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5019 N 51st Blvd
C+ Composite 61.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

5019 N 51st Blvd · Milwaukee, WI 53218
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 698 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1950 5,227 sqft lot Est $101k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy single sold 'as is. ' Seller & Seller's Agents have no condition report, inspections or tests. Buyer to satisfy self with respect to property condition through Buyer's own observations, inspections & due diligence.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
  • Home design: Single-family, 1-story home; Less than 1/2 acre lot (approximately 0.12 acre)
  • Construction: Information source indicates year built from assessor/public record
  • Exterior features: Aluminum / Aluminum & steel exterior; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level, approximately 12 x 10
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main level), approximately 10 x 10; Second bedroom (Main level), approximately 10 x 10
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with ceramic tile and shower-over-tub
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Living room on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $100k implies a 524% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $90,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.93%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,512
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5120 N 56th St 0.30mi 3/1.0 713 (+2%) 2mo $103,000 $144 81
4663 N 48th St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 672 (-4%) 2mo $77,000 $115 65
4765 N 48th St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (+3%) 10mo $63,675 $88 64
5482 N 58th St 0.72mi 3/1.0 734 (+5%) 2mo $120,000 $163 56
5417 N 54th St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 728 (+4%) 9mo $90,000 $124 55
5483 N 58th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 672 (-4%) 1mo $118,500 $176 54
4633 N Sherman Blvd 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 741 (+6%) 1mo $88,500 $119 51
4224 W Peck Pl 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 744 (+7%) 2mo $64,820 $87 49
5014 N 61st St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 624 (-11%) 6mo $129,900 $208 48
5051 N 58th St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 796 (+14%) 7mo $65,500 $82 46
5325 N 60th St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 624 (-11%) 6mo $130,000 $208 43
5035 N 42nd St 0.57mi 3/1.0 796 (+14%) 9mo $165,000 $207 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,013
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$36,303
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53218

Home prices YoY
-19.0%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,245 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$163 /mo · $1,956/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$255

Break-even live

Break-even rent $922
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $311 -5% $283 +0% $255 +5% $226 +10% $198
Rent -10% $156 -5% $206 +0% $255 +5% $304 +10% $353
Rate -1.0pp $305 -0.5pp $280 base $255 +0.5pp $229 +1.0pp $203

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4572 N 38th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 44d 1 1.03mi
4651 N 36th St #4 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 747 $945 $1.27 24d 1 1.07mi
6026 W Carmen Ave Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 672 $1,195 $1.78 24d 1 1.08mi
5820 N 65th St #5822 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,245 $1.78 44d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Active
  2. 2026-04-24
    price $99,900
  3. 2026-04-24
    price $94,900
  4. 2026-03-28
    historical Contingent
  5. 2026-03-23
    price $99,900
  6. 2026-02-15
    listed $106,900 Active
  7. 2023-09-25
    historical $1,099
  8. 2023-09-23
    listed $1,099
  9. 2013-01-22
    listed $17,300 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Cozy single sold 'as is. ' Seller & Seller's Agents have no condition report, inspections or tests. Buyer to satisfy self with respect to property condition through Buyer's own observations, inspections & due diligence.

  10. 2013-01-22
    historical 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Cozy single sold 'as is. ' Seller & Seller's Agents have no condition report, inspections or tests. Buyer to satisfy self with respect to property condition through Buyer's own observations, inspections & due diligence.

  11. 2009-04-29
    soldstatus $16,000 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Cozy single sold 'as is. ' Seller & Seller's Agents have no condition report, inspections or tests. Buyer to satisfy self with respect to property condition through Buyer's own observations, inspections & due diligence.

  12. 2006-03-14
    soldstatus $87,000
  13. 2005-05-12
    soldstatus $53,000
  14. 2005-05-06
    soldstatus $53,000 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    2 BR Ranch w/ updated mechanicals. 2 car garage. Fenced rear yard. Furnace-2002, roof 2001, 40 gal water htr 2004, overhead garage door 2003, range hood, kit faucet, front entry door 2001. Incl: 3 ceiling fans, window treatments.

  15. 2005-03-29
    listed $55,900 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    2 BR Ranch w/ updated mechanicals. 2 car garage. Fenced rear yard. Furnace-2002, roof 2001, 40 gal water htr 2004, overhead garage door 2003, range hood, kit faucet, front entry door 2001. Incl: 3 ceiling fans, window treatments.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,956 · $163/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,956 · $163/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,936
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,956
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,195
− Management
−$1,195
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,588
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$381
After-tax cash flow
$2,676/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
41,196
Household income
$45,642
Rent vs Own
57.1% rent · 42.9% own
Severe rent burden
2421.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% Asian 10% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.44%
Current HPI
325.1975
Rent YoY
▲ 5.29%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+78.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted METROMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $99,900 METROMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $94,900 METROMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $99,900 METROMLS
  • 2026-02-15 Listed $106,900 METROMLS
  • 2023-09-25 Rental Removed $1,099 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-09-23 Listed for Rent $1,099 APPFOLIO
  • 2013-01-22 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2013-01-22 Listed $17,300 METROMLS
  • 2009-04-29 Sold (MLS) $16,000 METROMLS
  • 2006-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 2005-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 2005-05-06 Sold (MLS) $53,000 METROMLS
  • 2005-03-29 Listed $55,900 METROMLS

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,956 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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