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133 Juniper Loop Cir
D+ Composite 48.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

133 Juniper Loop Cir · Silver Springs Shores, FL 34480
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,317 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 2007 10,019 sqft lot Est $250k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely 3/2/2 in Silver Springs Shores! House has been freshly painted inside and has new appliances. Home was built in 2007 and has 1,317 square feet. Kitchen and baths are tiled and rest of house has new carpet. Kitchen is wide open to the living room which has vaulted ceilings. Kitchen has new sink and faucet. All doors have been freshly painted and have new doorknobs. Garage has also been freshly painted. Great for first-time home buyers or rental opportunity! Broker/owner. Sold AS IS with right to inspect.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2007

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R1; Property type: Residential - Single Family Residence; Total rooms: 4; Living area (public records): 1,317; Building area (owner): 1,826; Direction faces: South; Number of wells: 1; Number of septics: 1
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south; Homesteaded
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.23-acre lot (approx. 80 x 125)
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Open floorplan; Living room/dining room combo
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($96/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (17.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.8% in Silver Springs Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Legacy Elementary School (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,697 of 2,144 statewide, top 80%, 716 students, 72% FRL); Belleview Middle School (math 49% / reading 50%, grade C, #259 of 571 statewide, top 46%, 1,573 students, 60% FRL); Forest High School (math 36% / reading 54%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 2,325 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 350 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $135k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,194 (17.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.18%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$250,230
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
116 Juniper Way 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,398 (+6%) 2mo $235,000 $168 84
115 Juniper Run 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,399 (+6%) 13mo $248,250 $177 71
7 Larch Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-2%) 12mo $285,000 $220 68
21 Juniper Loop Cir 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+10%) 14mo $275,000 $190 67
27 Juniper Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,284 (-2%) 12mo $249,900 $195 61
74 Walnut Pl 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,138 (-14%) 8mo $229,900 $202 61
156 Juniper Cir 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,439 (+9%) 2mo $270,000 $188 61
21 Walnut Crse 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,510 (+15%) 10mo $275,000 $182 58
44 Walnut Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,453 (+10%) 4mo $280,400 $193 55
23 Juniper Drive Ct 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,413 (+7%) 12mo $240,000 $170 55
7777 SE 41st Ct 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-5%) 4mo $307,000 $246 54
55 Laurel Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+14%) 4mo $285,000 $190 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-31,376
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-27,833
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34480

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
350
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,612 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,939/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,602
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $118 -5% $63 +0% $8 +5% $-47 +10% $-102
Rent -10% $-119 -5% $-56 +0% $8 +5% $72 +10% $135
Rate -1.0pp $106 -0.5pp $58 base $8 +0.5pp $-43 +1.0pp $-94

