12231 NE 64th Pl · East Bronson, FL 32696

$45,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 38 Days on market

Built 1980 1.20 ac lot Est $88k · 49% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. This 1.20 acre corner lot property is being sold AS-IS and is considered a full renovation or teardown with no contributory value assigned. 924sqft built in 1980. Be near Florida’s beautiful Gulf Coast, yet located in desirable Flood Zone X, where no flood insurance is required for financed homes. The yard is complimented by open space and shade with a variety of trees, a touch of Florida charm. No land prep expenses this property is ready to go! CASH ONLY. Buyer to perform all due diligence. 2 storage sheds also on the property. LISTING AGENT IS A MEMBER OF THE SELLING LLC.

Key facts

• Variety of trees
• Full renovation
• Corner lot

Tags

• CORNER LOT
• FULL RENOVATION
• VARIETY OF TREES
• STORAGE SHEDS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property sits on approximately 1.2 acres; Dirt road access; Unfurnished; No lease restrictions
• HOA & community: No association

Exterior

• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available
• Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Faces north; Residential property
• Construction: Other construction materials; Other foundation
• Exterior features: Metal roof; Storage

Interior

• Kitchen: Range
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Other flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
• Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Other cooling
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Storage
• Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
• Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 31.3% vs local median 3.4% in East Bronson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#768 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
• Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 359 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.60% ✓
• Cap rate: 31.31%
• Cash-on-cash: 89.36%
• DSCR: 4.98
• GRM: 2.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $87,780
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
12231 NE 64th Pl	0.00mi	2/1.5	924 (0%)	1mo	$35,000	$38	97
11281 NE 61st St	0.53mi	3/1.0 (+1)	924 (0%)	9mo	$88,000	$95	63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 90.0%
• Equity multiple: 5.17×
• Total profit: $52,508
• Equity at exit: $6,710

10-year hold

• IRR: 93.0%
• Equity multiple: 10.75×
• Total profit: $122,847
• Equity at exit: $3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32696

• Home prices YoY: -6.2%
• Active inventory: 359
• Price-to-rent: 2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,621 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$236
• Tax from tax record: −$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$340
• Net cashflow: $938

Break-even live

Break-even rent $433

Max offer price $45,000

Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $964	-5% $951	+0% $938	+5% $925	+10% $913
Rent	-10% $810	-5% $874	+0% $938	+5% $1,002	+10% $1,066
Rate	-1.0pp $961	-0.5pp $950	base $938	+0.5pp $927	+1.0pp $915

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,250
• Closing costs: $1,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-11
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-03
   listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,050 · $87/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,050 · $87/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,450
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,521
• − Property taxes: −$1,050
• − Insurance: −$225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,556
• − Management: −$1,556
• − Depreciation: −$1,309
• Taxable income: $11,233
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,696
• After-tax cash flow: $8,563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Levy
• NCES district ID: 1201140
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $35,254
• Composite: 36.42/100
• National rank: #4673
• State rank: #54 of 73 in FL

Livability — East Bronson

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #768
• US rank: #17230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 14,532

Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 36,536 people
• By 2030: 34,498 · -5.6%
• By 2040: 30,294 · -17.1%
• By 2050: 26,368 · -27.8%
• By 2075: 19,003 · -48.0%
• By 2100: 13,169 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 13% Two or more races 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Levy

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -21.99%
• Current HPI: 335.7751
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-03 Listed $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,050 · +23.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.