241 Colgate Ave · Dundalk, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handyman Special, opportunity to customize a townhouse to your taste or ready it for resale or add to rental portfolio for experienced investors. Interior and exterior work needed to ready unit. Market value in neighborhood is 200k for renovated units. Offers accepted even if temp off market.
Key facts
- Built 1919
- Listed 164 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 6.2% in Dundalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $110k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.13%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $137,688
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -20.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 Colgate Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 904 (0%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $149 | 85 |
| 6552 Parnell Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 | 885 (-2%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $107 | 80 |
| 65 Willow Spring Rd | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 972 (+8%) | 7mo | $141,200 | $145 | 72 |
| 106 Baltimore | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 906 (+0%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $166 | 72 |
| 6562 Saint Helena Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-7%) | 17mo | $153,000 | $182 | 69 |
| 73 N Dundalk Ave | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (-4%) | 18mo | $145,000 | $168 | 66 |
| 6583 Saint Helena Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 819 (-9%) | 5mo | $204,000 | $249 | 66 |
| 7 Broadship | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-4%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $231 | 63 |
| 20 Eastship Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-4%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $150 | 47 |
| 12 Flagship | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 | 1,008 (+12%) | 15mo | $155,000 | $154 | 46 |
| 7 Eastship Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,007 (+11%) | 22mo | $135,000 | $134 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $4,255
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $21,107
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21222
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,465 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $476 | -5% $445 | +0% $414 | +5% $383 | +10% $352 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $298 | -5% $356 | +0% $414 | +5% $472 | +10% $530 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $469 | -0.5pp $442 | base $414 | +0.5pp $385 | +1.0pp $356 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6552 Parnell Ave Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 885 | $1,500 | $1.69 | 19d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6545 Baltimore Ave Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 113 Kinship Rd Unit 115Kin-1A Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,150 | $2.19 | 16d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 113 Kinship Rd Unit 124Kin-1A Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,000 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 113 Kinship Rd Unit 117Kin-1B Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,000 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 113 Kinship Rd Unit 131 Will-2B Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,150 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2125 Cameron Dr Dundalk, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 697 | $1,350 | $1.94 | 44d | 9 | 0.36mi |
| 2104 Willow Spring Rd Unit 6727THR-1 Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $899 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2104 Willow Spring Rd Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 539 | $1,038 | $1.92 | 4d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 3 Center Pl Unit 2 Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2624 Liberty Pkwy Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,856 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7003 Dunmanway Dundalk, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,345 | $1.74 | 3d | 13 | 0.56mi |
| 2907 Cornwall Rd Unit Road2nd Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2939 Cornwall Rd Unit C Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2976 Cornwall Rd Unit 1 Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,590 | $1.77 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6722 Brentwood Ave Unit B Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,500 | $2.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6722 Brentwood Ave Unit 2FL Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3117 Liberty Pkwy Unit 1 Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,200 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1955 Walnut Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6518 Brown Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,300 | $1.93 | 25d | 3 | 0.96mi |
| 3443 Dunhaven Rd Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,900 | $1.87 | 6d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3481 McShane Way Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $2,150 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1613 Elrino St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1504 Elrino St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3503 Sollers Point Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,850 | $2.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 108 Chestnut St Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,300 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7718 Meath Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $2,200 | $2.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7508 Ives Ln Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,750 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-04-12price $110,000 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Handyman Special, opportunity to customize a townhouse to your taste or ready it for resale or add to rental portfolio for experienced investors. Interior and exterior work needed to ready unit. Market value in neighborhood is 200k for renovated units. Offers accepted even if temp off market.
-
2026-01-08soldstatus $65,000
-
2026-01-07$115,000 Active 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Handyman Special, opportunity to customize a townhouse to your taste or ready it for resale or add to rental portfolio for experienced investors. Interior and exterior work needed to ready unit. Market value in neighborhood is 200k for renovated units. Offers accepted even if temp off market.
-
2005-05-03soldstatus $51,500
-
2005-03-18soldstatus $51,500 14-char remark
Show marketing remark (14 chars)
sold to tenant
-
2005-02-03$51,500 14-char remark
Show marketing remark (14 chars)
sold to tenant
-
2005-02-03historical 14-char remark
Show marketing remark (14 chars)
sold to tenant
-
1988-01-06soldstatus $42,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,448 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,448 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,578
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,448
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,406
- − Management
- −$1,406
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,406
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$817
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Dundalk
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dundalk, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 59,407
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,407
- Household income
- $64,141
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2566.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.44%
- Current HPI
- 228.4218
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+158.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2026-01-07 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records
- 2005-03-18 Sold (MLS) $51,500 MRIS
- 2005-02-03 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-02-03 Listed $51,500 MRIS
- 1988-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,448 · -5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…