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2150 Monterey Rd #87
F Composite 30.64
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

2150 Monterey Rd #87 · San Jose, CA 95112
2 bd · None ba · 780 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market
Built 2026 Est $271k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This brand new single-wide home is situated in a desirable, all-age, family-friendly community. It features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a split floor plan that enhances privacy. The open-concept kitchen and living area includes white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, recessed lighting, and a ceiling fan. The primary bedroom is conveniently located at the rear of the home and features a spacious closet and an en-suite bathroom. The comfortable secondary bedroom is located at the front of the home. The location is convenient, with nearby shopping, dining, and entertainment options at The Plant, along with easy access to Highway 87 for a straightforward commute.

Key facts

  • Ceiling fan
  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Split floor plan

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESRECESSED LIGHTINGCEILING FANSPACIOUS CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No age restrictions; family park with pets allowed; Local property tax (LPT)
  • HOA & community: Clubhouse; Community pool; Playground

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned space #87 (monthly rent $1,300)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Individual water meter; Water on site; Individual electric meters; Individual gas meters
  • Home design: Manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Park home site will remain in place; Assessor-listed lot size

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Ceiling fan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/?-bath manufactured listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-239 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $315k (9.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $276k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • East Side Union High (urban): math 53% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #69 of 517 in CA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $275,977 (21.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.92%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,660
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2150 Monterey Rd #7 0.00mi 2/1.0 756 (-3%) 3mo $249,900 $331 93
2150 Monterey Rd #89 0.00mi 2/1.0 784 (+0%) 10mo $240,000 $306 90
2150 Monterey Hwy #143 0.00mi 2/1.0 806 (+3%) 7mo $280,000 $347 88
2150 Monterey Rd #140 0.00mi 2/2.0 800 (+3%) 14mo $260,000 $325 84
2150 Monterey Rd #191 0.00mi 2/1.0 728 (-7%) 12mo $210,000 $288 79
2150 MONTEREY Rd #104 0.00mi 2/1.0 728 (-7%) 15mo $279,000 $383 76
2150 Monterey Rd #100 0.12mi 2/1.0 832 (+7%) 9mo $300,000 $361 76
2150 Monterey #54 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 728 (-7%) 12mo $263,000 $361 74
2135 Little Orchard St #77 0.61mi 2/2.0 880 (+13%) 19mo $319,900 $364 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.8%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-68,353
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-64,124
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Jose
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+24
Apartment Rent Ordinance covers pre-1979 multifamily.

ZIP-level market 95112

Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,760 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax est. 1.5%
$438 /mo · $5,250/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$580
Net cashflow
$-239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,062
Max offer price $315,481
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1640 La Rossa Cir San Jose, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,782 $3.71 2d 2 1.00mi
1426 Ford Ave San Jose, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,800 $3.11 15d 1 1.01mi
1450 Pomona Ave San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 675 $1,900 $2.81 22d 1 1.02mi
88 Montecito Vista Dr San Jose, CA 2.0 2.0 840 $2,691 $3.20 2d 1 1.12mi
273 Stonegate Cir San Jose, CA 2.0 1.0 704 $2,800 $3.98 44d 1 1.14mi
2898 Villa Monterey San Jose, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $2,780 $4.28 14d 1 1.14mi
2118 Canoas Garden Ave San Jose, CA 2.0 1.5–2.0 830 $2,745 $3.31 44d 7 1.17mi
1297 Plum St Unit 1297-05 San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,850 $3.08 44d 1 1.20mi
1297 Plum St San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,850 $3.08 44d 1 1.20mi
995 Tully Rd San Jose, CA 2.0 1.0 819 $3,278 $4.00 2d 6 1.25mi
200 Lewis Rd San Jose, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 867 $2,551 $2.94 2d 1 1.25mi
1006 Summerplace Dr San Jose, CA 2.0 2.5 1068 $3,650 $3.42 2d 1 1.27mi
978 Summerplace Dr San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 730 $2,395 $3.28 16d 1 1.28mi
2988 Grassina St #309 San Jose, CA 2.0 2.0 1048 $3,600 $3.44 2d 1 1.35mi
1068 Summershore Ct San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 730 $2,500 $3.42 16d 1 1.35mi
1200 Lick Ave San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,633 $2.97 44d 3 1.39mi
1277 Babb Ct San Jose, CA 2.0 2.0 1123 $3,550 $3.16 4d 3 1.39mi
1072 S 11th St #2 San Jose, CA 2.0 1.0 780 $3,400 $4.36 4d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 676-char remark
    Show marketing remark (676 chars)

    This brand new single-wide home is situated in a desirable, all-age, family-friendly community. It features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a split floor plan that enhances privacy. The open-concept kitchen and living area includes white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, recessed lighting, and a ceiling fan. The primary bedroom is conveniently located at the rear of the home and features a spacious closet and an en-suite bathroom. The comfortable secondary bedroom is located at the front of the home. The location is convenient, with nearby shopping, dining, and entertainment options at The Plant, along with easy access to Highway 87 for a straightforward commute.

  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $350,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (676 chars)

    This brand new single-wide home is situated in a desirable, all-age, family-friendly community. It features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a split floor plan that enhances privacy. The open-concept kitchen and living area includes white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, recessed lighting, and a ceiling fan. The primary bedroom is conveniently located at the rear of the home and features a spacious closet and an en-suite bathroom. The comfortable secondary bedroom is located at the front of the home. The location is convenient, with nearby shopping, dining, and entertainment options at The Plant, along with easy access to Highway 87 for a straightforward commute.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,117
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$5,250
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,649
− Management
−$2,649
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$8,969
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,153
After-tax cash flow
$-710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Side Union High
NCES district ID
0611820
Math proficiency
53% ▲ 12.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$80,293
Composite
55.15/100
National rank
#1278
State rank
#69 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Jose

Score
78/100
State rank
#68
US rank
#2559

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Jose, CA
County
Santa Clara County · 1,806,974 people
City population
954,479
Metro
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
Population (ZIP)
57,373
Household income
$89,103
Rent vs Own
73.6% rent · 26.4% own
Severe rent burden
4364.0

Population outlook (Santa Clara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,179,074 people
By 2030
2,301,297 · +5.6%
By 2040
2,528,195 · +16.0%
By 2050
2,712,135 · +24.5%
By 2075
2,998,701 · +37.6%
By 2100
2,931,429 · +34.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% Asian 27% White 22% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 33%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 29% Vietnamese 9% Chinese 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Clara

2024 margin
Solid D (+40.0) · D 68.1% · R 28.1% · Other 3.8%
2008→2024 swing
-0.9pp no change · 2008: 40.9pp · 2024: 40.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+40.0 2020: D+47.4 2016: D+52.5 2012: D+42.1 2008: D+40.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1025.61%
Current HPI
297.1788
Rent YoY
▲ 4.25%
Metro
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $350,000 MLSListings
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $350,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Property tax history

+1201.3%/yr

Latest (2009): $60 · +1201.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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