,280 | $2.40 | 15d | 27 | 1.09mi |
| 3393 NE Sandra Dr Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1547 | $2,700 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3450 NE Linda Dr Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $2,500 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3489 NE Linda Dr Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $3,150 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 257 Preserve Trl N Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1652 | $2,700 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1315 NE Flora Pl Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,000 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3663 NE Barbara Dr Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $2,450 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 25 NE 17th St Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,000 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $765 · $9,180/yr
- Likely covers
- trashcablepool
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $225,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $225,000 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
2024 Palm Harbor "Levy" floor plan, 2 bedroom, 2 bath + Den, Laminate plank flooring everywhere and carpet in the 2 bedrooms. Located in a 55+ community. Pets welcome up to 20lbs and 2 pets max per home. Monthly land lease includes curbside trash service, cable, and community amenities. Amenities include a pool, hot tub, shuffle board courts, fitness room, library, billiards room, cards room, and a full-time social director who schedules a wide variety of events. The clubhouse hosts many socials, including dinners with entertainment and dances.
-
2025-05-08$245,000 Active 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
2024 Palm Harbor "Levy" floor plan, 2 bedroom, 2 bath + Den, Laminate plank flooring everywhere and carpet in the 2 bedrooms. Located in a 55+ community. Pets welcome up to 20lbs and 2 pets max per home. Monthly land lease includes curbside trash service, cable, and community amenities. Amenities include a pool, hot tub, shuffle board courts, fitness room, library, billiards room, cards room, and a full-time social director who schedules a wide variety of events. The clubhouse hosts many socials, including dinners with entertainment and dances.
-
2009-08-28historical
-
2009-06-22$10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,438
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,275
- − Management
- −$2,275
- − HOA
- −$9,180
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$8,941
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,146
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jensen Beach
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #7719
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jensen Beach, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,462
- Household income
- $70,403
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 946.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.66%
- Current HPI
- 340.0172
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+2150.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $225,000 Zillow
- 2025-05-08 Listed $245,000 Zillow
- 2009-08-28 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2009-06-22 Listed $10,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…