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6735 Coral Ridge Rd
D Composite 42.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0

$300,000

6735 Coral Ridge Rd · Houston, TX 77069
5 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,358 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1989 8,328 sqft lot $89/sqft · 23% below area Est $388k · 23% under $55/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.

Key facts

  • 8,328 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1989

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-567 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (33.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (19.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #161 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $145k; list at $300k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,855 (33.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
4.03%
Cash-on-cash
-8.10%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$387,604
List price
$300,000
Delta
-22.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6723 Mossridge Dr 0.16mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,355 (-0%) 7mo $535,000 $159 82
6902 Mossridge Dr 0.22mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,235 (-4%) 4mo $350,000 $108 75
13214 Fawcett Dr 0.12mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,593 (+7%) 5mo $449,000 $125 74
6723 Ashmore Dr 0.27mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,574 (+6%) 2mo $415,500 $116 70
13606 Champions Centre Dr 0.49mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,341 (-0%) 2mo $550,000 $165 70
6907 Fawncliff Dr 0.13mi 4/4.5 (-1) 3,619 (+8%) 3mo $560,000 $155 69
7002 Briton Centre Ct 0.50mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,319 (-1%) 1mo $630,000 $190 67
6914 Coral Ridge Rd 0.15mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,033 (-10%) 7mo $292,000 $96 66
6810 Apple Valley Ln 0.26mi 5/4.0 2,998 (-11%) 8mo $435,000 $145 61
6719 Ashmore Dr 0.27mi 4/2.5 (-1) 3,012 (-10%) 4mo $350,000 $116 58
6782 Cutten Pkwy 0.72mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,285 (-2%) 3mo $405,000 $123 55
6226 Pebble Beach Dr 0.62mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,770 (+12%) 2mo $715,000 $190 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.09% appreciation · 3.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-58,344
Equity at exit
$71,062
10-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-67,453
Equity at exit
$73,472

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77069

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,413 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$720 /mo · $8,635/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$55
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$507
Net cashflow
$-567

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,130
Max offer price $199,855
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-397 -5% $-482 +0% $-567 +5% $-652 +10% $-737
Rent -10% $-757 -5% $-662 +0% $-567 +5% $-472 +10% $-376
Rate -1.0pp $-416 -0.5pp $-491 base $-567 +0.5pp $-645 +1.0pp $-724

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5415 Olympia Fields Ln Houston, TX 4.0 4.0 4163 $3,500 $0.84 4d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$55 · $660/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $300,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-04-27
    listed $300,000 Active 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.

  7. 2026-04-22
    historical $300,000 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.

  8. 2026-04-16
    historical 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.

  9. 2026-04-16
    historical $300,000 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.

  10. 1990-08-29
    soldstatus $145,000
  11. 1989-03-01
    soldstatus $145,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,635 · $720/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,635 · $720/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,950
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$8,635
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,316
− Management
−$2,316
− HOA
−$660
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$12,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,882
After-tax cash flow
$-3,921/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cypress-Fairbanks ISD
NCES district ID
4816110
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$72,025
Composite
43.63/100
National rank
#2968
State rank
#161 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
20,608
Household income
$80,257
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1259.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.09%
Current HPI
201.0894
Rent YoY
▲ 3.55%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $300,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Coming Soon $300,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Coming Soon $300,000 HARMLS
  • 1990-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 1989-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,635 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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