6735 Coral Ridge Rd · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.0/30.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.
Key facts
- 8,328 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1989
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-567 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (33.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (19.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #161 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $145k; list at $300k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.10%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $387,604
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -22.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6723 Mossridge Dr | 0.16mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,355 (-0%) | 7mo | $535,000 | $159 | 82 |
| 6902 Mossridge Dr | 0.22mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,235 (-4%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $108 | 75 |
| 13214 Fawcett Dr | 0.12mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,593 (+7%) | 5mo | $449,000 | $125 | 74 |
| 6723 Ashmore Dr | 0.27mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,574 (+6%) | 2mo | $415,500 | $116 | 70 |
| 13606 Champions Centre Dr | 0.49mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,341 (-0%) | 2mo | $550,000 | $165 | 70 |
| 6907 Fawncliff Dr | 0.13mi | 4/4.5 (-1) | 3,619 (+8%) | 3mo | $560,000 | $155 | 69 |
| 7002 Briton Centre Ct | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,319 (-1%) | 1mo | $630,000 | $190 | 67 |
| 6914 Coral Ridge Rd | 0.15mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,033 (-10%) | 7mo | $292,000 | $96 | 66 |
| 6810 Apple Valley Ln | 0.26mi | 5/4.0 | 2,998 (-11%) | 8mo | $435,000 | $145 | 61 |
| 6719 Ashmore Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,012 (-10%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $116 | 58 |
| 6782 Cutten Pkwy | 0.72mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,285 (-2%) | 3mo | $405,000 | $123 | 55 |
| 6226 Pebble Beach Dr | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,770 (+12%) | 2mo | $715,000 | $190 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.09% appreciation · 3.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-58,344
- Equity at exit
- $71,062
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-67,453
- Equity at exit
- $73,472
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77069
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,413 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$720 /mo · $8,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $-567
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-397 | -5% $-482 | +0% $-567 | +5% $-652 | +10% $-737 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-757 | -5% $-662 | +0% $-567 | +5% $-472 | +10% $-376 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-416 | -0.5pp $-491 | base $-567 | +0.5pp $-645 | +1.0pp $-724 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5415 Olympia Fields Ln Houston, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4163 | $3,500 | $0.84 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $300,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $300,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $300,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$300,000 Active 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.
-
2026-04-22historical $300,000 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.
-
2026-04-16historical 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.
-
2026-04-16historical $300,000 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL. SOLD AS IS. NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE. HVAC and roof are both less than 10 years old per seller.
-
1990-08-29soldstatus $145,000
-
1989-03-01soldstatus $145,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,635 · $720/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,635 · $720/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,950
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$8,635
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,316
- − Management
- −$2,316
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$12,008
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,882
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,921/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cypress-Fairbanks ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816110
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,025
- Composite
- 43.63/100
- National rank
- #2968
- State rank
- #161 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,608
- Household income
- $80,257
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1259.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.09%
- Current HPI
- 201.0894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.55%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+106.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $300,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-22 Coming Soon $300,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Coming Soon $300,000 HARMLS
- 1990-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 1989-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $8,635 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…