3820 Victorian Ln · Muskegon, MI 49442

$67,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured public records · 11 Days on market

Built 1987 Est $60k · 11% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.6/5.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• ARV discount +2.6/15.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable Living located in Arlington Woods. Spacious Doublewide, 1987 Holly Park home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This well-maintained property offers abundant natural light and a comfortable open layout. The kitchen comes fully equipped with all appliances, including newer upgrades, and flows seamlessly into the main living areas with fresh carpeting throughout. Enjoy the bonus three-season room off the back with ramp, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Move-in ready with modern conveniences and a welcoming atmosphere, this home is ready for its next owner. Lot rent per month $475.00 Includes, water, trash, cable. Buyer & Buyer's Agent to verify all information. Listing agent Mobile Dealer License #1103564. Buyer must be approved through Arlington Woods. All Offers are Contingent upon park approval.

Key facts

• Three-season room
• Fresh carpeting
• Newer upgrades

Tags

• THREE-SEASON ROOM
• ABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHT
• COMFORTABLE OPEN LAYOUT
• FULLY EQUIPPED KITCHEN
• NEWER UPGRADES
• FRESH CARPETING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
• Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 4.6% in Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#92 in MI, #2,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
• Orchard View Schools (rural): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #479 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $67,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.21% ✓
• Cap rate: 20.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 49.32%
• DSCR: 3.19
• GRM: 3.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $60,480
• Comps found: 6

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3820 Victorian Ln	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,680 (0%)	2mo	$62,000	$37	95
2314 Shamrock Ln	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,700 (+1%)	15mo	$60,000	$35	76
4115 Sawgrass Trl	0.65mi	3/2.0	1,680 (0%)	4mo	$60,000	$36	63
3885 Victorian Ln	0.04mi	3/2.0	1,430 (-15%)	10mo	$33,000	$23	61
4120 Deerrun Ln	0.42mi	3/2.0	1,792 (+7%)	10mo	$55,000	$31	57
4164 Squaw Creek Trl	0.73mi	3/2.0	1,673 (-0%)	13mo	$84,000	$50	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 52.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.45×
• Total profit: $46,036
• Equity at exit: $9,990

10-year hold

• IRR: 59.4%
• Equity multiple: 8.40×
• Total profit: $138,775
• Equity at exit: $5,793

Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 49442

• Rents YoY: 8.2%
• Active inventory: 289
• Price-to-rent: 3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,477 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$351
• Tax from tax record: −$17 /mo · $202/yr
• Insurance: −$28
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$310
• Net cashflow: $771

Break-even live

Break-even rent $501

Max offer price $67,000

Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $809	-5% $790	+0% $771	+5% $752	+10% $733
Rent	-10% $654	-5% $713	+0% $771	+5% $829	+10% $888
Rate	-1.0pp $805	-0.5pp $788	base $771	+0.5pp $754	+1.0pp $736

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,750
• Closing costs: $2,010
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2129 Arrowhead Dr Muskegon, MI	3.0	2.0	1216	$1,299	$1.07	11d	1	0.49mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-02-12
   status Pending 838-char remark

   Show marketing remark (837 chars)

   Affordable Living located in Arlington Woods. Spacious Doublewide, 1987 Holly Park home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This well-maintained property offers abundant natural light and a comfortable open layout. The kitchen comes fully equipped with all appliances, including newer upgrades, and flows seamlessly into the main living areas with fresh carpeting throughout. Enjoy the bonus three-season room off the back with ramp, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Move-in ready with modern conveniences and a welcoming atmosphere, this home is ready for its next owner. Lot rent per month $475.00 Includes, water, trash, cable. Buyer & Buyer's Agent to verify all information. Listing agent Mobile Dealer License #1103564. Buyer must be approved through Arlington Woods. All Offers are Contingent upon park approval.

2. 2026-02-12
   status Pending 837-char remark

   Show marketing remark (837 chars)

   Affordable Living located in Arlington Woods. Spacious Doublewide, 1987 Holly Park home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This well-maintained property offers abundant natural light and a comfortable open layout. The kitchen comes fully equipped with all appliances, including newer upgrades, and flows seamlessly into the main living areas with fresh carpeting throughout. Enjoy the bonus three-season room off the back with ramp, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Move-in ready with modern conveniences and a welcoming atmosphere, this home is ready for its next owner. Lot rent per month $475.00 Includes, water, trash, cable. Buyer & Buyer's Agent to verify all information. Listing agent Mobile Dealer License #1103564. Buyer must be approved through Arlington Woods. All Offers are Contingent upon park approval.