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
123 Juniper Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,695 $1.17 23d 1 0.28mi
31 Walnut Run Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 974 $1,200 $1.23 15d 1 0.39mi
60 Walnut Rd Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 969 $1,200 $1.24 23d 1 0.44mi
52 Walnut Rd Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 969 $1,175 $1.21 15d 1 0.47mi
47 Walnut Run Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 974 $1,235 $1.27 15d 1 0.50mi
50 Walnut Run Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,795 $1.39 15d 1 0.51mi
11 Aspen Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,725 $1.27 23d 1 0.53mi
28 Juniper Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,650 $1.14 23d 1 0.56mi
28 Poplar Run Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1473 $1,650 $1.12 15d 1 0.58mi
23 Aspen Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,650 $1.18 23d 1 0.60mi
66 Laurel Pass Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 974 $1,175 $1.21 23d 1 0.64mi
58 Laurel Pass Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 23d 1 0.66mi
57 Juniper Pass Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 974 $1,200 $1.23 15d 1 0.67mi
54 Laurel Pass Ocala, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 23d 1 0.67mi
15 Juniper Pass Ln Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1608 $1,900 $1.18 15d 1 0.81mi
10 Juniper Trl Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1617 $1,875 $1.16 15d 1 0.87mi
7 Juniper Pass Way Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,750 $1.20 23d 1 0.91mi
18 Juniper Trl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,750 $1.38 15d 1 1.14mi
4440 SE 62nd St Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1325 $1,850 $1.40 23d 1 1.16mi
21 Dogwood Drive Pass Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1390 $1,595 $1.15 23d 1 1.17mi
9 Pine Course Radl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,725 $1.19 15d 1 1.21mi
338 Larch Rd Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1394 $1,595 $1.14 23d 1 1.22mi
139 Pine Crse Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1398 $1,645 $1.18 15d 1 1.24mi
3851 SE 66th Pl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1109 $1,575 $1.42 23d 1 1.28mi
88 Dogwood Drive Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1659 $1,600 $0.96 23d 1 1.31mi
3 Pine Circle Pass Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1674 $1,700 $1.02 23d 1 1.42mi
2 Dogwood Drive Pl Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1608 $2,099 $1.31 23d 1 1.44mi
9 Dogwood Trail Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1110 $1,595 $1.44 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    remarks 681-char remark
  2. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $195,000 Pending 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-05-30
    days on market $195,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-05-22
    listed $195,000 Active
  9. 2019-02-26
    soldstatus $135,000 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Lovely 3/2/2 in Silver Springs Shores! House has been freshly painted inside and has new appliances. Home was built in 2007 and has 1,317 square feet. Kitchen and baths are tiled and rest of house has new carpet. Kitchen is wide open to the living room which has vaulted ceilings. Kitchen has new sink and faucet. All doors have been freshly painted and have new doorknobs. Garage has also been freshly painted. Great for first-time home buyers or rental opportunity! Broker/owner. Sold AS IS with right to inspect.

  10. 2019-02-04
    soldstatus $135,000
  11. 2019-01-31
    soldstatus $135,000 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Lovely 3/2/2 in Silver Springs Shores! House has been freshly painted inside and has new appliances. Home was built in 2007 and has 1,317 square feet. Kitchen and baths are tiled and rest of house has new carpet. Kitchen is wide open to the living room which has vaulted ceilings. Kitchen has new sink and faucet. All doors have been freshly painted and have new doorknobs. Garage has also been freshly painted. Great for first-time home buyers or rental opportunity! Broker/owner. Sold AS IS with right to inspect.

  12. 2018-10-21
    listed $136,500 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Lovely 3/2/2 in Silver Springs Shores! House has been freshly painted inside and has new appliances. Home was built in 2007 and has 1,317 square feet. Kitchen and baths are tiled and rest of house has new carpet. Kitchen is wide open to the living room which has vaulted ceilings. Kitchen has new sink and faucet. All doors have been freshly painted and have new doorknobs. Garage has also been freshly painted. Great for first-time home buyers or rental opportunity! Broker/owner. Sold AS IS with right to inspect.

  13. 2018-10-21
    listed $136,500 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Lovely 3/2/2 in Silver Springs Shores! House has been freshly painted inside and has new appliances. Home was built in 2007 and has 1,317 square feet. Kitchen and baths are tiled and rest of house has new carpet. Kitchen is wide open to the living room which has vaulted ceilings. Kitchen has new sink and faucet. All doors have been freshly painted and have new doorknobs. Garage has also been freshly painted. Great for first-time home buyers or rental opportunity! Broker/owner. Sold AS IS with right to inspect.

  14. 2013-02-27
    soldstatus $104,000
  15. 2013-02-21
    soldstatus $104,000
  16. 2012-11-06
    listed $105,900
  17. 2012-09-26
    soldstatus $78,777
  18. 2012-08-20
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,939 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,939 · $162/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,343
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$1,939
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,547
− Management
−$1,547
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$3,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$783
After-tax cash flow
$879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores

Score
68/100
State rank
#527
US rank
#9854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
34,665
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,517
Household income
$77,557
Rent vs Own
23.3% rent · 76.7% own
Severe rent burden
169.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.60%
Current HPI
212.4262
Rent YoY
▲ 2.84%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-26 Sold (MLS) $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2019-01-31 Sold (MLS) $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-21 Listed $136,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-21 Listed $136,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
  • 2013-02-21 Sold (MLS) $104,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-06 Listed $105,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-26 Sold (MLS) $78,777 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-20 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,939 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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