430 Greenwood Dr · Petersburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 50.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICED 16K+ BELLOW RECENT BANK APPRAISAL. New Roof just installed May 4th 2014. New kitchen New windows, new heat-pump / Central Air, New Bathrooms, New 200 Amp electrical service installed and done within the last year and a half. Located in a well established quiet neighborhood this home boasts Hardwood Floors through out that has just been refinished. If you are looking for the perfect move in condition home look no further. There are two new heat pumps new kitchen new bathrooms, etc. etc. Enjoy your morning in the screened back porch enjoying the view. Click on the pictures and look for yourself. For the quality and the quantity this is the best deal in the area.
Key facts
- Screened-in porch
- Unfinished basement
- Built-in cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: 3 stories; Resale property; Shingle roof; Brick and frame construction; Approximate year built
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Rear screened porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooking; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Laminate counters
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub and shower; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling with zoned controls; Electric heat pump with zoned controls
- Interior features: Book cases; Built-in features; Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace; High ceilings; Laminate counters; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.5% in Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#413 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Petersburg City Public School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #131 of 131 in VA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 118 units permitted in Petersburg city in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Petersburg County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $124k; list at $200k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.02%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $264,096
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1855 Westover Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,836 (+0%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $166 | 80 |
| 1940 Westover Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (-5%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $174 | 76 |
| 2011 Cumberland Ave | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,758 (-4%) | 4mo | $330,000 | $188 | 76 |
| 1850 Brandon Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,916 (+4%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $99 | 71 |
| 1770 Arch St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,843 (+0%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $174 | 69 |
| 1828 Brandon Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,777 (-3%) | 6mo | $219,900 | $124 | 64 |
| 519 Oak Hill Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,978 (+8%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $88 | 62 |
| 1831 East Blvd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (-11%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $144 | 60 |
| 1802 Varina Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,946 (+6%) | 4mo | $198,220 | $102 | 53 |
| 1866 Fairfax St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,625 (-11%) | 4mo | $132,500 | $82 | 52 |
| 1824 Powhatan Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,560 (-15%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $157 | 44 |
| 1754 Monticello St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,103 (+15%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $131 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-8,586
- Equity at exit
- $29,813
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $23,149
- Equity at exit
- $17,288
Cash invested: $55,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23805
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,126 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,087/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$447
- Net cashflow
- $374
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,988
- Closing costs
- $5,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1806 Powhatan Ave Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1878 | $2,495 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 335 Claremont St Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2157 | $2,500 | $1.16 | 11d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2549 Bogese Dr Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,300 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 531 N Azalea Rd Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 709B Fort Hayes Ct Petersburg, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,795 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3316 E Princeton Rd Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2194 | $1,995 | $0.91 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-02status $199,950 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,950 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,950 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$199,950 Active
-
2014-09-09soldstatus $123,700
-
2014-09-08soldstatus $123,700 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
PRICED 16K+ BELLOW RECENT BANK APPRAISAL. New Roof just installed May 4th 2014. New kitchen New windows, new heat-pump / Central Air, New Bathrooms, New 200 Amp electrical service installed and done within the last year and a half. Located in a well established quiet neighborhood this home boasts Hardwood Floors through out that has just been refinished. If you are looking for the perfect move in condition home look no further. There are two new heat pumps new kitchen new bathrooms, etc. etc. Enjoy your morning in the screened back porch enjoying the view. Click on the pictures and look for yourself. For the quality and the quantity this is the best deal in the area.
-
2014-07-24historical 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
PRICED 16K+ BELLOW RECENT BANK APPRAISAL. New Roof just installed May 4th 2014. New kitchen New windows, new heat-pump / Central Air, New Bathrooms, New 200 Amp electrical service installed and done within the last year and a half. Located in a well established quiet neighborhood this home boasts Hardwood Floors through out that has just been refinished. If you are looking for the perfect move in condition home look no further. There are two new heat pumps new kitchen new bathrooms, etc. etc. Enjoy your morning in the screened back porch enjoying the view. Click on the pictures and look for yourself. For the quality and the quantity this is the best deal in the area.