3. 2026-02-12
   status Pending

   Show marketing remark (837 chars)

   Affordable Living located in Arlington Woods. Spacious Doublewide, 1987 Holly Park home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This well-maintained property offers abundant natural light and a comfortable open layout. The kitchen comes fully equipped with all appliances, including newer upgrades, and flows seamlessly into the main living areas with fresh carpeting throughout. Enjoy the bonus three-season room off the back with ramp, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Move-in ready with modern conveniences and a welcoming atmosphere, this home is ready for its next owner. Lot rent per month $475.00 Includes, water, trash, cable. Buyer & Buyer's Agent to verify all information. Listing agent Mobile Dealer License #1103564. Buyer must be approved through Arlington Woods. All Offers are Contingent upon park approval.

4. 2026-01-31
   listed $67,000 Active 838-char remark

   Show marketing remark (837 chars)

   Affordable Living located in Arlington Woods. Spacious Doublewide, 1987 Holly Park home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This well-maintained property offers abundant natural light and a comfortable open layout. The kitchen comes fully equipped with all appliances, including newer upgrades, and flows seamlessly into the main living areas with fresh carpeting throughout. Enjoy the bonus three-season room off the back with ramp, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Move-in ready with modern conveniences and a welcoming atmosphere, this home is ready for its next owner. Lot rent per month $475.00 Includes, water, trash, cable. Buyer & Buyer's Agent to verify all information. Listing agent Mobile Dealer License #1103564. Buyer must be approved through Arlington Woods. All Offers are Contingent upon park approval.

5. 2026-01-31
   listed $67,000 Active 837-char remark

   Show marketing remark (837 chars)

   Affordable Living located in Arlington Woods. Spacious Doublewide, 1987 Holly Park home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This well-maintained property offers abundant natural light and a comfortable open layout. The kitchen comes fully equipped with all appliances, including newer upgrades, and flows seamlessly into the main living areas with fresh carpeting throughout. Enjoy the bonus three-season room off the back with ramp, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Move-in ready with modern conveniences and a welcoming atmosphere, this home is ready for its next owner. Lot rent per month $475.00 Includes, water, trash, cable. Buyer & Buyer's Agent to verify all information. Listing agent Mobile Dealer License #1103564. Buyer must be approved through Arlington Woods. All Offers are Contingent upon park approval.

6. 2026-01-31
   listed $67,000 Active

   Show marketing remark (837 chars)

   Affordable Living located in Arlington Woods. Spacious Doublewide, 1987 Holly Park home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This well-maintained property offers abundant natural light and a comfortable open layout. The kitchen comes fully equipped with all appliances, including newer upgrades, and flows seamlessly into the main living areas with fresh carpeting throughout. Enjoy the bonus three-season room off the back with ramp, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Move-in ready with modern conveniences and a welcoming atmosphere, this home is ready for its next owner. Lot rent per month $475.00 Includes, water, trash, cable. Buyer & Buyer's Agent to verify all information. Listing agent Mobile Dealer License #1103564. Buyer must be approved through Arlington Woods. All Offers are Contingent upon park approval.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $202 · $17/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $617 · $51/mo
• Expected delta: +$415/yr (+$35/mo · 204.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,728
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,753
• − Property taxes: −$202
• − Insurance: −$335
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,418
• − Management: −$1,418
• − Depreciation: −$1,949
• Taxable income: $8,652
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,077
• After-tax cash flow: $7,175/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Orchard View Schools
• NCES district ID: 2626760
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $37,637
• Composite: 15.44/100
• National rank: #9314
• State rank: #479 of 540 in MI

Livability — Muskegon

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #92
• US rank: #2096

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Muskegon County · 107,917 people
• City population: 44,766
• Metro: Muskegon, MI
• Population (ZIP): 44,766
• Household income: $48,563
• Rent vs Own: 30.6% rent · 69.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1598.0

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 174,032 people
• By 2030: 173,365 · -0.4%
• By 2040: 168,877 · -3.0%
• By 2050: 160,306 · -7.9%
• By 2075: 134,426 · -22.8%
• By 2100: 98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -174.87%
• Current HPI: 287.0558
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.21%
• Metro: Muskegon, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-12 Pending — REALCOMP
• 2026-02-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-02-12 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
• 2026-01-31 Listed $67,000 REALCOMP
• 2026-01-31 Listed $67,000 SW Michigan MLS
• 2026-01-31 Listed $67,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+22.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $202 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.