212 B Pier B · Naples, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Overview 2 Bed 2 Bath Description Lots of storage Oversized shed 2 /2 story lofts 2x6 walls Plastered walls Hurricane slider and windows Extra cement around ho me Never had hurricane damage Beautiful screened porch On the water 60.00 boat slips a month HOA 409.00 a month Never taken FEMA money Lots of extras
Key facts
- Oversized shed
- Boat slips
- Lots of storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 777 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,991/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.40%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-20,586
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-19,240
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34112
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 777
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,991 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$628
- Net cashflow
- $382
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $537 | -5% $459 | +0% $382 | +5% $304 | +10% $226 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $145 | -5% $264 | +0% $382 | +5% $500 | +10% $618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $495 | -0.5pp $439 | base $382 | +0.5pp $323 | +1.0pp $264 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3062 Sandpiper Bay Cir Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $4,250 | $3.70 | 24d | 2 | 0.15mi |
| 3051 Sandpiper Bay Cir Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $4,000 | $3.48 | 24d | 2 | 0.18mi |
| 3032 Sandpiper Bay Cir Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $4,100 | $3.57 | 24d | 2 | 0.19mi |
| 3041 Sandpiper Bay Cir Unit H201 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,999 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3001 Sandpiper Bay Cir Unit B106 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 15d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1549 Sandpiper St #36 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $2,195 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 12 Knights Bridge Rd Unit A32 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $3,200 | $2.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2134 Palm St Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $7,500 | $12.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1751 Smugglers Cv Unit 2 1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,995 | $2.49 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1605 Chesapeake Ave #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,300 | $2.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1686 Blue Point Ave Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $5,500 | $5.20 | 15d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 1535 Chesapeake Ave Unit A2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1155 Sandpiper St Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $4,050 | $3.81 | 24d | 2 | 0.52mi |
| 1155 Sandpiper St Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $3,950 | $3.72 | 22d | 3 | 0.52mi |
| 2840 Shoreview Dr Unit 7 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2750 Manorca Ave Unit A Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,800 | $3.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1555 Blue Point Ave Unit 3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,745 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2347 Bayside St Apt B Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,595 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1360 Chesapeake Ave Unit 1372 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,850 | $3.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3005 Gordon St Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 967 | $2,275 | $2.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3005 Gordon St Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 967 | $2,275 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 802 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $3,355 | $4.73 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 921 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $3,420 | $4.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 901 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $4,560 | $4.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 1027 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $3,525 | $3.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 1021 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $3,520 | $4.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 716 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $3,330 | $4.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 817 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $3,295 | $4.64 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1950 Mayfair St Naples, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1514 | $8,752 | $5.78 | 15d | 109 | 0.69mi |
| 3350 Putney Ct Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1038 | $2,986 | $2.88 | 15d | 26 | 0.74mi |
| 2685 Van Buren Ave Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 865 | $2,450 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2155 Great Blue Dr Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,910 | $2.13 | 15d | 43 | 0.86mi |
| 1435 Curlew Ave #1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $2,850 | $2.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1435 Curlew Ave #1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $2,850 | $2.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1395 Curlew Ave Unit 4-3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $7,000 | $7.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 803 River Point Dr Unit 201B Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $2,300 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 805 River Point Dr Unit 307C Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $2,700 | $3.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 801 River Point Dr Unit 303A Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $5,000 | $6.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 232 Palm Dr Unit 47-5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $2,500 | $2.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 200 Palm Dr #7 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,600 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $224,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-01-12$224,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,886
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$3,374
- − Insurance
- −$6,243
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,871
- − Management
- −$2,871
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable income
- $1,388
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$333
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Naples
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #1903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- City population
- 344,941
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,193
- Household income
- $69,842
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 980.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.10%
- Current HPI
- 256.9182
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.69%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-12 Listed $224,900 Fizber.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…