611 50th Avenue Dr W · South Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. PRICE REDUCED – NOW JUST $59,900! Furnished 2-Bed / 2-Bath Home in Fair Lane Acres 55+ Community – Bradenton, FL MLS# N6136184 | 611 50th Avenue Dr W, Bradenton, FL 34207 One of the few Non 55+ lots in the community! Discover unbeatable value in this furnished 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable 55+ Fair Lane Acres community in West Bradenton. Recently price reduced to only $59,900, this property offers an exceptional opportunity for snowbirds, downsizers, or investors seeking affordable Florida living with low HOA fees and a prime location. Property Highlights: Price: $59,900(Furnished!) Bedrooms/Bat
Key facts
- Laundry area
- Community pool
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease restrictions apply
- Financial info: Total monthly fees listed as $135; total annual fees listed as $1,620
- HOA & community: Homeowners association required; monthly fee $135; Association amenities include shuffleboard and tennis courts; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected (service listed as None for water source); Public sewer (sewer connected)
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces south; Entry on one level
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a single-wide mobile home
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Asphalt and concrete road access; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($805/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 4.1% in South Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in FL, #3,092 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Oneco Elementary School (math 49% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,587 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 596 students, 79% FRL); Southeast High School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,716 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 51% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 474 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $60k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 474 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.32%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $58,752
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5022 9th St W | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 576 (0%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $148 | 87 |
| 709 49th Avenue Dr W | 0.08mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 528 (-8%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $57 | 76 |
| 619 52nd Ave W | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 550 (-4%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $109 | 74 |
| 5504 Bermuda Ct | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 576 (0%) | 5mo | $59,000 | $102 | 63 |
| 108 50th Avenue Dr W | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 612 (+6%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $49 | 62 |
| 415 Dublin Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (+8%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $80 | 56 |
| 108 51st Avenue Ter W | 0.40mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 520 (-10%) | 8mo | $57,000 | $110 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-8,942
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- -32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-15,767
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34207
- Rents YoY
- -5.5%
- Active inventory
- 361
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,322 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $916/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$135
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $67
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,150 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 915 50th Avenue Plz W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 304 47th Avenue Dr W #112 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 205 52nd Avenue Dr W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $1,200 | $2.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4903 2nd B St E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 624 | $2,400 | $3.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4507 3rd Street Cir W #280 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,300 | $1.97 | 16d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 110 52nd Avenue Ter E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 684 | $1,450 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5531 16th St W Unit 5537 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,650 | $2.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5001 22nd St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,700 | $2.33 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4515 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,510 | $1.87 | 1d | 14 | 1.11mi |
| 1308 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,199 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 350 34th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $1,335 | $1.49 | 1d | 6 | 1.20mi |
| 5310 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,450 | $1.84 | 3d | 4 | 1.23mi |
| 5310 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,550 | $1.96 | 19d | 5 | 1.23mi |
| 5310 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,450 | $1.84 | 11d | 5 | 1.23mi |
| 4705 27th St W Unit A Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,325 | $1.77 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2835 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,610 | $1.89 | 3d | 16 | 1.28mi |
| 5908 17th St W Unit C36 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $950 | $1.65 | 16d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3506 14th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $1,725 | $1.97 | 23d | 5 | 1.30mi |
| 2803 52nd Avenue Dr W Unit 2803 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,599 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1345 301 Blvd E Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,320 | $1.51 | 23d | 9 | 1.31mi |
| 1807 Restful Dr Unit N4 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 733 | $1,150 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5888 17th St W Unit C23 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,100 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1566 Pleasant Rd Unit J24 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 733 | $1,150 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1859 Restful Dr Unit L26 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,150 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1875 Sunny Dr Unit G32 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,100 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5400 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,651 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1874 Sunny Dr Unit F32 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $950 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5858 Welcome Rd Unit J23 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,150 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1825 Flamingo Blvd Unit O26 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,000 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1839 Sunny Dr Unit E36 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,350 | $2.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 616 33rd Ave E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5955 Palm Ln Unit A33 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,150 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2028 Canal Dr Unit M26 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,050 | $1.82 | 10d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $135 · $1,620/yr
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending
-
2026-03-04price $59,900
-
2026-01-31status Active
-
2026-01-22status Pending
-
2025-10-18price $74,900
-
2025-07-18price $80,000
-
2025-05-27price $85,000
-
2025-02-17price $95,000
-
2025-01-03$110,000 Active
-
1982-12-01soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $916 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $916 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,858
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$916
- − Insurance
- −$5,418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,269
- − Management
- −$1,269
- − HOA
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $269
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$65
- After-tax cash flow
- $740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Bradenton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3092
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,081
- Household income
- $45,010
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1474.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 13% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -305.32%
- Current HPI
- 369.9899
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.50%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+99.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-18 Price Changed $74,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $80,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-17 Price Changed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-03 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1982-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $916 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…