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1408 Clio Dr
C+ Composite 64.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

1408 Clio Dr · West Pensacola, FL 32505
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,025 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1964 0.47 ac lot $141/sqft · 13% below area Est $166k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick home nestled on a spacious 0.18-acre lot surrounded by mature trees and natural greenery. Enjoy relaxing mornings on the covered front porch or unwind in the large backyard offering plenty of space for outdoor living, entertaining, or future improvements. Inside, the home features a functional layout with a comfortable living area, dedicated dining space, and an interior laundry room for added convenience. The kitchen offers ample cabinet storage and natural light with views of the backyard. With solid construction and great potential, this property is perfect for buyers looking to personalize a home or investors seeking their next opportunit

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Large backyard
  • Natural light

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHLARGE BACKYARDINTERIOR LAUNDRY ROOMAMPLE CABINET STORAGENATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located on a county-maintained road
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 spaces per unit
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Copper wiring with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Not attached to another property; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction; Off-grade foundation
  • Exterior features: Interior lot; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Not updated; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor (15' x 12'); Bedroom 1 on the first floor (12' x 12'); Bedroom 2 on the first floor (12' x 10')
  • Flooring: Tile; Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom — updated within the last 6–10 years (see photos)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Tile, carpet, and laminate flooring; Kitchen/dining combo
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $145k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.71%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,973
List price
$145,000
Delta
-12.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1020 E Madison Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,042 (+2%) 6mo $175,000 $168 75
219 Mckinley Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,025 (0%) 1mo $160,000 $156 70
4509 Cherbourg Way 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,040 (+2%) 2mo $159,000 $153 70
219 Opal Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,012 (-1%) 8mo $117,500 $116 70
1309 Belair Dr 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,000 (-2%) 5mo $118,000 $118 69
1201 Belair Rd 0.42mi 3/1.5 988 (-4%) 4mo $162,000 $164 69
4413 Ellysee Way 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,012 (-1%) 2mo $90,000 $89 68
835 S Madison Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,014 (-1%) 6mo $81,500 $80 68
202 Emerald Ave 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,012 (-1%) 6mo $137,500 $136 65
4513 Guerlain Way 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,012 (-1%) 8mo $155,000 $153 64
603 New York Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 964 (-6%) 2mo $125,000 $130 63
918 Belair Rd 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,012 (-1%) 7mo $160,000 $158 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,677
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$35,715
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32505

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,556 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,365/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$295

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,183
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
707 New York Dr Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1266 $1,185 $0.94 23d 1 0.51mi
221 Edison Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,598 $1.07 23d 1 0.65mi
3216 Two Sisters Way Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1117 $1,700 $1.52 23d 1 0.86mi
3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,350 $1.22 23d 1 0.87mi
918 Montclair Rd Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,500 $1.48 13d 1 0.88mi
2301 W Michigan Ave #21 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.5 1164 $1,325 $1.14 23d 1 0.95mi
2303 W Michigan Ave Unit A6 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,300 $1.28 23d 1 0.95mi
5602 W Shore Dr Unit B Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 920 $1,250 $1.36 23d 1 1.06mi
902 Lucerne Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,600 $1.25 23d 1 1.09mi
2355 W Michigan Ave Pensacola, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,450 $1.71 13d 9 1.12mi
2300 W Michigan Ave #12 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,300 $1.24 23d 1 1.15mi
101 Vanderbilt Rd Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,850 $1.68 21d 1 1.22mi
2702 Massachusetts Ave Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1150 $1,745 $1.52 13d 9 1.26mi
5180 Burlington Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,650 $1.39 23d 1 1.29mi
925 Twinbrook Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1105 $1,750 $1.58 23d 1 1.35mi
5207 Charbar Dr Unit B Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 23d 1 1.38mi
5877 Tryton Cir Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1419 $1,825 $1.29 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    price $155,000 765-char remark
  16. 2026-04-29
    price $165,000 765-char remark
  17. 2026-04-28
    listed $180,000 Active 765-char remark
  18. 2008-02-28
    historical
  19. 2007-09-05
    listed $84,900
  20. 1999-05-20
    soldstatus $49,900
  21. 1996-03-12
    soldstatus $45,000
  22. 1992-05-01
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,365 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,365 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,673
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,365
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,494
− Management
−$1,494
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$1,255
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$301
After-tax cash flow
$3,236/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Pensacola

Score
66/100
State rank
#629
US rank
#12275

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Pensacola, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,877
Household income
$44,783
Rent vs Own
47.7% rent · 52.3% own
Severe rent burden
1458.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.10%
Current HPI
205.45
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+353.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $145,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $150,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $155,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $165,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $180,000 PARMLS
  • 2008-02-28 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2007-09-05 Listed $84,900 PARMLS
  • 1999-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
  • 1996-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1992-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,365 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…