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133 Ham Rd
B+ Composite 76.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

133 Ham Rd · Davidsville, PA 15935
3 bd · 0.5 ba · 2,779 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1925 6.60 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Dreaming of acreage, privacy, and the opportunity to create something truly special? Welcome to 133 Ham Road in Hollsopple, located in the highly desirable Conemaugh Township School District. Situated on approximately 6.6 acres, this unique farmhouse property offers the kind of space, character, and potential that rarely comes available. This charming old farmhouse offers 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a spacious kitchen filled with the potential to become the dream gathering space you've always imagined—opening directly into the living room where family and friends can comfortably gather for holidays, dinners, and slow evenings at home. The cozy wood-burning fireplace, beautiful French d

Key facts

  • Acreage
  • Privacy
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

ACREAGEPRIVACYUNIQUE FARMHOUSESPACIOUS KITCHENCOZY WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEBEAUTIFUL FRENCH DOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water and spring; Public sewer and septic tank; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Two stories
  • Construction: Stone and block construction; Metal roof; Built prior to 2026
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Guest house; Barn(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil heating
  • Interior features: Range; Oven; Wood-burning fireplaces (3 total)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#938 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Conemaugh Township Area SD (rural): math 59% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #45 of 539 in PA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
  • Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $97,515 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.71%
Cash-on-cash
15.78%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$38,760
Equity at exit
$48,336
10-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
4.65×
Total profit
$101,160
Equity at exit
$77,611

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15935

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,328 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,491/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$365

Break-even live

Break-even rent $867
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-28
    listed $99,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,491 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,528 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$36/yr (+$3/mo · 2.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,939
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,491
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,275
− Management
−$1,275
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$2,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$714
After-tax cash flow
$3,661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conemaugh Township Area SD
NCES district ID
4206420
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,140
Composite
56.55/100
National rank
#1150
State rank
#45 of 539 in PA

Livability — Davidsville

Score
67/100
State rank
#938
US rank
#10259

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,567

Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,318 people
By 2030
68,555 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,447 · -12.4%
By 2050
56,437 · -20.9%
By 2075
44,453 · -37.7%
By 2100
32,408 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Scotch-Irish 4% Slovene 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Somerset

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.68%
Current HPI
149.6211
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $99,000 CSMLS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,491 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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