-
2014-02-21$129,700 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
PRICED 16K+ BELLOW RECENT BANK APPRAISAL. New Roof just installed May 4th 2014. New kitchen New windows, new heat-pump / Central Air, New Bathrooms, New 200 Amp electrical service installed and done within the last year and a half. Located in a well established quiet neighborhood this home boasts Hardwood Floors through out that has just been refinished. If you are looking for the perfect move in condition home look no further. There are two new heat pumps new kitchen new bathrooms, etc. etc. Enjoy your morning in the screened back porch enjoying the view. Click on the pictures and look for yourself. For the quality and the quantity this is the best deal in the area.
-
2012-02-10soldstatus $53,000 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
Nice brick cape located in Petersburg! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, nice sized family room, and hardwood floors. The partial basement offers extra storage space. And don't miss the screened back porch. This home offers alot of possibilities. Come see for yourself! Property being sold as-is. Inspections are for informational purposes only. This Property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 12/6/2011. * * SELLER OFFERING UP TO 3 PERC BUYER'S CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE + 2-YR HOMEPROTECT LIMITED HOME WARRANTY ON ALL OWNER OCCUPIED OFFERS, CLOSED AND FUNDED BY 3/15/2012! GO TO HOMESTEPS SITE FOR MORE DETAILS. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY * *
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2012-02-10soldstatus $53,000
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
Nice brick cape located in Petersburg! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, nice sized family room, and hardwood floors. The partial basement offers extra storage space. And don't miss the screened back porch. This home offers alot of possibilities. Come see for yourself! Property being sold as-is. Inspections are for informational purposes only. This Property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 12/6/2011. * * SELLER OFFERING UP TO 3 PERC BUYER'S CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE + 2-YR HOMEPROTECT LIMITED HOME WARRANTY ON ALL OWNER OCCUPIED OFFERS, CLOSED AND FUNDED BY 3/15/2012! GO TO HOMESTEPS SITE FOR MORE DETAILS. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY * *
-
2012-01-25historical 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
Nice brick cape located in Petersburg! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, nice sized family room, and hardwood floors. The partial basement offers extra storage space. And don't miss the screened back porch. This home offers alot of possibilities. Come see for yourself! Property being sold as-is. Inspections are for informational purposes only. This Property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 12/6/2011. * * SELLER OFFERING UP TO 3 PERC BUYER'S CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE + 2-YR HOMEPROTECT LIMITED HOME WARRANTY ON ALL OWNER OCCUPIED OFFERS, CLOSED AND FUNDED BY 3/15/2012! GO TO HOMESTEPS SITE FOR MORE DETAILS. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY * *
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2011-11-21$54,900 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
Nice brick cape located in Petersburg! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, nice sized family room, and hardwood floors. The partial basement offers extra storage space. And don't miss the screened back porch. This home offers alot of possibilities. Come see for yourself! Property being sold as-is. Inspections are for informational purposes only. This Property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 12/6/2011. * * SELLER OFFERING UP TO 3 PERC BUYER'S CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE + 2-YR HOMEPROTECT LIMITED HOME WARRANTY ON ALL OWNER OCCUPIED OFFERS, CLOSED AND FUNDED BY 3/15/2012! GO TO HOMESTEPS SITE FOR MORE DETAILS. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY * *
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1999-08-23soldstatus $85,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,087 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,087 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,200
- − Property taxes
- −$2,087
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,041
- − Management
- −$2,041
- − Depreciation
- −$5,817
- Taxable income
- $1,331
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$320
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,170/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Petersburg City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102910
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,362
- Composite
- 28.78/100
- National rank
- #6670
- State rank
- #131 of 131 in VA
Livability — Petersburg
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #17309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Petersburg, VA
- County
- Petersburg City · 21,408 people
- City population
- 63,420
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,408
- Household income
- $60,807
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 719.0
Population outlook (Petersburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,488 people
- By 2030
- 29,771 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 28,401 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 27,279 · -10.5%
- By 2075
- 25,877 · -15.1%
- By 2100
- 24,288 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Hungarian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Petersburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+72.8) · D 85.8% · R 13.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 72.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+72.8 2020: D+76.5 2016: D+77.0 2012: D+80.4 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.37%
- Current HPI
- 426.599
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+132.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $199,950 CVRMLS
- 2014-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $123,700 Public Records
- 2014-09-08 Sold (MLS) $123,700 CVRMLS
- 2014-07-24 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2014-02-21 Listed $129,700 CVRMLS
- 2012-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-10 Sold (MLS) $53,000 CVRMLS
- 2012-01-25 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2011-11-21 Listed $54,900 CVRMLS
- 1999-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $85,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,087 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…